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PAAS Secures All Approvals for MAG Deal: Is Industry Leadership Next?
ZACKS· 2025-08-27 18:00
Core Insights - Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) has received final regulatory approval for its acquisition of MAG Silver Corp. (MAG), with the transaction expected to close around September 4, 2025, enhancing PAAS's position in the silver market [1][9] - The acquisition includes a 44% stake in the Juanicipio project, recognized as the largest, highest-grade, and lowest-cost primary silver mine globally [2][9] - Juanicipio is projected to produce 14.7-16.7 million ounces of silver in 2025, increasing PAAS's total output to 26.5-28.3 million ounces, significantly surpassing competitors [3][9] Production and Cost Efficiency - The Juanicipio project is anticipated to lower PAAS's all-in sustaining costs (AISC) for silver, with current AISC reported at $19.69 per ounce and a guidance of $16.25-$18.25 for 2025 [4] - The project is expected to add 58 million ounces to PAAS's proven and probable silver reserves, which were 468 million ounces as of June 30, 2024 [5] Financial Performance - PAAS shares have increased by 63.8% year-to-date, outperforming the industry growth of 56.7% and the Basic Materials sector's rise of 17.7% [8] - The consensus estimate for PAAS's earnings in 2025 is $1.98 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 150.6%, with a further increase projected for 2026 [13]
Will PAAS Unlock More Value Through Its MAG Silver Acquisition?
ZACKS· 2025-06-12 14:56
Core Insights - Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) is acquiring MAG Silver Corp. (MAG) in a $2.1 billion deal to enhance reserves and cash flows, solidifying its position in the silver mining industry [1][10] - The acquisition is expected to significantly boost PAAS' production and reduce costs, particularly through the Juanicipio project [3][5] Acquisition Details - MAG Silver's 44% stake in the Juanicipio project is a key asset, known as the world's largest-scale, highest-grade, and lowest-cost primary silver mine [3] - The deal has received approval from the boards of both companies and is pending regulatory approvals, including antitrust clearance from Mexican authorities [2] Production and Financial Impact - Juanicipio is forecasted to produce 14.7-16.7 million ounces of silver in 2025, with PAAS' share translating to approximately 6.5–7.3 million ounces [4] - This addition will complement PAAS' guided 2025 production of 20–21 million ounces, excluding Juanicipio [4] - The acquisition is expected to add 58 million ounces to PAAS' proven and probable silver reserves, which were 468 million ounces as of June 30, 2024 [6] - Juanicipio is projected to contribute $98 million in free cash flow to PAAS this year, with an expected growth of 23% over the next three years [6][10] Market Position and Performance - The combined market capitalization of PAAS and MAG Silver will be around $12.6 billion, surpassing competitors like First Majestic and Coeur Mining [8] - Year-to-date, PAAS shares have gained 41.8%, outperforming the industry's growth of 34.8% [9] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PAAS' earnings for 2025 is $1.47 per share, indicating a year-over-year surge of 86% [13] - The estimate for 2026 is $1.89, reflecting an increase of 28.7% [13]