Summary of Horizon Robotics Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Horizon Robotics (9660.HK) - **Industry**: Automotive technology, specifically focusing on smart driving and advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) Key Financial Highlights - **2H24 Revenue**: Rmb1.4 billion, representing a **23% YoY** and **55% QoQ** increase, exceeding Bloomberg consensus by **10%** [4][8] - **Gross Margin (GM)**: Achieved **76.1%**, higher than the expected **72.5%** and consensus estimate of **69.5%** [4][8] - **Operating Income**: Reported at Rmb-1.24 billion, in line with expectations [4][8] - **Net Income**: Turned positive at Rmb7.4 billion, significantly beating expectations of a loss [7][8] - **Product Solutions Delivery**: Expected to reach **2.9 million** in 2024 with **100+ car model design wins** [2][9] Product and Market Developments - **Partnership with Li Auto**: Li Auto plans to adopt Horizon Robotics' J6M chips for its L/MEGA series vehicles, upgrading from J5 solutions, indicating strong supplier credibility [1][9] - **Chip Adoption**: Increasing adoption of Horizon's chips among local OEMs, with a focus on higher-end products like J6M (128 TOPS) and J6P (560 TOPS) [1][9] - **Market Expansion**: Horizon Robotics is expanding its presence among Chinese OEMs, including BYD, Changan, Geely, Chery, and GAC, promoting intelligent driving features [9] Future Outlook - **Revenue Growth Projections**: Expected **50% YoY** growth in 2025, with continued strong growth rates of **60%+ YoY** in 2026-2028 [11] - **Earnings Revisions**: Adjustments made to 2025E-2030E earnings, with a **2%-5%** increase in revenue estimates for 2026-2030 [10][11] - **Target Price**: Raised to **HK$13.33** from **HK$11.77**, based on a revised EV/EBITDA multiple of **30.0x** for 2028E [19] Risks and Challenges - **Competitive Landscape**: Potential risks include increased competition and pricing pressures in the auto supply chain amid slow demand [18] - **Product Mix Upgrade**: Risks associated with slower-than-expected upgrades to AD products and expansion of the customer base [18] - **Supply Chain Risks**: Geopolitical tensions may pose supply chain challenges [18] Conclusion Horizon Robotics is positioned for significant growth driven by partnerships with major OEMs, strong product demand, and a favorable market environment for smart driving technologies. The company’s financial performance in 2H24 indicates robust growth, and the outlook remains positive despite potential risks in the competitive landscape.