证券日报网讯 1月12日，博威合金（601137）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，GB300液冷板配套的 异型散热材料，公司按照客户需求规划了近2万吨产能，其未来出货量将直接取决于下游终端GB300产 品的实际市场出货情况。 ...

Core Insights - The stock market's growth has been significantly driven by developments in artificial intelligence (AI), with Nvidia emerging as a leading player in this sector [1] - Despite Nvidia's substantial stock gains of nearly 1,000% during the AI revolution, the company's growth story is still in its early stages [1] Group 1: Nvidia's Market Position - Nvidia is becoming a crucial component of the AI infrastructure, with major tech companies continuing to invest heavily in its GPUs for next-generation data centers [4][6] - Partnerships with cloud giants like Amazon Web Services (AWS) and Microsoft Azure highlight Nvidia's integral role, as seen in OpenAI's $38 billion contract for Nvidia's GPUs [5][6] Group 2: Future Growth Potential - Nvidia is expected to experience robust revenue and profit growth as AI infrastructure builds out through 2026 and beyond [7] - The company is also exploring new revenue streams beyond its traditional GPU and data center markets, which could reshape its future [9][10]

Core Insights - NVIDIA's CEO Jensen Huang highlighted the rapid advancements in AI technology, particularly with the introduction of Alpamayo, the world's first thinking and reasoning model for autonomous vehicles, which utilizes a 10 billion-parameter vision-language-action model [1][2] - The demand for AI computing is surging, with model sizes increasing by 10 times annually and reasoning generating 5 times more tokens per year, while the cost of tokens is decreasing by 10 times [3] - NVIDIA's new Vera Rubin GPU system features significant innovations, including a design stripped of cables, hoses, and fans, utilizing hot-water liquid cooling at 45°C, which could disrupt the data center cooling market [6][7] NVIDIA Innovations - The Vera Rubin system is expected to be a game-changer in the robotics industry, with a projected cost of approximately $5 million per supercomputer rack-scale system [5] - The system's design allows AI factories to eliminate mechanical water chillers, relying instead on simpler cooling solutions, which has raised concerns for companies like Modine Manufacturing that specialize in data center chillers [7][9] Market Reactions - Modine's stock experienced a significant drop of over 20% following the announcement of the Vera Rubin system, reflecting investor concerns about the future demand for traditional cooling solutions [8][9] - Credo Technology Group also faced stock volatility, with shares falling due to fears that the new systems would replace copper cabling with optical interconnects, although a subsequent recovery was noted as investors reassessed the situation [10][11] Credo Technology Developments - Credo is diversifying its product offerings, focusing on both copper-based Active Electrical Cables and optical interconnect solutions, with recent innovations including ZeroFlap optical transceivers and a strategic acquisition of Hyperlume, Inc. [14][15][16] - The company aims to expand its Total Addressable Market (TAM) by prioritizing optical solutions while maintaining its leadership in the AEC market [16]

Summary of Datacenter Market Insights - ODM Direct Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **Datacenter Market** within the **Hardware Technology** sector, specifically analyzing **ODM (Original Design Manufacturer) direct server shipments** in the Asia Pacific region. Key Insights 1. **ODM Shipments and Value Growth** - ODM shipments declined by **4% quarter-over-quarter (q/q)** but the shipment value increased by **2% q/q** due to growth in both general and AI servers [1][2] - The expected shipments for **GB200/300 racks** are projected to reach approximately **27.3k** in **CY25** and **70k+** in **CY26** [1][5] 2. **Global ODM Direct Server Shipments** - Total global ODM direct server shipments were **1.83 million** units in **3Q25**, reflecting a **4% decline q/q** but a **37% increase year-over-year (y/y)** [2] - This accounted for **43.5%** of global server shipments, which remained flat at **4.2 million** units q/q but increased by **14% y/y** [2] 3. **Market Share Dynamics** - **Inventec** became the top ODM with a **24.6%** market share, gaining **480 basis points (bps)** q/q, while **Wiwynn** dropped to **20.4%** [2][12] - **Intel** and **AMD** both lost unit share, with Intel at **35.1%** (-300 bps q/q) and AMD at **40.3%** (-390 bps q/q) [3][12] 4. **Regional Performance** - **Central & Eastern Europe** exhibited the highest growth in shipment units at **449% y/y**, followed by the **US** at **50% y/y** [4][12] - The US accounted for **75%** of aggregate ODM direct shipments, with other regions like **APxJC** at **13%** and **Western Europe** at **6%** [4] 5. **AI Server Contribution** - AI servers were the main contributors to the increase in shipment value, with the average selling price (ASP) of ODM servers increasing by **7% q/q** and **54% y/y** [5] Additional Insights - **ODM Shipment Value** reached **US$66.8 billion** in **3Q25**, marking a **2% increase q/q** and a **111% increase y/y** [2] - The report highlights potential investment opportunities in ODMs such as **Wistron**, **Wiwynn**, **Hon Hai**, **FII**, and **Quanta** [5] Conclusion - The ODM direct server market is experiencing a complex landscape with declining unit shipments but increasing value, driven primarily by the growth of AI servers. The competitive dynamics are shifting, with new leaders emerging in market share and significant regional disparities in growth rates.

