Investment Banking (IB) Fees
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Is Bank of America Stock Worth Owning Ahead of Q4 Earnings?
ZACKS· 2026-01-12 15:01
Core Viewpoint - Bank of America (BAC) is expected to report strong fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, with revenue growth driven by trading and net interest income (NII) despite some challenges from interest rate cuts [1][2]. Financial Performance - BAC's nine-month performance was solid, with impressive trading numbers and growth in NII, leading to a projected revenue of $27.32 billion for Q4, indicating a 7.8% year-over-year growth [2][10]. - The consensus estimate for earnings has been revised 1% lower to 95 cents, reflecting a 15.9% increase from the prior-year quarter, supported by higher NII and a solid capital markets business [3]. Estimate Revision Trend - Current earnings estimates for Q4 2025 are 0.95, down from 0.96 a week ago, while estimates for the next quarter and the current year remain stable [5]. - BAC has a history of earnings surprises, having outperformed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last four quarters with an average surprise of 8.47% [5][6]. Factors Impacting Q4 Performance - NII is expected to be between $15.6 billion and $15.7 billion for Q4, suggesting an 8% year-over-year growth, despite recent Federal Reserve interest rate cuts [9]. - Loan demand has been robust, particularly in commercial, industrial, real estate, and consumer loans, which is expected to support BAC's performance [8]. Investment Banking (IB) and Trading Income - IB fees are projected to be "flattish to a little bit down" from last year, with a consensus estimate of $1.62 billion, indicating a 2% decline [13]. - Trading revenues are expected to rise by 23.3% year-over-year, driven by market volatility and increased client activity, with total sales and trading revenues estimated at $5.06 billion [15]. Expenses and Asset Quality - Non-interest expenses are anticipated to be around $17.3 billion for Q4, reflecting a 3.6% year-over-year increase due to expansion and digitization efforts [16]. - The provision for credit losses is estimated at $1.33 billion, with non-performing loans expected to increase by 6.6% year-over-year [17][18]. Stock Performance and Valuation - BAC shares gained 6.6% in Q4, outperforming the S&P 500, but lagging behind JPMorgan and Citigroup [22]. - The stock is trading at a price-to-tangible book (P/TB) ratio of 2.01X, below the industry average of 3.18X, indicating it is currently undervalued [25]. Strategic Outlook - The company is focusing on aggressive branch expansion and technology investments to drive future NII growth, with an expected growth rate of 6-7% for 2026 [29][30]. - Management's commentary on NII guidance and IB outlook during the upcoming earnings call will be crucial for investors [31].
Does BAC Stock Deserve a Spot in Your Portfolio Ahead of Q3 Earnings?
ZACKS· 2025-10-13 14:21
Core Viewpoint - Bank of America is expected to report strong third-quarter 2025 results, driven by growth in net interest income and trading activities, despite a subdued investment banking performance [2][10]. Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is $27.12 billion, indicating a 7% year-over-year growth [2]. - Earnings estimates for the quarter have been revised down by 1.1% to 94 cents, reflecting a 16.1% increase from the previous year [3]. - Bank of America has a history of exceeding earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 6.24% over the last four quarters [5]. Net Interest Income (NII) - NII is projected to grow sequentially to around $15.2 billion, representing a 7.9% year-over-year increase [9]. - The overall lending environment has been strong, particularly in commercial and industrial loans, which is expected to positively impact NII [8]. Investment Banking (IB) Fees - IB fees are anticipated to increase by 10-15% year-over-year, supported by a rebound in global M&A activity and a strong IPO market [12]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for IB income is $1.62 billion, reflecting a 4.7% growth from the prior year [13]. Trading Income - Trading revenues are expected to rise in the mid-single digits year-over-year, driven by high client activity and market volatility [15]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for total sales and trading revenues is $5.23 billion, indicating a 6% year-over-year increase [15]. Expenses - Non-interest expenses are projected to be around $17.3 billion, suggesting a 4.9% year-over-year increase due to branch expansion and digitization efforts [16]. Asset Quality - The provision for credit losses is estimated at $1.58 billion, with non-performing loans expected to rise by 18.3% year-over-year [18]. Stock Performance and Valuation - Bank of America shares gained 9% in the third quarter, underperforming compared to peers like JPMorgan and Citigroup [21]. - The stock is trading at a price-to-tangible book (P/TB) ratio of 1.80X, which is below the industry average of 2.91X, indicating it is currently undervalued [23]. Strategic Outlook - The company is focusing on aggressive branch expansion and technology investments to enhance customer relationships and drive NII growth [27]. - While the outlook remains positive, potential challenges include the impact of Fed rate cuts and rising operating expenses [28].
Evaluating BAC's Growth Drivers and Risks Ahead of Q2 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-07-14 14:21
Core Viewpoint - Bank of America (BAC) is expected to report solid second-quarter 2025 results, with revenues projected at $26.59 billion, reflecting a 4.8% year-over-year growth, driven by strong trading performance and an increase in net interest income (NII) [1][2]. Financial Performance - The consensus estimate for BAC's earnings in the upcoming quarter has been revised down by 1.1% to 86 cents, indicating a 3.6% increase from the same quarter last year [2]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NII is $14.86 billion, suggesting a 7.2% year-over-year increase, while trading revenues are expected to grow by 9.1% to $5.11 billion [8][14]. Earnings Surprise History - Bank of America has a strong earnings surprise history, having outperformed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last four quarters with an average surprise of 6.63% [5][7]. Loan Demand and NII - The Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates unchanged is likely to support BAC's NII, with solid demand for commercial, industrial, real estate, and consumer loans observed during the quarter [8][9]. - BAC is expected to see a modest rise in loan demand, similar to its peers JPMorgan and Citigroup [8]. Investment Banking Fees - Despite a challenging environment due to tariffs, global M&A activity improved towards the end of the quarter, likely leading to a marginal rise in advisory fees for BAC [10]. - The IPO market showed a revival, contributing to an increase in underwriting fees, which account for nearly 40% of total investment banking fees [11]. Trading Income - Strong client activity and market volatility are expected to boost BAC's trading revenues, projected to grow in the mid-to-high single-digit range [13][14]. Expenses and Asset Quality - Non-interest expenses are anticipated to rise by 4% year-over-year, driven by expansion efforts and digitization initiatives [15]. - The provision for credit losses is estimated at $1.54 billion, reflecting concerns over potential delinquent loans amid higher interest rates and tariff impacts [16]. Stock Performance and Valuation - BAC shares gained 18.6% in the second quarter, outperforming the S&P 500 Index, while trading at a price-to-tangible book (P/TB) ratio of 1.76X, below the industry average of 2.86X [21][24]. - Compared to JPMorgan and Citigroup, BAC's stock appears inexpensive, with JPMorgan at 3.04X and Citigroup at 0.97X [27]. Strategic Positioning - The company is focusing on aggressive branch expansion and technology investments to enhance customer relationships and drive NII growth over time [29]. - While the outlook remains promising, challenges such as high deposit costs and volatile capital markets may impact fee income growth [30].