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华福证券:首次覆盖东阳光药(06887)予“买入”评级 创新管线储备丰富成长性强
智通财经网· 2025-12-23 07:26
Core Viewpoint - Dongyang Sunshine Pharmaceutical (06887) is a leading company in the influenza sector with a solid foundation and a rich pipeline of innovative products, focusing on three main areas: anti-infection, chronic diseases, and oncology. The company maintains a leading position in the anti-infection field, particularly in influenza, hepatitis C, and hepatitis B, and has been given a "Buy" rating by Huafu Securities [1]. Group 1: Anti-Infection - The company holds a leading position in the influenza market, with Oseltamivir ranking first in domestic market share and possessing the largest production base globally, ensuring sufficient supply capacity [2]. - The hepatitis C pipeline includes the approval of pan-genotypic therapies, with NMPA approvals for Phosphoribosyl-1-pyrophosphate and Acalabrutinib expected in February and March 2025, respectively [2]. - For hepatitis B, the fastest progress is seen with Mofetil, which is the only product in China entering Phase III clinical trials, while the siRNA therapy (HECN30227) is set to enter clinical stages in October 2025 [2]. Group 2: Chronic Diseases - Ifenprodil is identified as a potential blockbuster drug (BIC) targeting the $4 billion global market for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, with Phase I trials completed in China and the US, and promising Phase II data showing a 96% delay in decline compared to placebo [3]. - Insulin products are nearing FDA approval, with Glargine expected to receive BLA approval in the first half of 2026, while Aspart has a Pre-IND application submitted, with plans to file for BLA by the end of 2025 and anticipate approval by the end of 2026 [3]. Group 3: Oncology - The company expects the approval of Clifosfamide for acute myeloid leukemia (AML) by 2027, having formed a partnership with 3SBio for this product [4]. - The oncology pipeline is rich, including Lenvatinib (Phase III) for esophageal cancer, HEC53856 (Phase II) for chemotherapy-induced anemia, and HEC201625 (upcoming IND) as an oral PD-L1 small molecule, with ongoing efforts in new technology areas such as ADC and TCE [4]. Group 4: Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 250 million, 540 million, and 930 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with price-to-sales ratios of 4.5, 3.7, and 3.2 times, indicating a strong value proposition compared to peers [5].