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自动驾驶愿景遇现实需求考验 ?Rivian(RIVN.US)自研芯片与软件未能掀起波澜
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 14:20
Core Viewpoint - Rivian Automotive's recent unveiling of its self-developed autonomous driving chip and AI technology has led to a reassessment of the company's actual value by Wall Street analysts, highlighting a significant divide in opinions regarding Rivian's future prospects [1] Group 1: Technology and Product Development - Rivian plans to equip its upcoming R2 SUV with the Rivian Autonomy Processor 1 (RAP1) chip and a new lidar sensor, aiming for full autonomous driving capabilities [2] - The RAP1 chip utilizes advanced chiplet packaging technology with a memory bandwidth of 205GB per second, significantly enhancing Rivian's autonomous driving capabilities [2] - The new system, Autonomy Compute Module 3, can process 5 billion pixels per second, outperforming the current Nvidia system used in Rivian vehicles by four times [2] Group 2: Market Position and Analyst Ratings - Needham reaffirmed a "Buy" rating for Rivian, raising the target price to $23, citing confidence in Rivian's unique market positioning and vertical integration that allows for rapid learning and iteration in autonomous driving technology [3] - Morgan Stanley remains cautious, maintaining an "Underweight" rating with a target price of $12, highlighting concerns over demand risks that could limit data collection necessary for advanced autonomous driving [4] - Wells Fargo holds a neutral stance with an "Equal Weight" rating, noting the low margin for error in Rivian's business and the need for the company to prove its ability to grow its customer base while maintaining low advertising costs [5] Group 3: Company Background and Challenges - Rivian, which went public in 2021, was initially seen as a strong competitor to Tesla but has faced operational challenges, with production expected to fall below 50,000 vehicles this year [6] - The company has experienced significant stock price declines, losing over 80% from its IPO peak, despite ongoing commitments from partners like Volkswagen to invest nearly $6 billion in joint projects [6] - Rivian's core autonomous driving system, the Large Driving Model, aims to enhance driving capabilities in existing models before the full R2 platform launch in 2027, although initial software upgrades will be limited compared to Tesla's Full Self-Driving features [7]