液冷行业专家电话会：Rubin 平台冷却系统更新 20260107 摘要 英伟达 Ruby 平台通过合并 GB300 小板为大板，可能在隔热或界面材 料上取得突破，并采用高温水冷技术（45 度进水），有望取代传统液液 交换，无需冷水机，实现散热创新。 Ruby 平台虽在 CES 上宣称提前量产，但大规模量产预计在 2026 年 11 月，目前仅小批量生产，预计未来 9 个月内将持续调整优化，类似 GB300 发布后一年的市场推广周期。 英伟达散热方案发展路径为风冷->风冷+单向冷板->风冷+双向门板-> 全液冷，逐步过渡旨在积累经验，但因研发进度，Ruby 发布未采用双 向门板和先进微通道技术，选择成熟方案以满足市场对性能提升的需求。 英伟达新产品训练算力为 35，推理算力为 50，与 AMD I455 相似，但 英伟达整体性能仍具优势，得益于生态系统支持，面对 AMD、谷歌、寒 武纪和华为等竞争压力，英伟达加速发布节奏。 英伟达通过无风扇、无电缆设计，高温水冷减少冷水机依赖，并使用 M9 树脂、HVLP 铜箔、含银/镓金属界面材料等组合降低热阻，确保基 本性能稳定，为后续优化留有余地。 Q&A Ruby 平 ...

Core Insights - Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang announced the launch of the Rubin platform, claiming it to be the strongest computing chip ever, which is expected to drive significant business growth for Nvidia and its partner TSMC in 2026 [1][2] Group 1: Nvidia's Rubin Platform - The Rubin platform integrates six types of computing chips, including the Rubin GPU, Vera CPU, and advanced networking platforms like Spectrum 6 and BlueField-4 DPU, marking a significant innovation in chip technology [1] - Nvidia has received substantial orders for the Rubin platform, alongside continued demand for the existing GB300, indicating a strong market response [1] - The platform utilizes TSMC's 3nm process technology combined with CoWoS-L advanced packaging, enhancing its performance capabilities [2] Group 2: Impact on TSMC and Related Companies - TSMC is expected to experience significant growth in 2026 due to the strong order flow from Nvidia's Rubin platform, with ongoing collaboration between the two companies [1][2] - The introduction of NVL72 computing technology indicates a substantial increase in procurement units for cloud service providers, which will positively impact Nvidia and TSMC's operational performance [2] - Related companies such as ASE Technology Holding, King Yuan Electronics, and probe card suppliers like Wanshih and Yungwei are also anticipated to benefit from the growth driven by the Rubin platform [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company is expected to benefit from rapid growth in capital expenditures by North American cloud service providers, with a projected increase in global capital expenditures from major cloud service providers reaching over $600 billion by 2026, reflecting a 40% year-on-year growth [4] - The company has successfully ramped up production of its GB300 product, with improvements in yield and testing efficiency expected to positively impact gross margins in Q4 [4] - The demand for high-speed switches, particularly the 800G switches, has surged, with a year-on-year growth of over 27 times in Q3, driven by the increasing computational and bandwidth needs of AI training and inference models [6] Financial Projections - The company’s projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 882.9 billion, 1,368.1 billion, and 1,915.0 billion respectively, with net profits of 33.4 billion, 54.9 billion, and 86.8 billion [7] - The expected growth rates for revenue are 44.95% in 2025, 54.95% in 2026, and 39.97% in 2027 [9] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 1.68 in 2025 to 4.37 in 2027, indicating strong profitability growth [9]

