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Should Investors Bet on UPS Post Its Andlauer Healthcare Buyout?
ZACKS· 2025-11-07 17:35
Core Insights - United Parcel Service (UPS) has completed the acquisition of Andlauer Healthcare Group for $1.6 billion (C$2.2 billion), providing shareholders with C$55.00 per share in cash [1] - The acquisition enhances UPS' position in healthcare logistics, allowing for improved transit times and quality assurance for UPS Healthcare customers [2] - UPS reported better-than-expected third-quarter 2025 earnings, with earnings per share of $1.74 and revenues of $21.4 billion, although both figures declined year over year [3][4] Financial Performance - UPS' earnings per share of $1.74 exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.31 but showed a 1.1% decline year over year [4] - Revenues of $21.4 billion surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $20.8 billion but decreased by 3.7% year over year [4] - Management projects fourth-quarter revenues of approximately $24 billion, with an adjusted operating margin of 11-11.5% [5] Capital Allocation - Estimated capital expenditures are around $3.5 billion, with dividend payments expected to be approximately $5.5 billion and completed share repurchases of around $1 billion [6] Volume Challenges - Despite strong earnings, UPS faces low shipment volumes, particularly in the U.S., where average daily volumes declined year over year due to reduced Amazon shipments and lower-margin e-commerce volumes [8][9] - The international segment's operating profit declined by 12.8% to $691 million, with margins contracting to 14.8% from 18% a year ago, impacted by global trade challenges [10][11] Stock Performance - UPS shares have declined over 25% year to date, underperforming compared to the Zacks Transportation—Air Freight and Cargo industry's 17.9% decline [13] - UPS is currently considered relatively undervalued, trading at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 0.9X, lower than the industry average [16] Investment Outlook - While UPS' valuation appears attractive and the Andlauer Healthcare acquisition is a positive move, near-term risks such as tariff-related uncertainties and volume challenges may outweigh the positives [17] - Holding onto UPS stock is seen as prudent, with potential investors advised to wait for a more favorable entry point [19]
1 Reason I'm Still Keeping an Eye on UPS Stock, Despite Recent Lows
The Motley Fool· 2025-10-02 10:15
Core Insights - United Parcel Service (UPS) has experienced a significant decline in stock price, dropping 32% year to date and approximately 60% from its pandemic-era highs [1][2] - The decline in earnings is attributed to increased labor costs, narrowed margins due to weaker U.S. volumes, and tariff challenges [2] - UPS is shifting its focus towards high-margin clients, particularly in the healthcare logistics sector, which could lead to a turnaround in performance [2][6] Financial Performance - The stock price of UPS has fallen by double digits in 2025, reflecting broader challenges in the transportation sector [1] - Total healthcare revenue for UPS was $10.5 billion in 2024, with ambitions to double this to $20 billion by 2026 [4] Strategic Moves - UPS strategically ended its partnership with Amazon, which accounted for about 11.8% of its revenue last year, to focus on higher-margin clients [3] - The company has made acquisitions, such as Andlauer Healthcare in April 2025 and Bomi in 2022, to enhance its healthcare logistics capabilities [4] Market Outlook - The healthcare sector is seen as a promising area for UPS, as clients prioritize reliability over cost, potentially leading to higher-margin deliveries [5] - The combination of healthcare logistics and other high-margin business segments could inspire renewed investor confidence and reverse the current downward trend in stock price [6]