Summary of Sanhua A/H (002050.SZ/2050.HK) Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: Sanhua Intelligent Controls - **Industry**: HVAC (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning) and thermal management components Key Financial Performance - **2Q25 Results**: - Revenue: Rmb8,593 million (+19% YoY) - Gross Profit: Rmb2,515 million (+25% YoY) - EBIT: Rmb1,459 million (+50% YoY) - Net Income: Rmb1,207 million (+39% YoY) - GPM: 29% (+1pp YoY) - OPM: 17% (+4pp YoY) - NPM: 14% (+1pp YoY) - **1H25 Performance**: - Revenue: Rmb10,389 million (+25% YoY) - GPM: 28.2% (+0.6pp YoY) - NPM: 12.4% (+2.2pp YoY) - **2025 Guidance**: Management raised revenue growth expectations to at least 15% YoY and net profit growth to 20-30% YoY, up from initial guidance of 10-15% YoY for both metrics [1][7][10]. Core Business Drivers - **HVAC Control Components**: - Revenue growth driven by commercial HVAC demand and low-AC penetration regions, with a 25% YoY increase in revenue and a 53% YoY increase in net profit for 1H25 [1][7]. - **AIDC Liquid Cooling**: - Revenue expected to exceed Rmb1 billion in 2024, representing approximately 10% global market share. The company has more exposure to data center room cooling than server cooling, which is beneficial amid expected moderation in China’s EV/HVAC growth [1][7][10]. - **EV Thermal Management**: - Despite Tesla's anticipated 15% YoY decline in 2025E, segment revenue grew 9% YoY, with net profit increasing 22% YoY in 1H25. Diversification from other customers like Xiaomi, Leapmotor, and GM is expected to offset Tesla's decline [1][7][10]. Humanoid Robot Components - Management believes humanoid robots represent a significant long-term AI application. The Thailand factory is set for volume production in 3Q25, with stable market leadership expected despite supply chain uncertainties [6][10]. Margin Improvement Factors - Significant GPM and NPM improvements attributed to economies of scale, effective cost control, and a favorable product mix shift towards higher-margin commercial HVAC components. SG&A as a percentage of revenue decreased to 11.1% in 2Q25 [8][10]. Investment Thesis - Sanhua is rated as a "Buy" due to its growth potential in humanoid robot actuators and solid market leadership in core HVAC business. Expected revenue and net profit CAGR of 19% from 2025-2030E. The company is well-positioned to outperform the residential HVAC industry and benefit from global EV penetration increases [10][11]. Target Price and Valuation - New 12-month target price set at Rmb32.7 and HK$34.4, based on a 2030E P/E of 21x, discounted back to 2026E with a cost of equity of 9.5% [11]. Risks and Upside Potential - Key upside risks include easing pricing competition, abating headwinds in new testing areas, better-than-expected margins, and faster development in low-altitude economies [11].