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Gartner大幅提升数据中心支出预测
半导体行业观察· 2025-10-28 01:07
Core Insights - The article discusses the significant increase in global IT spending driven by the surge in investments in AI technologies, particularly in GenAI hardware and software [2][5] - Gartner predicts that global IT spending will exceed $6 trillion by 2026, marking a substantial increase from previous forecasts [2][5] IT Spending Forecasts - Data Center Systems spending is projected to reach $489.5 billion in 2025, with a growth rate of 46.8%, and $582.4 billion in 2026, with a growth rate of 19% [3] - Enterprise Software spending is expected to grow from $1,244.3 billion in 2025 to $1,433.0 billion in 2026, reflecting a growth rate of 15.2% [3] - IT Services spending is forecasted to increase from $1,719.3 billion in 2025 to $1,869.3 billion in 2026, with an 8.7% growth rate [3] - Overall IT spending is anticipated to grow from $5,540.4 billion in 2025 to $6,084.1 billion in 2026, indicating a growth rate of 0.8% [3] Historical Context and Trends - Data Center Systems spending in 2024 is expected to reach $333.4 billion, nearly double the pre-pandemic levels, with a 40.3% increase from 2023 [7] - The growth rates for Data Center Systems spending are significantly higher than global GDP growth rates, highlighting the impact of GenAI and other factors [7][10] - Core IT spending, which includes Data Center Systems, Enterprise Software, and IT Services, tends to grow faster than overall IT spending, which includes telecommunications and devices [12] Inflation Impact - Adjusting for inflation, the cumulative effect from 2022 to 2026 adds $10.31 billion to the spending figures, indicating that the apparent growth may be influenced by inflation [10] - Even with inflation adjustments, the increase in Data Center Systems spending from 2019 to 2026 is projected to be 2.55 times, showcasing substantial growth [10]