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Is a Beat in the Cards for Chubb Limited This Earnings Season?
ZACKSยท 2025-07-18 14:46
Core Viewpoint - Chubb Limited (CB) is anticipated to show improvements in both revenue and earnings for the second quarter of 2025, with a revenue estimate of $14.83 billion, reflecting a 7% year-over-year growth [1] Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The consensus estimate for earnings per share (EPS) is $5.85, indicating an 8.7% year-over-year increase, with a slight upward revision of 0.1% in the past 30 days [2] - The Earnings ESP for Chubb Limited stands at +1.11%, with the Most Accurate Estimate at $5.91, suggesting a favorable outlook for an earnings beat [3] Factors Influencing Q2 Results - Premium growth is expected across most product lines, driven by strong retention, rate increases, and new business [4][9] - The International Life Insurance segment is projected to benefit from strong new business in North Asia, particularly in Hong Kong, Taiwan, and Korea, with net premiums earned estimated at $13.1 billion, a 6.7% increase from the previous year [5] - Net investment income is forecasted to be $1.9 billion, benefiting from higher average invested assets and reinvestment rates, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate at $1.8 billion [6] Underwriting Profitability and Expenses - Improved pricing, increased exposure, and prudent underwriting are expected to enhance underwriting profitability, leading to a combined ratio estimate of 85%, an improvement of 200 basis points [7] - Total expenses are anticipated to rise to $10.3 billion due to higher losses, policy benefits, and administrative costs, although share buybacks are expected to support the bottom line [8]