Core Viewpoint - Starbucks Corporation is expected to report third-quarter financial results that may indicate either a turnaround or increased competition impacting market share [1] Earnings Estimates - Analysts predict third-quarter revenue of $9.29 billion, an increase from $9.11 billion in the same quarter last year [2] - The company has missed revenue estimates in seven of the past ten quarters [2] Earnings Per Share - Expected earnings per share for the third quarter is 65 cents, down from 93 cents in the previous year [3] - Starbucks has missed earnings per share estimates in five of the past ten quarters [3] Analyst Insights - The introduction of the Green Apron staffing model may increase labor costs by 12% at U.S. stores, potentially impacting earnings in 2026 and 2027 [4] - Despite the increased labor costs, analysts have raised same-store sales estimates for 2026 through 2028 [4] Visitor Trends - A report from Placer.ai indicates a consistent number of unique visitors, although overall visits have declined recently [5] - Monthly visits in January increased by 3.1% and in April by 0.9% year-over-year, while some months saw declines [6] Competitive Landscape - Starbucks is focusing on loyal visits and moving away from short-term discounts, which may take time to show results [7] - Competition includes drive-thru coffee chains, coffee houses, and consumers brewing coffee at home [7] Investor Expectations - Investors are keen to hear about Starbucks' loyal consumer base and any insights on competitive trends during the earnings report [8] Analyst Ratings - Bank of America maintained a Buy rating and raised the price target from $101 to $110 [9] - Barclays maintained an Overweight rating but lowered the price target from $108 to $106 [9] - Jefferies downgraded from Hold to Underperform with a price target of $76 [9] - Citigroup maintained a Neutral rating and raised the price target from $95 to $100 [9] - Stifel maintained a Buy rating and raised the price target from $92 to $105 [9] Recent Performance - The second quarter saw comparable store sales down 1% in North America, down 2% internationally, and flat in China [10] - The company has been quiet on guidance since the new CEO took over, which may lead to volatility in shares post-earnings report [11]

Core Viewpoint - Luckin Coffee, China's largest coffee chain, has opened its first locations in the United States, specifically in New York City, after successfully competing against Starbucks in Asia [1][5]. Group 1: Store Launch and Promotions - Luckin Coffee opened its first US locations on Monday, including two in New York City [1][5]. - The company is promoting its new storefronts with special deals, such as offering free tote bags to the first 100 customers and 99-cent drinks for a limited time [2][11]. Group 2: Product Offerings and Pricing Strategy - Luckin Coffee offers a diverse menu that includes coffee, matcha, lattes, and fruity drinks, along with pastries like banana yogurt loaf and sausage, egg, and cheese croissant [3]. - The chain's pricing strategy is competitive, with drinks in China priced approximately 30% lower than those at Starbucks [3]. Group 3: Company Background and Growth - Founded in Xiamen, China in 2017, Luckin Coffee rapidly expanded to surpass Starbucks in the number of storefronts by 2019, currently operating around 22,000 locations in China and additional stores in Singapore [4]. - Despite facing a significant scandal in 2020 involving accounting fraud, which led to a $180 million fine and a $175 million settlement, the company has continued to grow, doubling its number of stores and increasing revenue by 87% in 2023, outperforming Starbucks in China [7][9]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - Recent reports indicated that Starbucks was exploring a partial sale of its Chinese business, although the company has since denied these claims [10].