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Snowflake Rallies Post Q1 Earnings: Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-05-26 18:31
Core Insights - Snowflake (SNOW) shares have increased by 11.7% since the release of its first-quarter fiscal 2026 results, driven by strong platform adoption and a net revenue retention rate of 124% as of April 30, 2025 [1] - The company has seen a year-to-date share price increase of 29.5%, outperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector, which decreased by 3.8%, and the Zacks Internet Software industry, which increased by 4.3% [2] - Snowflake's customer base has grown significantly, with 11,578 customers as of April 30, 2025, up from 9,741 customers a year earlier, and a net addition of 451 customers in the first quarter of fiscal 2026, representing a 19% year-over-year increase [2] Financial Performance - For the second quarter of fiscal 2026, Snowflake expects product revenues to be between $1.03 billion and $1.04 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 25% [15] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter fiscal 2026 revenues is currently at $1.08 billion, reflecting a 24.60% year-over-year growth [16] - For fiscal 2026, Snowflake anticipates product revenues to reach $4.32 billion, a 25% increase from fiscal 2025 [15] Competitive Landscape - Snowflake's strong partner ecosystem, including major companies like Microsoft, Amazon, and NVIDIA, has been a key growth driver [7] - The company faces intense competition from major cloud providers such as AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud, as well as rivals like Databricks [18][19] - Rising expenses and GPU-related costs due to aggressive investments in AI initiatives are impacting profitability [18][19] Product and Innovation - Snowflake's expanding portfolio includes products like Apache Iceberg, Hybrid tables, and Cortex AI, which are attracting new clients [12] - The integration of OpenAI's models into Snowflake Cortex AI through a partnership with Microsoft enhances enterprise AI capabilities [8] - More than 5,200 customers are utilizing Snowflake's AI and machine learning technology weekly, indicating strong engagement [14]
Should You Buy, Hold, or Sell Snowflake Stock Before Q1 Earnings?
ZACKS· 2025-05-19 15:15
Core Viewpoint - Snowflake is expected to report strong fiscal Q1 2026 results, with projected revenues of $1 billion and earnings of 22 cents per share, indicating significant year-over-year growth [1][2]. Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Snowflake's Q1 fiscal 2026 revenue is $1 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 21.13% [1]. - The earnings consensus is 22 cents per share, unchanged over the past 30 days, indicating a 57.14% year-over-year growth [1]. - Snowflake's product revenues for Q1 fiscal 2026 are expected to be in the range of $955-$960 million, suggesting a year-over-year growth of 21-22% [5]. Customer Growth and Retention - As of January 31, 2025, Snowflake had 11,159 customers, up from 9,384 a year earlier, with 745 being part of the Forbes Global 2000 [5]. - The net revenue retention rate stood at 126% as of January 31, 2025, indicating strong customer loyalty and expansion [4]. Product and Technology Advancements - Snowflake's investments in AI and machine learning, including the introduction of Cortex AI, have driven customer engagement, with over 4,000 customers using these technologies weekly [6]. - The company has enhanced its AI Data Cloud by integrating core capabilities with Apache Iceberg tables, improving query performance and data sharing [13]. Market Performance - Snowflake shares have increased by 18.5% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector, which has decreased by 1.4% [7]. - The stock is currently trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 12.81X, significantly higher than the sector average of 6.18X, indicating potential overvaluation [10][11]. Strategic Partnerships - Snowflake's partnerships with major companies like Microsoft, Amazon, and NVIDIA are expected to drive growth through enhanced product integrations and collaborative sales efforts [15][16][18]. - The expanded partnership with Microsoft aims to integrate OpenAI's models into Snowflake's offerings, enhancing productivity through AI-driven insights [16]. Challenges and Considerations - The company anticipates a tougher year-over-year revenue comparison due to the impact of the leap year, which may affect top-line growth [19]. - Non-GAAP operating margins for Q1 fiscal 2026 are expected to be impacted by approximately $15 million in expenses related to the annual sales kickoff event [20].