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SMCI's Margins Contracting: Is it Still Built for Profitable Scale?
ZACKS· 2025-06-30 14:56
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer's (SMCI) revenue is rapidly growing due to its innovative product offerings, particularly in direct liquid cooling (DLC) and server solutions, which are gaining traction among hyperscalers and AI customers [1][2] - Despite the revenue growth, SMCI's gross margin has been inconsistent and is currently on a declining trend, with a significant contraction noted in recent quarters [1][2] Financial Performance - In Q3 FY25, SMCI's non-GAAP gross margin decreased by 590 basis points year-over-year and 220 basis points sequentially to 9.7%, primarily due to rising costs associated with new products and high inventory reserves for older products [2][9] - The company has faced margin pressure attributed to an unfavorable product and customer mix, as well as increased costs from ramping up production for its DLC technology [3][4] Production and Capacity Expansion - SMCI is increasing its production capacity in Malaysia and Taiwan, which is expected to lower manufacturing costs in the long term due to economies of scale [5] - The company is also expanding its production capacity in California, aligning with U.S. government initiatives to boost domestic manufacturing, which is anticipated to positively impact gross margins in the future [5] Competitive Landscape - The server and liquid cooling market includes major players like Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) and Dell Technologies, with Dell reporting a backlog of $14.4 billion in AI server contracts despite the irregularities in product deployment [6][7] - HPE's server segment saw a 6% year-over-year sales growth in Q2 FY25, driven by strong demand for AI servers, indicating a competitive environment for SMCI [7] Stock Performance and Valuation - SMCI's shares have increased by 56.1% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry, which grew by 6.7% [8] - The company currently trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 0.96X, which is lower than the industry average of 1.76X, suggesting potential undervaluation [10] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SMCI's fiscal 2025 earnings indicates a year-over-year decline of 6.33%, while fiscal 2026 estimates suggest a growth of 27.54% [11]
SMCI Climbs 34.1% YTD: Should You Hold or Fold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-06-24 15:41
Key Takeaways SMCI stock is up 34.1% YTD, outpacing its industry's 9.1% return despite recent volatility. Strong AI server demand pushed SMCI's server revenues up 19% YoY, hitting $4.5B in Q3 FY25. Margin pressure from rivals and inventory write-downs weighs on SMCI's near-term outlook.Super Micro Computer (SMCI) shares have been volatile recently, yet it returned 34.1% in the year-to-date period. Its shares have outperformed the Zacks Computer- Storage Devices industry’s decline of 0.3% in the same time ...
SMCI's Server Demand Rising: Will Innovation Keep the Momentum?
ZACKS· 2025-06-17 15:06
Key Takeaways SMCI's server and storage system revenues hit $4.5B in Q3 FY25, up 19% year over year. Growth is driven by demand for DLC racks, new DCBBS modules and AI-optimized storage systems. Global manufacturing expansion aims to boost deployment and bypass geopolitical trade barriers.Super Micro Computer’s (SMCI) server and storage system segmental revenues grew 19% year over year in the third quarter of fiscal 2025, crossing the $4.5 billion milestone. The server and storage system segment, which ac ...
