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If M&A continues at this pace you want to be long Biotech into next year, says Mizuho's Jared Holz
Youtube· 2025-11-14 23:17
Core Viewpoint - Merc has announced a $9.2 billion acquisition of Sedara Therapeutics, a flu drug maker, with Sedara's shares more than doubling following the news. This move is part of Merc's strategy to replenish its pipeline ahead of the patent expiry of Kitruda in 2028, which accounted for nearly half of Merc's revenues in 2024 [1]. Company Strategy - The acquisition of Sedara is seen as part of Merc's "string of pearls" strategy to supplement Kitruda, addressing potential revenue gaps in the latter part of the decade [6]. - The deal aligns with recent trends in the pharmaceutical industry, where companies are increasingly looking to acquire assets to mitigate the impact of patent expirations [9]. Market Context - The current environment is characterized by a high level of M&A activity in the biotech sector, with many companies, including Bristol, Amgen, and Sanofi, expected to pursue acquisitions to strengthen their portfolios [9][10]. - The year is projected to be one of the busiest on record in terms of the number of deals, indicating a strong appetite for acquisitions among pharmaceutical companies [9]. Valuation Insights - Analysts suggest that the valuation for the Sedara deal falls within the typical range of four to five times revenue, indicating that Merc may not have overpaid despite the urgency in the market [4]. - The competitive bidding environment for Sedara suggests that multiple parties were interested, which may validate the acquisition price [3][10]. Investment Sentiment - The sentiment towards the healthcare sector, particularly biotech, has improved, with many investors viewing it as more investable due to the ongoing M&A activity [11][12]. - Small and mid-cap biotech companies are highlighted as attractive investment opportunities in light of the current M&A fervor [12].
The setup on earnings beyond tech
Youtube· 2025-10-29 18:19
Group 1: Semiconductor Equipment Industry - There has been a positive trend in the semiconductor equipment sector, with companies like Applied Materials, Lamb Research, and KLA Corp reaching new all-time highs due to strong earnings and favorable market conditions [2] - The rhetoric surrounding the semiconductor industry has improved, which is expected to have a positive impact on the market [2] - Despite a challenging year, the semiconductor equipment sector is anticipated to continue its positive momentum [3] Group 2: Healthcare and Biotech Sector - The healthcare sector, particularly pharmaceuticals and biotech, is viewed favorably as growth opportunities are expected to arise, especially leading into the midterm election year of 2026 [6] - There is a focus on the performance of Merck, particularly regarding its cancer drug Kitruda, with concerns about risks associated with its future performance [8] - The financial services engagement environment is expected to support strong performance from S&P Global, indicating a positive outlook for the healthcare sector [5]