Core Viewpoint - Jakks Pacific (JAKK) shares have increased by approximately 5.3% over the past month, underperforming the S&P 500, raising questions about the sustainability of this trend leading up to the next earnings release [1] Group 1: Earnings and Estimates - No earnings estimate revisions have been made by analysts in the last two months [2] Group 2: VGM Scores - Jakks has a strong Growth Score of A, but a low Momentum Score of F; it also holds an A grade for value, placing it in the top 20% for this investment strategy, resulting in an aggregate VGM Score of A [3] Group 3: Outlook - Jakks holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating expectations for above-average returns in the coming months [4] Group 4: Industry Performance - Jakks is part of the Zacks Toys - Games - Hobbies industry, where Hasbro (HAS) has seen a 7.1% increase in the past month; Hasbro reported revenues of $887.1 million for the last quarter, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 17.1% [5] - Hasbro's expected earnings for the current quarter are $0.77 per share, indicating a year-over-year decline of 36.9%, with a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) and a VGM Score of B [6]

Company Performance - Mattel reported a quarterly loss of $0.03 per share, better than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.11, and an improvement from a loss of $0.05 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 72.73% [1] - The company posted revenues of $826.6 million for the quarter ended March 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.37% and showing an increase from $809.5 million in the same quarter last year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Mattel has exceeded consensus EPS estimates four times and topped consensus revenue estimates two times [2] Stock Outlook - Mattel shares have declined approximately 7.6% since the beginning of the year, compared to a decline of 3.3% for the S&P 500 [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.20 on revenues of $1.1 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $1.59 on revenues of $5.42 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Mattel is currently unfavorable, resulting in a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell) for the stock, indicating expected underperformance in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Toys - Games - Hobbies industry, to which Mattel belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 21% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a challenging environment [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can impact investor sentiment and stock performance [5]