Will SMCI's AI and Liquid Cooling Push Drive Long-Term Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-06-06 15:46
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) is experiencing strong demand for its AI infrastructure, particularly in storage and server offerings, which are providing customers with higher computational densities and lower total cost of ownership for AI services [1] Group 1: Company Performance - In Q3 of fiscal 2025, SMCI reported high volume shipments of liquid-cooled 4U NVIDIA B200 HGX systems and GB200 NVL72 racks, indicating robust demand for its AI product line [2] - The company achieved a production milestone of 5,000 racks per month, with over 2,000 being direct liquid cooling (DLC) racks, to meet the rising demand for AI solutions [3] - SMCI's enterprise data center customer vertical generated $1.9 billion in revenues, contributing to 42% of total revenues in Q3 of fiscal 2025, up from 25% in the previous quarter, highlighting the increasing significance of AI products in its revenue stream [4] Group 2: Revenue Guidance and Estimates - Due to the rising adoption of its AI infrastructure and DLC offerings, SMCI has provided revenue guidance of $21.8-$22.6 billion for fiscal 2025, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate of $22.12 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 48% [5] - Despite the strong revenue growth forecast, earnings estimates for fiscal 2025 indicate a decline of 6.33% year-over-year, while estimates for fiscal 2026 suggest a recovery with a growth of 35.75% [13] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - SMCI faces strong competition from Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) and Dell Technologies (DELL) in the server market, with HPE recently entering the AI infrastructure space and reporting a 6% year-over-year growth in server segment sales due to demand for AI servers [6][7] - Dell also offers a variety of server solutions, including PowerEdge Rack Servers and Modular Infrastructure, positioning itself as a competitor in the AI-server market alongside HPE [8] Group 4: Valuation Metrics - SMCI's shares have increased by 33.8% year-to-date, contrasting with a decline of 1.6% in the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry [9] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 0.82X, which is lower than the industry average of 1.65X, indicating a potentially attractive valuation [12]
HPE Set to Report Q2 Earnings: Is a Beat in Store for the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-06-02 14:55
Core Insights - Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) is set to report its second-quarter fiscal 2025 results on June 3, with expected non-GAAP earnings per share between 28 cents and 34 cents, a decrease of 19.05% from the prior year [1][10] - HPE's revenue expectations for the same quarter are between $7.2 billion and $7.6 billion, with a consensus estimate of $7.47 billion, indicating a growth of approximately 3.66% year-over-year [2][10] Financial Performance - HPE has beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings in three of the last four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 5.67% [2] - The Earnings ESP for HPE is +2.94%, suggesting a potential earnings beat this season [9] Growth Drivers - The demand for HPE's AI systems and sovereign AI cloud offerings is expected to have positively influenced revenue growth, particularly through HPE Private Cloud AI [4][10] - The adoption of the Aruba Edge Services Platform and HPE GreenLake is anticipated to have contributed to revenue growth, aided by a simplified cloud strategy [5][10] - Persistent growth in sales of HPE's accelerator processing units, driven by demand for AI-optimized servers, is also a contributing factor [6] Challenges - Softening IT spending due to higher interest rates and inflationary pressures may have negatively impacted overall financial performance [7][10] - Enterprises are delaying large IT spending plans amid a weakening global economy and ongoing macroeconomic and geopolitical issues [7]
SMCI vs. HPE: Which Server Stock Offers a Better Value Right Now?
ZACKS· 2025-05-15 15:36
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) and Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) are both leading the server space, providing organizations with server-based capabilities, enabling them with high computing power.Per a report by Grand View Research, the Global Server market is expected to witness a CAGR of 9.8% from 2024 to 2030. Strong adoption of servers across industries like healthcare, retail, BFSI, manufacturing, education and others will drive the server space.With this strong industry growth forecast, the question r ...
Dell Technologies vs HPE: Which AI Server Stock Has Greater Upside?
ZACKS· 2025-04-08 20:00
Core Insights - The AI infrastructure market is expected to exceed $200 billion in spending by 2028, with both Dell Technologies and Hewlett Packard Enterprise well-positioned to benefit from this growth opportunity [2] Dell Technologies - Dell Technologies is experiencing strong demand for its AI-optimized servers, particularly the PowerEdge XE9680L, driven by digital transformation and interest in generative AI applications [3] - In Q4 of fiscal 2025, Dell's AI-optimized server orders increased by $1.7 billion, with shipments totaling $2.1 billion and a backlog of $4.1 billion [5] - Dell's partnership with companies like NVIDIA and Microsoft is expanding, enhancing its AI capabilities and enterprise AI adoption [6] - Dell's shares are trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 0.5X, indicating a relatively low valuation [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Dell's fiscal 2026 earnings is $9.34 per share, reflecting a 14.74% year-over-year increase [15] Hewlett Packard Enterprise - Hewlett Packard is also benefiting from strong demand for its AI-optimized servers, with its server business growing 30% year-over-year to $4.3 billion in Q1 of fiscal 2025 [7] - The launch of HPE's ProLiant Gen 12 server platform is expected to improve performance and energy efficiency, potentially replacing multiple older server generations and reducing power consumption by at least 65% [8] - HPE's GreenLake cloud product has achieved significant growth, with annual recurring revenue surpassing $2 billion, a 46% increase year-over-year [9] - HPE's shares are trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 0.52X, slightly higher than Dell's [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for HPE's fiscal 2025 earnings is $1.94 per share, indicating a 2.51% decline year-over-year [15] Stock Performance - Year-to-date, Dell's shares have decreased by 34.9%, while HPE's shares have dropped by 37.6%, largely due to broader market weaknesses and rising trade tensions [10] - Dell holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), making it a stronger pick compared to HPE, which has a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [17]