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Will Strong Cloud and AI Demand Continue Driving WDC's Revenues?
ZACKS· 2025-09-24 14:41
Core Insights - Western Digital Corporation (WDC) is experiencing strong momentum due to cloud adoption and AI reshaping global storage needs, benefiting from increased demand for high-capacity drives [1][5] Group 1: Business Performance - In the fiscal fourth quarter, Western Digital shipped 190 exabytes of storage, a 32% increase year over year, driven by demand for nearline drives and high-capacity products [2][9] - The company reported a 30% year-over-year revenue surge in Q4, with Q1 guidance projecting non-GAAP revenues of $2.7 billion, reflecting a 22% year-over-year increase [5][9] - Shipments of 26TB CMR and 32TB UltraSMR drives more than doubled from the previous quarter, exceeding 1.7 million units in June [2][9] Group 2: Product Development - Western Digital is advancing its next-generation HAMR drives, which are entering the qualification phase, with a ramp-up targeted for the first half of 2027 [3] - The company’s next-gen ePMR drives are expected to complete qualification by early 2026, facilitating a smooth transition to HAMR technology [3] - The solid-state drive (SSD) market is expanding rapidly, driven by the demand for faster and more energy-efficient drives suitable for various applications [3] Group 3: Market Trends - The rise of generative and agentic AI is creating unprecedented demand for unstructured data storage, with AI agents generating data at an accelerated rate [4] - Cloud computing and AI-driven applications are significantly influencing the demand for high-capacity storage solutions [5] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The disk drive industry remains highly competitive, with Western Digital facing competition from companies like Seagate, Pure Storage, Hitachi, Samsung, and Intel [6] - Customer concentration and a leveraged balance sheet are noted as concerns for the company [6] Group 5: Valuation and Estimates - Over the past year, Western Digital shares have increased by 67.1%, outperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry's growth of 28.8% [12] - The forward price/earnings ratio for WDC is 17.76X, lower than the industry average of 22.06X [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for WDC's earnings for fiscal 2026 has been revised up by 10.1% to $6.52 over the past 60 days [14]
Seagate Stock Surges 153.4% in 6 Months: Will the Uptrend Continue?
ZACKS· 2025-09-22 16:46
Core Viewpoint - Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) has experienced significant stock growth, outperforming industry benchmarks, driven by increased demand for mass capacity storage solutions and expansion into the SSD market [1][8]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Seagate's stock has surged 153.4% over the past six months, significantly outperforming the Computer - Integrated Systems industry's growth of 36.1%, the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's increase of 30.6%, and the S&P 500's growth of 17.2% [1]. - In the last three months, the stock has risen by 66.2% [1]. Group 2: Growth Drivers - The company is benefiting from a rise in demand for mass capacity storage, with mass capacity revenues increasing by 40% year-over-year due to stronger nearline cloud demand and enterprise sales [3][8]. - Nearline drives accounted for 91% of total mass capacity exabytes shipped in the last reported quarter, indicating strong market demand [3][8]. - Seagate's expansion into the SSD market is a key growth area, as SSDs offer faster speeds and energy efficiency, making them suitable for mobile devices and data centers [6]. Group 3: Technology and Innovation - A significant growth catalyst for Seagate is the rollout of its HAMR technology, which enhances areal density and supports next-generation storage solutions [5]. - The successful ramp-up of HAMR-based Mozaic products has already qualified three major cloud customers, with more in progress [5]. Group 4: Financial Outlook - For the first quarter of fiscal 2026, Seagate anticipates revenues of $2.5 billion, reflecting a 15% year-over-year improvement, with expected non-GAAP earnings of $2.3 per share [10]. - The company projects non-GAAP operating margins to grow in the mid-high 20s percentage range of revenues [10]. Group 5: Challenges - Seagate faces challenges with high debt levels, reporting $891 million in cash and cash equivalents against $5 billion in long-term debt as of June 27, 2025 [11]. - The company also contends with stiff competition in the data storage industry and ongoing global macroeconomic issues [11].
Strength Seen in Seagate (STX): Can Its 7.7% Jump Turn into More Strength?
ZACKS· 2025-09-16 12:06
Company Overview - Seagate (STX) shares increased by 7.7% to close at $211.12, with a notable trading volume compared to typical sessions, and a total gain of 26.9% over the past four weeks [1] Product Launch - The recent launch of the LaCie Rugged SSD4 on September 15 is a key driver for the share price increase. This external solid-state drive is designed for creators and offers read speeds of up to 4000MB/s and write speeds of 3800MB/s, with a USB 40Gbps port for fast file transfers [2] Market Demand - There is a growing demand for mass capacity storage solutions, particularly in the nearline cloud segment. Mass capacity revenues surged by 40% year over year to $2 billion, driven by stronger nearline cloud demand and increasing enterprise sales [3] - Nearline drives constituted 91% of total mass capacity exabytes shipped in the June quarter, with cloud investment cycles and AI-ready data center infrastructure driving demand [4] Earnings Expectations - Seagate is expected to report quarterly earnings of $2.33 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 47.5%, with revenues projected at $2.52 billion, up 16% from the previous year [5] - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 3.3% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a positive trend that typically correlates with stock price appreciation [6] Industry Context - Seagate holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) and is part of the Zacks Computer - Integrated Systems industry, which includes IonQ, Inc. that also saw a 6.3% increase in its stock price [7]