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Is StoneCo's 2027 TPV Target Achievable Amid Rising Competition?
ZACKS· 2025-07-21 16:51
Core Insights - StoneCo Ltd. is strategically focusing on the micro, small, and medium business (MSMB) segment in Brazil's digital payments landscape, reporting a 17% year-over-year growth in MSMB total payment volume (TPV) to R$119.5 billion in Q1 2025 [1][7] - The company’s bundling strategy has led to a significant increase in heavy users, rising to 38% from 26% year-over-year, indicating strong cross-sell momentum [2][7] - StoneCo projects a continued growth trajectory with MSMB TPV expected to exceed R$670 billion by 2027, reflecting a 14% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) [3][7] Company Performance - StoneCo's active MSMB client base increased by 17% year-over-year to 4.3 million, demonstrating robust traction despite macroeconomic challenges [1][7] - The company has seen a 95% year-over-year growth in PIX transactions, which are replacing traditional debit transactions and enhancing client deposits [2] - StoneCo's shares have surged 71.5% year-to-date, outperforming the broader industry and the S&P 500 Index [6] Peer Comparison - PagSeguro Digital Ltd. reported an 11.2% year-over-year increase in MSMB TPV to R$95.2 billion, with MSMB segment accounting for 74% of its total TPV in Q1 2025 [4] - MercadoLibre, Inc. achieved a total payment volume of $58.3 billion, up 43% year-over-year, with significant growth in active fintech users [5] Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for StoneCo's 2025 EPS suggests a 10.37% growth year-over-year, while the 2026 estimate indicates a 16.11% increase [8] - StoneCo's current forward 12-month P/E ratio is 8.42X, significantly below the industry average of 40.18X, indicating a potentially undervalued stock [10]
Blackbaud's Q1 Earnings Beat Estimates & Rise Y/Y, Revenues Down
ZACKS· 2025-05-01 14:46
Core Viewpoint - Blackbaud, Inc. reported strong first-quarter 2025 results with non-GAAP EPS of 96 cents, exceeding estimates and showing a year-over-year increase, despite a decline in total revenues due to the divestiture of EVERFI [1][2]. Financial Performance - Non-GAAP EPS for Q1 2025 was 96 cents, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 6.7% and increasing 3.2% year over year [1]. - Total revenues decreased 3.1% year over year to $270.7 million, primarily due to the divestiture of EVERFI, but still exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.9% [1][2]. - GAAP recurring revenue declined 2.8% to $264.1 million, accounting for 97.6% of total revenue [2]. - Non-GAAP organic revenues increased by 5.8% on a reported basis and 5.9% on a constant-currency basis year over year [4]. - Non-GAAP gross margin was 61.2%, slightly down from 61.4% a year ago, while total operating expenses fell 4.9% to $135.4 million [4]. Profitability Metrics - GAAP operating margin increased by 370 basis points to 7.5%, and non-GAAP operating margin rose by 270 basis points to 28.6% [5]. - Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA margin was reported at 34.3% [5]. Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - As of March 31, 2025, total cash and equivalents were $456.6 million, down from $809.5 million at the end of 2024, while total debt increased to $1.2 billion from $1.1 billion [6]. - Cash provided by operating activities was $1.4 million, a significant decrease from $64.6 million in the prior-year quarter, with non-GAAP adjusted free cash outflow of $12.3 million compared to a free cash flow of $51.3 million in the previous year [7]. Share Buyback and Future Outlook - Blackbaud repurchased around 4% of its outstanding shares in Q1 2025, aligning with its plan to buy back 3% to 5% of shares [9]. - The company reaffirmed its 2025 guidance, projecting GAAP revenues between $1.115 billion and $1.125 billion, with non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA margin expected in the range of 34.9-35.9% [10][11]. Recent Developments - Blackbaud has been actively supporting disaster relief efforts and showcased innovations in corporate giving at the YourCause Corporate Social Impact Summit [12]. - The company introduced Blackbaud Integrated Payments, enhancing its payment processing capabilities [13]. - Blackbaud also launched Optimized Donation Forms for users in Canada and published its 2024 Trends in Giving report [14].
i3 Verticals(IIIV) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-02-07 14:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for Q1 FY 2025 increased by 12% to $61.7 million from $55.1 million in Q1 FY 2024, reflecting organic growth of 10% and approximately $1 million from a recent acquisition [9] - Adjusted EBITDA rose by 17% to $16.4 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 26.5%, up from 25.4% in the prior year [11] - Annual recurring revenues increased by 7.6% to $193.3 million compared to $179.6 million in Q1 FY 2024 [10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - SaaS revenue grew by 16%, contributing significantly to overall revenue growth [5] - Payments revenue increased by 7%, with expectations for SaaS and payments revenues to outpace other revenue forms for the remainder of the year [10] - Non-recurring software license sales surged to $2.7 million in Q1 FY 2025 from $400,000 in Q1 FY 2024, although total software license sales for FY 2025 are expected to be similar to FY 2024 [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Public sector revenues increased by 12% to $48.8 million, representing 79% of total revenues, driven by recurring revenue streams [12] - Healthcare segment revenues rose by 14% to $13.2 million, primarily due to recurring software services and non-recurring software license sales [13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company emphasizes integrating payments within its vertical market software base, particularly in utilities and permitting [6] - M&A remains a crucial part of the company's strategy, focusing on acquisitions in the public sector vertical to enhance market penetration and product offerings [20][21] - The company is transitioning legacy contracts to a SaaS model and upgrading products to meet current market demands [25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the company's growth trajectory, expecting high single-digit organic revenue growth and adjusted EBITDA margin improvement [16] - The company anticipates a strong pipeline for M&A opportunities, particularly in the public sector, with no significant changes in the competitive landscape [20][60] Other Important Information - The company has a strong balance sheet with a cash balance of $85.6 million and $450 million of borrowing capacity on its revolving credit [15] - Guidance for FY 2025 includes revenue expectations of $243 million to $263 million and adjusted EBITDA of $63 million to $71.5 million [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Improvement in healthcare segment growth - Management noted that most one-time software license sales were in the healthcare segment, expecting low single-digit growth for healthcare this year [35] Question: Revenue cadence and license pull forward - Management confirmed that approximately $1.8 million was the license pull forward from Q2 to Q1 [36] Question: Margin expansion expectations - Management indicated that Q3 has historically been the low point for margins, with expectations for similar trends this year [39] Question: Update on large utility customer project - Management reported that the project is progressing well, with revenue expected to stair-step up from approximately $3 million to $5 million this year [39] Question: Long-term opportunities with larger utilities - Management highlighted a positive competitive landscape driven by the need to upgrade legacy software, with increasing demand for their products and services [44] Question: Differences in M&A opportunities - Management stated that their sweet spot for acquisitions remains between $2 million and $5 million in EBITDA, with no significant changes in the competitive environment [58] Question: Organic growth drivers - Management provided insights into the high single-digit organic growth, attributing it to new logos and existing projects, with a net dollar retention rate of 100% [73]