Core Viewpoint - Li Auto has reported a significant net loss in Q3 2025, marking a shift from its previous profitability and indicating challenges in its transition to battery electric vehicles (BEVs) amid increasing competition in the new energy vehicle market [1][4][6]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Li Auto recorded a net loss of RMB 625 million (approximately USD 89.286 million), ending a streak of 11 profitable quarters [1][4]. - Vehicle sales revenue fell to RMB 25.9 billion (approximately USD 3.7 billion), a decrease of 37.4% from RMB 41.3 billion (approximately USD 5.9 billion) in Q3 2024 [3]. - Total revenue for Q3 2025 was RMB 27.4 billion (approximately USD 3.914 billion), down 36.2% from RMB 42.9 billion (approximately USD 6.129 billion) in Q3 2024, and down 9.5% quarter-over-quarter from RMB 30.2 billion (approximately USD 4.314 billion) in Q2 2025 [4]. - Total deliveries were 93,211 units, reflecting a 39.0% year-over-year decline [3]. Market Challenges - Li Auto is facing intensified competition in the new energy vehicle market, particularly from brands like AITO and Deepal in the extended-range electric vehicle (EREV) segment, and Tesla and NIO in the BEV segment [7][8]. - The company is experiencing a late transition to BEVs and insufficient production capacity, which are critical issues that need to be addressed to enhance competitiveness [7][10]. Production Capacity and Supply Chain - Despite positive market response to newly launched BEV models i6 and i8, supply chain challenges have limited their deliveries to only 18% of total deliveries in Q3 [11]. - Li Auto is attempting to increase production capacity through a dual-supplier system but faces urgent supply chain stability issues [11]. Strategic Expansion and New Ventures - Li Auto has begun expanding into new business lines, including "Space Robotics" and "Wearable Robotics," and launched AI smart glasses, but the market response has been lukewarm [12][13]. - The AI smart glasses market is highly competitive, with established brands dominating, making it difficult for Li Auto to gain traction [13]. Consumer Engagement - Despite declining deliveries, Li Auto maintains a relatively stable consumer base with high app user engagement, indicating strong customer loyalty [14]. Q4 Outlook - For Q4 2025, Li Auto is projected to continue facing challenges, with revenue expected to decline to RMB 26.5 billion (approximately USD 3.786 billion), a 40% year-over-year decrease [18].

Market Competition - Onvo's Fei Shen indicates intensified competition in the six-seat EV SUV market due to Tesla's new Model Y L (339,000 yuan) and Li Auto's i8 [1] - The six-seat SUV market is described as particularly active in the second half of the year [1] EV Market Trends - Pure electric vehicle market is experiencing rapid year-on-year growth [2] - Range-extender and plug-in hybrid vehicle sales are declining year-on-year [2] Onvo Performance - Onvo's L90 demonstrates strong demand with 3,790 registrations last week, a 17% increase [2]

Core Insights - Xiaomi is successfully entering the electric vehicle market with its YU7 SUV, which has garnered significant demand, leading the CEO to suggest consumers consider other brands for quicker delivery [1][4][6] Group 1: Product Launch and Market Position - The YU7 electric SUV was unveiled in June, following the success of the SU7, and has already received around 240,000 reservations within the first 18 hours of its launch [2][4] - The starting price for the YU7 is approximately $35,300, making it cheaper than Tesla's Model Y RWD, which starts at $36,700 [3] - The YU7 offers a driving range of about 519 miles, significantly surpassing the Model Y's range of 368 miles [3] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - The YU7's launch is expected to exert pressure on Tesla in the Chinese market, particularly affecting the sales of the Model 3 [4][7] - Tesla's deliveries in China fell by 11.7% year-over-year to 128,803 units in the second quarter, indicating potential struggles against rising competition [7][8] Group 3: Consumer Insights and Recommendations - Wait times for the YU7 are reported to be around 56 to 59 weeks, prompting the CEO to advise consumers about potential delays and suggest alternative vehicles for quicker acquisition [5][6] - The CEO's recommendation of competing brands, including Tesla's Model Y, highlights the current demand for Xiaomi's vehicles [6]

Summary of the Conference Call on China's Auto Parts Sector Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the **China Auto Parts Sector**, particularly the earnings performance of suppliers in Q225 and the evolving client mix within the industry [2][3]. Key Points and Arguments Revenue Growth Expectations - Suppliers are expected to post **encouraging revenue growth** for Q225, driven by new model launches and an increasing content value per vehicle (CPV) [2][3]. - **Fuyao** is projected to achieve **10-15% YoY revenue growth** due to overseas market share expansion and rising domestic average selling prices (ASP) [3]. - **Tuopu** and **Sanhua** are forecasted to deliver **mid-to-high single-digit YoY revenue growth**, with Tuopu expected to achieve **20%-plus QoQ revenue growth** from new orders [3]. Margin Concerns - There are significant **margin concerns** due to ongoing price competition in the auto parts sector, with most companies experiencing a decline in gross margins over the past two years [4]. - Although raw material prices have decreased, which could support margins, headwinds remain from price competition and potential cost increases from new plant ramp-ups [4][15]. Client Mix Evolution - The client mix is evolving, with **Xiaomi**, **Li Auto**, and **AITO** expected to become increasingly important for suppliers from FY24 to FY26E [2][7]. - Revenue contributions from these companies are projected to significantly increase, with some suppliers expected to derive **35-40%** of their 2026 revenue from them [7]. Upcoming Catalysts - Key catalysts for the auto parts sector in H225 include: - Delivery of orders for **Xiaomi YU7** - Launch of **Li Auto's i8** and **Tesla's Model Y L** - Strong sales from **Leapmotor** [5]. - Concerns exist that the Xiaomi YU7 could compete with the Tesla Model Y, but it is believed that the YU7 orders will largely offset any potential decline in Model Y sales [5][24]. Humanoid Robotics Supply Chain - The auto parts suppliers are making strides in the **humanoid robotics** space, leveraging their existing technology and relationships with companies like **Tesla** and **JD.com** [8][58]. - Despite a reduction in Tesla's humanoid robot sales volume guidance, there are still catalysts for growth in this area [8]. Stock Implications - The launch of new models and developments in humanoid robotics are expected to act as **share price catalysts** for supply chain companies in the short term [9]. Additional Important Insights - The analysis indicates that **Desay SV** is expected to benefit the most from the Xiaomi YU7 launch, with a projected **16.6%** revenue increase in 2026E [29]. - The report highlights the potential for **Xiaomi YU7** orders to offset revenue declines from existing customers, particularly for suppliers with higher CPV from the YU7 [24][28]. - Risks to the auto parts sector include demand dampening due to lower auto production, price pressure from automakers, and potential product recalls due to quality issues [61]. This summary encapsulates the key insights and projections discussed during the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and future outlook of the China Auto Parts Sector.