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海博思创(688411):储能核心卡位,国内经济性与海外AI共振
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-11-11 08:50
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company, setting a target price of 350 CNY per share based on a 33X PE for the projected earnings in 2026 [3][5]. Core Insights - The company focuses on the energy storage integration segment and is recognized as a leading provider of energy storage system solutions and technical services, ranking second in the industry for system bids in 2024 [1][3]. - The domestic energy storage market is transitioning from mandatory storage requirements to IRR-driven models, with significant potential for capacity expansion as the current storage ratio is only about 4% [1][2]. - The company is expected to maintain high revenue growth from 2022 to 2024, benefiting from the previous energy storage industry boom and demonstrating strong cost control capabilities [1][30]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company specializes in energy storage system integration and has a strong focus on R&D, production, sales, and service across the entire energy supply chain [16][19]. - The ownership structure is stable, with the founder holding 20.04% of the shares, and the management team has extensive experience in the power electronics sector [21][22]. 2. Financial Performance - The company has experienced rapid revenue growth, with projected revenues of 82.7 billion CNY in 2024, reflecting an 18.4% increase from the previous year [4][30]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 6.48 billion CNY in 2024, with a growth rate of 12.1% [4][38]. - The gross margin is projected to remain stable at 18.5% in 2024, despite a decline in average contract prices [1][43]. 3. Market Dynamics - The energy storage market is entering a period of explosive growth, driven by the need for frequency regulation and the increasing demand for energy storage solutions in data centers [2][48]. - The company has made significant inroads into international markets, particularly in Europe, Australia, and the Middle East, with a strong pipeline of large-scale energy storage projects [2][3][57]. 4. Competitive Positioning - The company has a unique advantage in selecting high-quality project nodes, which is crucial for maximizing IRR in energy storage projects [3][5]. - The integration of AI and financial ecosystems is enabling the company to transition from a traditional energy storage supplier to a comprehensive lifecycle service provider [3][5].