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e.l.f. Beauty Shares Slip as Piper Sandler Lowers Target on Competitive Pressures
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-12-22 22:07
Core Viewpoint - Piper Sandler has lowered its price target for e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. to $85.00 from $100.00 while maintaining a Neutral rating, resulting in a more than 2% decline in shares on Monday [1] Group 1: Market Competition - Intensifying competition is noted as rivals regain momentum, impacting e.l.f.'s market share gains which slowed in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 but showed improvement in the third quarter due to product launches [2] - Competitors such as L'Oréal, NYX, and Maybelline are increasing their innovation efforts, raising the bar for differentiation in the market [2] Group 2: Sales Growth Estimates - The third-quarter fiscal 2026 estimate for core e.l.f. sales growth has been raised to 5%, exceeding the company's annual guidance of 3%–4% [3] - However, the fourth-quarter forecast has been lowered to a 1% decline due to challenging comparisons [3] Group 3: Valuation Metrics - The reduced price target reflects a valuation of 16x fiscal 2027 EBITDA, down from 18x previously [4] - The stock's current P/E multiple of 26x is near the midpoint of its recent 18x–35x range and may face compression if shipments continue to lag behind consumption trends into fiscal 2027 [4]