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Should You Buy Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Stock Before May 6?
The Motley Foolยท 2025-04-16 09:32
Core Viewpoint - Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is positioned to report significant growth in its AI chip sales and overall financial performance, with a focus on its data center segment and upcoming product launches [1][5][10]. Financial Performance - AMD generated total revenue of $25.8 billion in 2024, marking a 14% increase year-over-year, with data center revenue soaring by 94% to a record high of $12.6 billion [6]. - GPU sales contributed $5 billion to the total revenue, with expectations for this figure to scale into the tens of billions in the coming years [7]. - The client segment also saw a revenue increase of 52% year-over-year, reaching $7 billion, driven by Ryzen AI chips for personal computers [8]. Product Developments - AMD launched the MI300X AI GPU in late 2023, which gained traction among major AI developers like Meta Platforms, Microsoft, and Oracle [2]. - The company has introduced the more powerful MI325X and is preparing to ship the MI350 series, which boasts a performance increase of 35 times compared to the previous generation [3][4]. - Oracle's announcement of plans to build a cluster of 30,000 MI355X GPUs indicates strong demand for AMD's upcoming products [4]. Market Position and Valuation - AMD's stock is currently trading 54% below its record high from 2024, presenting an attractive valuation for potential investors [2][13]. - The stock trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 28.2, which is a 31% discount compared to Nvidia's P/E ratio of 37.1 [13]. - Based on Wall Street's average earnings-per-share forecast of $4.65 for 2025, AMD's forward P/E ratio stands at 20.1, suggesting a potential 40% price increase needed to maintain its current P/E ratio [14]. Challenges and Risks - AMD faces uncertainty due to recent tariffs imposed by President Trump, which could impact its customers' AI infrastructure budgets [11][12]. - There is a possibility that AMD's CEO may not increase the 2025 sales forecast for GPUs during the upcoming financial report, which could affect stock performance [12].