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Tech Slumps Before NVIDIA Earnings: Any ETF Winners in Tech Space?
ZACKS· 2025-11-18 13:01
Core Insights - The Nasdaq Composite index decreased by 0.84% on November 17, 2025, primarily due to pressure on major technology stocks, including a 2% decline in NVIDIA's shares, which is set to report earnings on November 19, 2025 [1][3] Group 1: Market Trends and Stock Performance - Concerns regarding a potential bubble in AI stocks have been affecting market momentum for an extended period [2] - Alphabet's shares increased by approximately 3% on November 17, 2025, following news of Berkshire Hathaway acquiring a stake in the company [2] - NVIDIA's CEO announced a substantial order book of "half a trillion dollars" for 2025 and 2026, leading to heightened expectations for long-term growth, although analysts caution that any signs of demand cooling could negatively impact the stock and the tech sector [3] Group 2: Earnings Expectations - NVIDIA currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) and has an Earnings ESP of +3.17%, indicating a positive outlook for its near-term earnings potential [4] - Research indicates that stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive earnings surprise [5] Group 3: Economic Outlook and Interest Rates - Some strategists believe a year-end rally in AI stocks is still possible despite recent tech sell-offs driven by valuation concerns and heavy capital expenditures [6] - HSBC's Max Kettner expressed that the likelihood of a year-end equity rally outweighs fears of an AI bubble burst [7] - Mixed signals from Federal Reserve officials regarding a potential December rate cut suggest that a focus on a weakening labor market could lead to a rate cut, which would benefit growth sectors like technology [8][9] Group 4: Technology ETFs - Several undervalued high-momentum technology ETFs are highlighted, including: - Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) with a P/E of 34.04X, which has seen a 2.7% loss over the past week and a 1.3% loss over the past month [10] - Invesco Next Gen Connectivity ETF (KNCT) with a P/E of 24.04X, showing a one-month price gain of 3.7% and a one-week gain of 1.1% [10] - First Trust Indxx Innovative Transaction & Process ETF (LEGR) with a P/E of 15.44X, reporting a one-month price gain of 2.0% and a one-week gain of 0.6% [11] - iShares Future Exponential Technologies ETF (XT) with a P/E of 32.64X, reflecting a one-month price gain of 1.9% and a one-week gain of 0.3% [12]