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BMO's Seigerman on Pfizer-Metsera deal: Bullish as we've waited on Pfizer's foray into obesity
Youtube· 2025-09-22 18:01
Core Viewpoint - Fizer's acquisition of experimental obesity drugs positions the company as a credible competitor in the obesity treatment market, enhancing its growth potential and market presence [1][2]. Company Insights - Fizer's entry into the obesity market has been anticipated, with the potential to make a significant impact, especially with their once-monthly treatment options that differ from competitors like Lily and Novo [2][4]. - The oral peptide developed by Fizer does not require fasting, which could improve patient compliance compared to existing treatments [3]. - The obesity drug market is expected to be large enough to accommodate multiple competitors, suggesting that Fizer's new offerings could find a place alongside established players [4][6]. Market Dynamics - The obesity treatment market is projected to be driven by volume rather than price, with existing competitors facing pricing pressures [5]. - Fizer's once-monthly and oral treatment options may provide a competitive edge against established products from Lily and Novo [5]. - The infrastructure required for successful market entry includes a large sales force and complex contracts with payers, indicating significant investment needs for new entrants [7]. Investor Sentiment - Recent data from diabetes meetings has shifted investor sentiment positively towards Novo, highlighting a valuation disconnect between Novo and Lily, which may influence market dynamics [8][9]. - Investors are particularly interested in new trials, such as the Evoke trial examining oral simaglletide for Alzheimer's disease, indicating a broader interest in innovative treatments [9][10].