Core Viewpoint - The investment community is divided on whether to maintain cash reserves for opportunistic investments, but recent market conditions have allowed for new investments, particularly in e.l.f. Beauty, which shows promising growth potential [1][2]. Company Overview - e.l.f. Beauty is a consumer discretionary company that has gained attention due to its strong growth rate and popularity among consumers, particularly for its affordable beauty products [3][5]. - The company expects to grow its fiscal 2026 net sales by at least 22% year over year, with current net sales up 21% after three quarters [5]. Pricing Strategy - On August 1, e.l.f. Beauty raised its prices by approximately 15%, yet its products remain about 20% cheaper than competing mass-market brands, maintaining its position as a low-cost leader [6]. Financial Performance - e.l.f. Beauty has a market capitalization of $4.8 billion and a gross margin of 65.91%. However, profits have declined due to tariffs affecting its gross margin and the recent $1 billion acquisition of beauty brand rhode [8]. - Despite the profit decline, e.l.f. Beauty is still achieving double-digit top-line growth and navigating macroeconomic challenges while delivering profits according to GAAP [9]. Valuation Insights - The stock has seen a significant drop from its highs and currently trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 42, which is below its average valuation since early 2022, indicating potential for future valuation improvement if profits normalize [9][11]. Investment Rationale - e.l.f. Beauty is viewed as a growing business that generates profits and trades at a supportive valuation, making it an attractive investment opportunity for the long term [12].

e.l.f. Beauty Inc. (NYSE:ELF) is one of the 13 High-Risk High-Reward Growth Stocks to Invest In. On February 9, TD Cowen trimmed its target price on e.l.f. Beauty by 9.1% to $100 (from $110), while retaining its Buy recommendation on the stock. Oliver Chen, the analyst from TD Cowen who made this update, said that this TP change was prompted by an update of his forecast, following the release of Elf Beauty’s Q3-FY2026 results. He added that while Q3 sales grew 38% YoY, he expects revenue growth to taper o ...

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Core Insights - e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. reported a 38% increase in quarterly net sales, reaching $489.5 million, driven by growth in retailer and e-commerce channels both in the US and internationally [1][3] - The company's gross margin declined by approximately 30 basis points to 71%, primarily due to increased tariff costs, although this was somewhat offset by pricing and product mix benefits [2] - e.l.f. Beauty raised its FY 2026 outlook, expecting net sales growth of approximately 22% to 23% year-over-year, up from a previous estimate of 18% to 20%, with Rhode expected to contribute around $260 million to $265 million in net sales for FY 2026, an increase from the prior expectation of $200 million [3] Analyst Ratings - JPMorgan analyst Andrea Teixeira increased the price target for e.l.f. Beauty shares to $105 from $103 while maintaining an "Overweight" rating [4]

TD Cowen analyst Oliver Chen lowered the firm’s price target on Elf Beauty (ELF) to $100 from $110 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm updated its estimates following Q3 results and see a 2H reset as core growth normalizes to LSD%, which may keep shares range-bound near term. Published first on TheFly – the ultimate source for real-time, market-moving breaking financial news. Try Now>> See the top stocks recommended by analysts >> Read More on ELF: Disclaimer & DisclosureReport an Issue ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on e.l.f. Beauty, raising the full-year net sales growth guidance from 18%-20% to 22%-23% due to the strong contribution from the Rhode acquisition [2][9]. Core Insights - e.l.f. Beauty achieved a 38% year-over-year increase in net sales for FY26Q3, reaching $489.5 million, with the Rhode acquisition contributing approximately $128 million [2][9]. - The core organic net sales growth was only about 2%, which is below expectations, primarily due to short-term softness in key international markets like the UK and Germany [2][9]. - The company has adjusted its global consumption growth expectation down to 6% from 8%, reflecting a marginal weakening in the broader consumer environment [2][9]. - The adjusted EBITDA rose by 79% to $123 million, representing 25% of net sales, indicating strong operational performance [2][9]. Performance Summary - e.l.f. Beauty has achieved year-over-year net sales growth for 28 consecutive quarters, positioning it among the few publicly-listed companies in the consumer sector capable of sustaining such prolonged high growth [2][9]. - The strong performance is driven by an excellent brand portfolio strategy, particularly the significant contribution from Rhode, alongside organic growth from the core business through a value proposition of premium quality at accessible pricing [2][9]. Cost Structure and Profitability - The gross margin in FY26Q3 decreased by 30 basis points to 71%, mainly due to higher tariff costs, partially offset by pricing and product mix optimization [3][10]. - The ratio of selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses to net sales declined from 54% to 51%, benefiting from improved marketing spend efficiency [3][10]. - Marketing and digital investment as a percentage of net sales decreased from 27% to 21%, but is expected to rebound to around 27% in the second half of the fiscal year due to increased investment in major brand campaigns [3][10]. Brand Performance - The e.l.f. Cosmetics brand saw an 8% year-over-year increase in U.S. consumption, significantly outpacing the overall color cosmetics category growth of 4% [4][11]. - The company has established a dominant 22% market share in the face makeup segment, with significant growth potential remaining in lip and eye categories [4][11]. - Acquired brands like Rhode have achieved record launches in Sephora, and Naturium and e.l.f. SKIN have outperformed the overall U.S. skincare category growth [4][11]. Innovation and Marketing - e.l.f. continues to drive product innovation through community insights, with new products priced competitively against high-end counterparts [5][12]. - Breakthrough marketing campaigns have generated over 4 billion impressions, showcasing the company's effective marketing strategies [5][12]. International Market Potential - International sales currently account for approximately 20% of total sales, indicating substantial growth potential compared to the industry average of over 70% [6][13]. - The company has established a comprehensive distribution network in Germany and is expanding its presence in premium markets like Australia/New Zealand with the Rhode brand [6][13].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on e.l.f. Beauty, indicating an upgrade in full-year net sales growth guidance from 18%-20% to 22%-23% due to the strong contribution from the Rhode acquisition [2][9]. Core Insights - e.l.f. Beauty reported a 38% year-over-year increase in net sales for FY26Q3, reaching $489.5 million, with the Rhode acquisition contributing approximately $128 million [2][9]. - The core organic net sales growth was only about 2%, which is below expectations, primarily due to short-term softness in key international markets like the UK and Germany [2][9]. - The company has adjusted its global consumption growth expectation down to 6% from 8%, reflecting a marginal weakening in the broader consumer environment [2][9]. - Adjusted EBITDA rose 79% to $123 million, representing 25% of net sales, showcasing the company's ability to maintain strong performance over 28 consecutive quarters of year-over-year net sales growth [2][9]. Financial Performance - Gross margin for FY26Q3 decreased by 30 basis points to 71%, mainly due to higher tariff costs, but was partially offset by pricing and product mix optimization [3][10]. - Selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses as a percentage of net sales decreased from 54% to 51%, attributed to improved marketing efficiency and timing shifts of some expenses [3][10]. - The company reported a net income of $39.4 million and an adjusted net income of $74.5 million, with diluted earnings per share at $0.65 and adjusted diluted earnings per share at $1.24 [3][10]. Brand and Market Dynamics - e.l.f. Cosmetics brand achieved an 8% year-over-year increase in U.S. consumption, significantly outpacing the overall color cosmetics category growth of 4% [4][11]. - The company has established a dominant 22% market share in the face makeup segment, with substantial growth potential in lip and eye categories [4][11]. - The Rhode brand has set records for the largest brand launch in Sephora's history in North America and the UK, indicating strong market acceptance [4][11]. Innovation and Marketing Strategy - e.l.f. continues to leverage community insights for product innovation, with new products priced competitively against high-end counterparts, generating positive feedback [5][12]. - Marketing initiatives, including collaborations and campaigns, have resulted in over 4 billion impressions, showcasing the effectiveness of their marketing strategy [5][12]. International Market Potential - International sales currently account for about 20% of total sales, indicating significant growth potential compared to the industry average of over 70% [6][13]. - The company has established a comprehensive distribution network in Germany and is expanding its presence in Australia/New Zealand with the Rhode brand [6][13]. - Despite short-term pressures in the UK market, the company is implementing strategies to strengthen its value proposition and enhance brand awareness [6][13].

