W W Grainger (NYSE:GWW) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 03, 2026 11:00 AM ET Company ParticipantsD.G. Macpherson - Chairman and CEODee Merriwether - CFOKyle Bland - VP of Investor RelationsConference Call ParticipantsChris Dankert - AnalystChristopher Glynn - AnalystChristopher Snyder - AnalystConnor Lynagh - AnalystDavid Manthey - AnalystGuy Hardwick - AnalystJacob Levinson - AnalystRyan Merkel - AnalystStephen Volkmann - AnalystTommy Moll - AnalystOperator...Greetings, and welcome to the W.W. Grainger Four ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total company sales growth for 2025 was 4.5% on a reported basis and 4.9% on a daily organic constant currency basis, finishing the year at $17.9 billion [17][19] - Operating margin for the year was 15%, with adjusted EPS growth of 1.3% to $39.48 per share [18] - ROIC finished at 39.1%, and operating cash flow was $2 billion, allowing for $1.5 billion returned to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - High-Touch Solutions segment delivered sales growth of 2.2% on a reported basis, with nearly 3 points of price inflation contributing to this growth [21] - Endless Assortment segment saw significant improvement, with daily organic constant currency sales up 15.6%, driven by strong performance from Zoro and MonotaRO [17][31] - Zoro achieved 16% growth, while MonotaRO experienced 18.4% growth in local constant currency [31] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The MRO market showed sequential momentum but remained muted overall, with Grainger's performance particularly strong in contractor and manufacturing sectors [21] - The company expects market volumes to be down 1.5% to flat in 2026, reflecting cautious outlook due to tariff-related price increases [33] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Grainger is focused on leveraging technology and data capabilities to enhance customer experience and drive growth, with significant investments in AI and machine learning [5][10] - The company streamlined its portfolio by exiting the UK market and is investing in new supply chain capacity to maintain service leadership [4][15] - Grainger aims to achieve 400-500 basis points of average annual outgrowth over time, with a focus on improving seller effectiveness and expanding seller coverage [30][36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged macroeconomic challenges in 2025 but expressed confidence in the company's ability to deliver strong results and growth in 2026 [4][18] - The tone of conversations with large customers remains cautious, with no significant tailwinds expected for market growth [56] - The company anticipates continued demand pressure in the High-Touch Solutions segment due to tariff-related price increases [33] Other Important Information - Grainger was recognized as a great place to work and one of the world's most ethical companies, reflecting its commitment to a positive workplace culture [16] - The company plans to invest $550 million to $650 million in capital expenditures for supply chain initiatives and technology investments in 2026 [38] Q&A Session Summary Question: What drives the cautious outlook for the year overall? - Management plans conservatively and acknowledges a strong start in January but notes a tailwind from a competitive outage in Japan [46][48] Question: Update on digital channels and order origination? - EDI ePro has grown to about 40% of order origination, with KeepStock also increasing its share [49][50] Question: Tone of conversations with large customers? - The tone remains cautious, with no panic but also no significant optimism for volume growth [56][57] Question: Update on mid-sized customer growth? - There has been some acceleration, driven by marketing and merchandising efforts, but it is not a significant inflection point [60] Question: Gross margins in Q4 and expectations for Q1? - Q4 gross margins were better than expected due to LIFO costs being less negative, but Q1 is expected to see some LIFO costs shift, impacting margins [63][70] Question: Factors affecting margin guidance for 2026? - The exit from the UK market will provide a tailwind, while the faster growth of Endless Assortment will be a headwind for margins [78]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2025, total company sales grew by 4.5% on a reported basis, or 4.9% on a daily organic constant currency basis, finishing the year at $17.9 billion [17][19] - Operating margin for the year was 15%, with adjusted EPS growth of 1.3%, equating to $39.48 per share [18] - ROIC finished at 39.1%, and operating cash flow was $2 billion, allowing for $1.5 billion returned to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - High-Touch Solutions segment delivered sales growth of 2.2% on a reported basis, with nearly 3 points of price inflation contributing to this growth [22] - Endless Assortment segment saw significant improvement, with daily organic constant currency sales up 15.6%, driven by strong performance from Zoro and MonotaRO [17] - Zoro achieved a sales increase of 16%, while MonotaRO experienced 18.4% growth in local constant currency [32] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The MRO market showed signs of sequential momentum but remained muted overall, with Grainger's indicators suggesting a mixed outlook across different sectors [22][26] - The multifactor model used to assess market volume indicated Grainger finished 2025 with roughly 250 basis points of outgrowth on a volume basis, despite the overall market being down between 1.5% and 0.5% [31] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company streamlined its portfolio by exiting the UK market and invested in new supply chain capacity to enhance service leadership [4][17] - Grainger is focused on leveraging technology and data capabilities to drive growth, with significant investments in AI and machine learning to optimize marketing and seller effectiveness [5][12] - The company aims to achieve 400-500 basis points of average annual outgrowth over time, with a focus on improving seller coverage and effectiveness [31] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the challenges faced in 2025, including tariff dynamics and soft MRO market demand, but expressed confidence in the company's ability to deliver growth and shareholder returns [18][34] - For 2026, the company expects revenue between $18.7 billion and $19.1 billion, with daily organic constant currency sales growth projected between 6.5% and 9% [34][41] - Management remains cautious about market growth, anticipating continued demand pressure due to tariff-related price increases [34] Other Important Information - Grainger was recognized as a great place to work and one of the world's most ethical companies, reflecting its commitment to a positive workplace culture [16] - The company plans to invest approximately $550 million to $650 million in capital expenditures to support supply chain initiatives and technology investments [40] Q&A Session Summary Question: Growth outlook and cautiousness for the year - Management indicated that planning conservatively is essential, and while January showed strong growth, external factors like competitive outages influenced results [48][49] Question: Update on digital channels - EDI ePro has grown to approximately 40% of order origination, indicating a shift towards direct connections with customers [50][52] Question: Customer tone and market expectations - Conversations with large customers reflect a mixed sentiment, with no panic but also no significant tailwinds expected for volume growth [58][59] Question: Gross margins and first-quarter expectations - Gross margins in Q4 were better than expected, with LIFO costs impacting first-quarter margins negatively [64][66] Question: Continued outgrowth for High-Touch Solutions - Management noted that external factors and execution challenges have influenced outgrowth, but improvements in seller effectiveness and marketing are expected to drive future growth [81][82]