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Should You Buy Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Stock After Its Blockbuster Deal With OpenAI?
The Motley Fool· 2025-10-11 08:27
Core Viewpoint - The new deal between AMD and OpenAI positions AMD to enhance its competitiveness against Nvidia in the data center market, particularly in AI GPU sales, but it comes with potential shareholder dilution risks due to share purchase rights granted to OpenAI [1][10][13]. AMD's Position in the Market - AMD has been supplying chips for popular consumer electronics and is now focusing on its data center business, which is crucial for AI development [1][2]. - AMD's MI300X GPU was released in December 2023, following Nvidia's H100, and has gained traction among major tech companies [3]. - The MI350 series GPUs, built on the new CDNA 4 architecture, show significant performance improvements, being 35 times faster on inference workloads compared to previous generations [4]. OpenAI Deal Details - AMD announced a deal with OpenAI on October 6, 2023, to supply millions of advanced GPUs through 2030, marking the largest contract for its AI data center chips [3][8]. - OpenAI plans to utilize MI450 GPUs starting in the second half of 2026, with a total capacity of 6 gigawatts, potentially translating to 3 million to 6 million MI450 GPUs [7][9]. - The estimated value of the deal could reach around $90 billion, significantly boosting AMD's data center business [9]. Financial Performance - AMD reported a record revenue of $7.7 billion in Q2 2025, with the data center segment contributing $3.2 billion, a substantial increase from $1.3 billion in Q2 2023, reflecting a 146% growth [8]. - The deal with OpenAI could further accelerate this growth trajectory [8]. Shareholder Implications - OpenAI has the right to purchase up to 160 million AMD shares at $0.01 each, contingent on meeting specific milestones by 2030, which could lead to significant shareholder dilution [10][11]. - If OpenAI sells these shares at $600 each, it could generate $96 billion, raising concerns about the impact on existing shareholders [11]. - However, the deal includes protections for shareholders, ensuring that AMD shares must meet certain price milestones before full dilution occurs [14].