Core Viewpoint - E.l.f. Beauty's stock experienced a significant reversal despite strong fiscal Q3 results, presenting a potential buying opportunity for investors [1]. Financial Performance - E.l.f. Beauty reported a 38% year-over-year increase in sales for fiscal Q3, reaching $489.5 million, surpassing the analyst consensus of $460 million [3]. - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) rose 68% from $0.74 to $1.24, exceeding the analyst consensus of $0.72 [3]. - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 79% to $123 million [3]. Market Position and Growth - The company achieved a gross margin of 65.91% and organic growth, excluding the acquisition of Rhode, was 2% [5]. - Total consumption grew by 6%, with an 8% increase in the U.S. market [5]. - E.l.f.'s namesake brand gained 130 basis points in market share within the mass cosmetics sector during the quarter [5]. Revenue Breakdown - U.S. revenue increased by 36%, while international revenue rose by 44%, although weak consumption was noted in the U.K. [6]. - Rhode contributed $128 million in revenue for the quarter, aided by its launch at Sephora [5]. Future Outlook - E.l.f. raised its full-year fiscal 2026 guidance, now expecting sales growth of 22% to 33%, up from a previous estimate of 18% to 20% [6]. - Updated fiscal 2025 outlook includes net sales of $1.6 billion to $1.612 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $323 million to $326 million, and adjusted EPS of $3.05 to $3.10 [7]. Expansion Plans - The company plans to launch Rhode in Australia and New Zealand and introduce its Naturium brand into Walmart in the U.S. this spring [8]. - E.l.f. will also increase shelf space for its brand at Ulta Beauty and launch at DM in Germany [8]. Investment Consideration - E.l.f. is currently trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 22 and a price/earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio of 0.4, indicating it may be undervalued [10].

Core Viewpoint - The nostalgia for 2016 among Gen Z is expected to drive a new boom cycle in the beauty industry, particularly benefiting companies like e.l.f. Beauty and Ulta Beauty [1] Group 1: Industry Trends - Gen Z's current social media trend involves sharing photos from 2016, indicating a longing for that era when social media was less commercialized [1] - The year 2016 is identified as a peak time for bold makeup styles, which contrasts with the subsequent trend of "no-makeup makeup" [1] Group 2: Company Impact - Companies such as e.l.f. Beauty and Ulta Beauty are positioned to benefit from this nostalgia-driven trend, potentially leading to increased sales and market interest [1] - The anticipated "supercycle" in beauty products, especially makeup, suggests a significant opportunity for growth for these companies [1]

Core Insights - The market perception of e.l.f. Beauty has shifted from viewing it as a strong growth story to a more cautious stance [1] Company Analysis - e.l.f. Beauty was previously considered a company with a compelling growth narrative, indicating strong potential in the beauty industry [1]