Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Organic sales grew by 6% in Q3 2025, with segment margins expanding by 20 basis points to 17.6% [5][22] - Adjusted EPS increased by 11% year-over-year to $1.05, exceeding guidance [5][22] - Year-to-date adjusted free cash flow nearly doubled to $1.8 billion, with over 100% free cash flow conversion expected for the year [5][22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Orders grew by 2%, with strength in The Americas offset by softness in China [6][23] - In the Americas, orders increased by 5%, while EMEA saw a 2% increase, and APAC experienced a decline [23][24] - Sales in the Americas rose by 7% organically, with EMEA growing by 4% and APAC by 6% [24][25] - The backlog grew by 11% to a record $14.6 billion, with both system and service backlogs increasing [6][26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Orders in the Americas increased by 5%, while EMEA saw a 2% increase, and APAC orders declined [23][24] - The service business showed strong growth, particularly in EMEA with an 8% increase [24][25] - The data center market remains robust, contributing to healthy sales growth [94] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on customer centricity, operational efficiency, and innovation to drive growth [8][9] - A new business system is being implemented, emphasizing simplification, acceleration, and scaling through lean principles and digitization [12][13] - The company is evaluating its portfolio for potential acquisitions or exits to ensure sustainable growth [18][19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the core vertical markets remaining healthy despite challenges in China [64] - The company anticipates low single-digit organic sales growth for Q4 and is raising its full-year guidance for adjusted EPS and free cash flow [27][28] - There is a focus on improving operational efficiency and addressing growth blockers identified in various business lines [15][16] Other Important Information - The sale of the residential and light commercial HVAC business to Bosch is expected to close in Q4, with most net proceeds returned to shareholders [28] - The company is committed to returning 100% of free cash flow to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases [27][28] Q&A Session Summary Question: Initial observations and KPIs focus - Management highlighted the importance of sharpening customer focus and driving growth through innovation and R&D investments [30][32] Question: Accelerating growth in Fire and Security - Management sees potential for growth in Fire and Security, with plans to apply new business system principles to improve performance [41][44] Question: Free cash flow opportunities - Management noted strong cash flow performance driven by improved accounts receivable management and ongoing lean transformation efforts [47][49] Question: Order trends and long-term outlook - Management acknowledged ongoing softness in China but expressed confidence in healthy pipelines and core vertical markets [62][64] Question: Framework for 2026 and Investor Day plans - Management is working on 2026 plans and aims to provide a clearer long-term outlook as the year progresses [71][73]

FISCAL Q3 2025 Earnings Conference Call July 29, 2025 FORWARD-LOOKING AND CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS/NON-GAAP FINANCIAL INFORMATION Johnson Controls International plc cautionary statement regarding forward-looking statements Johnson Controls International plc has made statements in this communication that are forward-looking and therefore are subject to risks and uncertainties. All statements in this document other than statements of historical fact are, or could be, "forward-looking statements" within the meani ...

Core Viewpoint - Carrier Global (CARR) is expected to report a decline in both earnings and revenues for the first quarter of 2025, with earnings estimated at 57 cents per share, reflecting an 8.06% year-over-year decrease, and revenues projected at $5.11 billion, indicating a 17.4% decline [1]. Group 1: Earnings and Revenue Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter earnings is 57 cents per share, unchanged over the past 30 days, suggesting a year-over-year decline of 8.06% [1]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $5.11 billion, indicating a 17.4% year-over-year decline [1]. Group 2: Recent Performance Trends - Carrier Global has consistently surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 8.68% [2]. - The HVAC segment is expected to contribute to top-line growth, driven by strong demand for heating and cooling systems in residential and commercial applications [3]. Group 3: Segment Performance Insights - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter 2025 HVAC revenues is $4.32 billion, indicating a decline of 4.87% year-over-year [4]. - Residential HVAC orders in North America increased approximately 10-15% year-over-year in Q4 2024, with global commercial HVAC orders also up 10%, trends likely to continue in Q1 [4]. - The aftermarket segment has shown consistent double-digit growth, expected to continue in the upcoming quarter [5]. Group 4: Market Opportunities and Challenges - The data center market is anticipated to grow significantly due to increased heat generation from AI chips, with Carrier Global aiming to capitalize on this growth [6]. - The integration of Viessmann Climate Solutions is expected to enhance Carrier's capabilities in heat pump technology and sustainable solutions [6]. - Weakness in Europe and China, along with softness in commercial refrigeration, is expected to negatively impact Carrier's performance in the upcoming quarter [7]. Group 5: Earnings Prediction Model - Carrier Global has an Earnings ESP of +0.63% and a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a moderate chance of an earnings beat [8].

Core Insights - Trane Technologies (TT) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $2.19 per share, a 12.9% increase year-over-year, with revenues projected at $4.46 billion, reflecting a 5.8% year-over-year growth [1] Earnings Projections - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.4% over the past 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [2] - Revisions to earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor behavior and are linked to short-term stock price performance [3] Revenue Estimates - Analysts predict 'Revenues- Americas' will reach $3.59 billion, a year-over-year increase of 7.6% [5] - 'Revenues- EMEA' are expected to be $570.44 million, reflecting a 3.1% year-over-year growth [5] - 'Revenues- Asia Pacific' are forecasted at $307.53 million, indicating a year-over-year decline of 6% [5] Key Metrics - Total Bookings are estimated at $5.23 billion, compared to $5.07 billion in the same quarter last year [6] - 'Adjusted EBITDA- Americas' is projected to be $678.31 million, up from $604.80 million year-over-year [6] - 'Adjusted EBITDA- EMEA' is expected to reach $110.57 million, compared to $99.40 million last year [7] - 'Adjusted EBITDA- Asia Pacific' is forecasted at $68.72 million, down from $70.80 million year-over-year [7] Stock Performance - Trane Technologies shares have returned -1% over the past month, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has seen a -4.8% change [7] - The company holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting it is expected to perform in line with the overall market in the near future [7]