Summary of Meitu Inc. Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Meitu Inc (1357.HK) - **Industry**: Greater China IT Services and Software - **Current Stock Price**: HK$9.57 (as of September 18, 2025) - **Market Capitalization**: RMB 40,270 million - **52-Week Price Range**: HK$2.04 - HK$12.56 - **Stock Rating**: Overweight [6][65] Key Takeaways - **DesignKit Launch**: Meitu's DesignKit has been launched on Amazon, qualifying to enter the Amazon Solution Provider Network (SPN), which allows it to serve e-commerce merchants, particularly cross-border merchants from China. This is seen as a positive development for DesignKit, which is a key productivity product for Meitu [9][4]. - **Revenue Growth Projections**: Revenue is projected to grow from RMB 3,341 million in FY 2024 to RMB 6,771 million by FY 2027, indicating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 30% [6]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: EPS is expected to increase from RMB 0.13 in FY 2024 to RMB 0.40 by FY 2027 [6]. - **EBITDA Growth**: EBITDA is forecasted to rise from RMB 584 million in FY 2024 to RMB 2,131 million by FY 2027 [6]. - **Valuation Methodology**: The company is valued using a 10-year Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, with a Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) of 10.9% and a terminal growth rate of 3% [10]. Risks and Opportunities - **Upside Risks**: - Faster user penetration due to AI adoption and increased market share overseas - Higher-than-expected Average Revenue Per Paying User (ARPPU) - Improved operating leverage [12]. - **Downside Risks**: - Slower-than-expected growth in paying users - Increased R&D expenses related to AI development - Heightened competition from larger internet companies [12]. Financial Metrics - **Projected Revenue**: - FY 2024: RMB 3,341 million - FY 2025: RMB 4,021 million - FY 2026: RMB 5,120 million - FY 2027: RMB 6,771 million [6]. - **Projected EBITDA**: - FY 2024: RMB 584 million - FY 2025: RMB 1,040 million - FY 2026: RMB 1,504 million - FY 2027: RMB 2,131 million [6]. - **Projected P/E Ratios**: - FY 2024: 21.1 - FY 2025: 42.3 - FY 2026: 32.0 - FY 2027: 21.9 [6]. Conclusion Meitu Inc is positioned for significant growth, particularly through its DesignKit product and expansion into e-commerce via Amazon. The financial projections indicate strong revenue and EBITDA growth, although the company faces risks from competition and user growth dynamics. The current stock rating of Overweight suggests a favorable outlook for investors.

Summary of Meitu Inc. Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Meitu Inc (1357.HK) - **Industry**: Greater China IT Services and Software - **Current Price Target**: HK$14.40, raised from HK$6.00 [2][6] Key Developments - **Launch of RoboNeo**: Meitu introduced an AI design agent named RoboNeo, available for free on websites and mobile apps, supporting English and Chinese. The primary goal is to gather user feedback before integration into other applications [3][4]. - **E-commerce Focus**: RoboNeo aims to simplify e-commerce design, allowing users to create product images, posters, and logos without prior design experience, potentially reducing costs associated with hiring designers [4][5]. Financial Performance - **Revenue Growth**: Projected total consolidated revenue for 2025 is Rmb4,227 million, increasing to Rmb6,981 million by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 26.5% [11][75]. - **Net Profit**: Expected net profit for 2025 is Rmb868 million, growing to Rmb1,716 million by 2027 [11][75]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: Projected EPS for 2025 is Rmb0.19, increasing to Rmb0.37 by 2027 [11][75]. Market Position and Strategy - **Partnership with Alibaba**: Meitu's collaboration with Alibaba is expected to enhance its e-commerce design capabilities, leveraging Alibaba's platform and data [5][44]. - **Transition to Subscription Model**: Meitu is shifting from an advertising-based model to a subscription-based model, which is anticipated to drive long-term revenue growth [20][46]. Competitive Landscape - **Comparison with Competitors**: RoboNeo is compared to Lovart, another design agent launched by former CapCut management. Meitu's advantage lies in its comprehensive application portfolio and integration capabilities [5][44]. - **Market Size for AI E-commerce Design**: Estimated market size for AI-driven e-commerce design in China is around Rmb15 billion, with significant potential for growth as AI adoption increases [36][39]. Key Metrics and Projections - **Monthly Active Users (MAU)**: Expected growth in MAUs from 266 million in 2024 to 309 million by 2027 [27][41]. - **Paying User Penetration**: Projected increase from 4.7% in 2024 to 9.4% by 2027 [27][41]. - **Average Revenue Per Paying User (ARPPU)**: Expected ARPPU to rise from Rmb192 in 2024 to Rmb220 by 2027 [27][41]. Risks and Considerations - **Execution Risks**: Successful execution of the new strategies and product launches is critical for achieving projected growth [6][20]. - **Market Perception**: Current market perception may not fully reflect the long-term potential of RoboNeo and its impact on ARPPU [46][47]. Conclusion Meitu Inc is positioned for significant growth through its innovative AI design agent, RoboNeo, and strategic partnerships, particularly with Alibaba. The transition to a subscription model and the focus on e-commerce design are expected to enhance revenue and profitability in the coming years.