GPU并行计算能力适用于AI训推需求，大模型发展催化GPU需求 智通财经APP获悉，华创证券发布研报称，目前AI投入产出已实现闭环，有望进一步致使海外大厂加码 AI相关投资。近年美国多次修订出口规则扩大管制范围，GPU是国内人工智能发展的基础，国产算力 芯片自主可控迫在眉睫。当前，国内多家GPU厂商陆续推出AI智算芯片产品，并逐步追赶国际领先标 准。 华创证券主要观点如下： 2023-2025年，美国多次修订出口规则扩大管制范围。由于GPU是国内人工智能发展的基础，相关政策 持续加码支持国产算力行业发展。当前，寒武纪、海光信息、摩尔线程、沐曦股份等国内厂商推出多款 AI智算芯片产品，并逐步追赶国际领先标准。从各公司创始团队及核心成员来源来看，寒武纪核心创 始成员均来自中科院计算所，海光信息核心高管大部分来自中科曙光，摩尔线程创始成员来自英伟达， 沐曦股份创始成员多数来自超威半导体，决定了其技术底蕴及技术基础。从产品路线及收入规模来看， 海光信息CPU产品贡献主要营收，信创CPU产品带动整体收入实现较快起量;寒武纪深耕AI智能芯片， 收入放量强依赖于互联网客户验证及部署进程，因此收入在25年实现爆发式成长。摩尔 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the computing chip industry, particularly focusing on domestic GPU manufacturers [2]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the development of large models follows the "Scaling Law," indicating a rigid expansion of computing power demand. This is supported by quantifiable data on AI application deployment and computing consumption, establishing a commercial link where "computing power is production material" [6]. - The GPU industry is characterized by a concentrated market structure, with major players like NVIDIA dominating the landscape. The report highlights the ongoing strategic partnerships between cloud giants and NVIDIA, reinforcing the latter's core position in AI infrastructure [6][7]. - The report analyzes the domestic GPU manufacturers' response to U.S. export restrictions, detailing their technological advancements and market strategies. Companies like Cambricon, Haiguang Information, Moore Threads, and Muxi are highlighted for their efforts to catch up with international standards [6][7]. Summary by Sections 1. GPU's Role in AI - GPUs excel in parallel computing, making them suitable for AI acceleration. The architecture of GPUs allows for simultaneous processing of vast amounts of data, significantly reducing training times for AI models [11][12]. - The GPU industry value chain is primarily concentrated in the midstream, where AI chip demand drives market growth. The report notes that the global GPU market is expected to reach 1,051.54 billion yuan by 2024, with a significant portion attributed to AI computing GPUs [24][29]. 2. Global AI Investment Trends - Major global tech companies are increasing their investments in AI, with NVIDIA maintaining a dominant position. The report cites that NVIDIA holds a 98% market share in the data center GPU segment, underscoring its competitive edge [21][35]. - The report indicates that the AI investment cycle is achieving a closed loop, with companies like Google and Microsoft ramping up their capital expenditures significantly to support AI infrastructure [46][50]. 3. Domestic GPU Development - The report discusses the urgency for domestic GPU manufacturers to achieve self-sufficiency in light of U.S. export controls. Companies are making strides in product development and market entry, with varying degrees of commercial success [6][7]. - The report highlights the financial trajectories of domestic firms, noting that Haiguang Information achieved profitability in 2021, while Cambricon is expected to reach profitability by Q4 2024 [6][7]. 4. Market Projections - The report forecasts that the global GPU market will grow to 3,611.97 billion yuan by 2029, with China's share increasing from 15.6% in 2024 to 37.8% by 2029. AI computing GPUs are projected to be the core growth driver [24][29]. - The report anticipates that the demand for data center GPUs will continue to surge, with a projected market size of 663.92 billion yuan by 2029, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 70.1% [29][31].

Market Analysis - The A-share market is experiencing a fluctuating upward trend with significant structural differentiation, as evidenced by the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3919.98 points, a slight increase of 0.07%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.27% to 13368.99 points, and the ChiNext Index increased by 0.41% to 3205.01 points. The overall market turnover reached 1.92 trillion, reflecting a 2.1% increase from the previous trading day, indicating positive market sentiment [2][5][6]. Sector Performance - The technology and new energy sectors are showing strong performance, with lithium carbonate futures surging past 120,000 yuan/ton. Key indices in lithium battery electrolyte, fiberglass, liquid cooling servers, power batteries, and copper-clad laminates saw increases of 6.20%, 3.83%, 3.28%, 2.91%, and 2.74% respectively. However, the commercial aerospace sector experienced significant adjustments, with declines of 4.11% and 3.63% in satellite internet and commercial aerospace indices respectively [5][6][9]. Investment Strategy - The report suggests maintaining a focus on technology manufacturing, cyclical resources, and policy catalysts. Despite concerns over potential AI bubbles, the rapid development of AI, exemplified by NVIDIA's new products, continues to sustain market interest. The ongoing rise in lithium prices is expected to enhance corporate profitability, while recent government policies aimed at boosting consumption are anticipated to stimulate market activity [6][11]. Bond Market - The bond market saw a significant rebound, with the 30-year main contract closing up 0.89% at 112.83 yuan. The central bank's net withdrawal operations and the maintenance of a relatively low SHIBOR indicate a strong willingness for short-term financing. The market's reaction suggests an expectation of further easing measures in the first quarter of the following year [9][11]. Commodity Market - The commodity index rose, with precious metals continuing to perform strongly. The London gold price approached 4500 USD/ounce, driven by increased market demand for gold. The report highlights that the supply constraints and global pricing dynamics for precious metals are likely to maintain their strong performance [8][9][11]. Trading Hotspots - Recent popular investment themes include dividends, commercial aerospace, nuclear fusion, AI applications, and consumer sectors. The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring economic recovery and potential stimulus policies as key factors influencing these sectors [10][11].