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Sprouts Farmers vs. Costco: Which Retail Stock Holds More Promise Now?
ZACKS· 2025-07-29 14:45
Company Overview - Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) has a market capitalization of approximately $15.6 billion and operates over 440 stores, focusing on fresh, natural, and organic foods for health-conscious consumers [1][4] - Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) has a substantial market capitalization of approximately $414.2 billion, operating a membership-based warehouse model with 908 warehouses globally, including 625 in the U.S. and Puerto Rico [2][8] Market Environment - Both companies are adapting to an evolving retail environment influenced by inflation, changing consumer values, and a focus on affordability and quality [3] - Sprouts Farmers emphasizes curated assortments and disciplined expansion, while Costco leverages its scale and pricing power to drive traffic [3] Sprouts Farmers Market Insights - The market for natural and organic food at home is estimated at around $290 billion, with SFM's private-label products accounting for 24% of total sales [4] - SFM's full-year 2025 guidance includes net sales growth of 12% to 14% [4] - The company plans to open at least 35 new stores in 2025, targeting approximately 10% unit growth, supported by a pipeline of 120 approved sites [6] - E-commerce now represents 15% of total sales, with a 28% year-over-year increase in the first quarter of 2025 [7] Costco Insights - Costco's membership renewal rates are high, at 92.7% in the U.S. and Canada and 90.2% worldwide, contributing to its competitive pricing and customer loyalty [8][10] - Membership fee income increased by 10.4% year-over-year in the third quarter of fiscal 2025 [9] - Costco plans to open 27 new locations in fiscal 2025, bringing its global warehouse total to 914 [11] Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SFM's current financial-year sales and EPS implies year-over-year growth of 13.6% and 35.5%, respectively [14] - Costco's current fiscal-year sales and EPS are expected to grow by 8.1% and 11.6%, respectively [17] - Year-to-date stock performance shows SFM shares advanced 25.6%, while Costco's gained only 1.9% [20] Valuation Comparison - Sprouts Farmers is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 29.42, below its one-year median of 31.32 [21] - Costco's forward P/E ratio stands at 47.29, below its median of 50.76 [21] Investment Outlook - Sprouts Farmers appears to hold more near-term promise due to strong momentum in the health-focused grocery segment and disciplined expansion [23] - Costco's premium valuation and sensitivity to discretionary demand may limit short-term upside [23]
Wall Street's First High-Profile Stock Split of 2025 Has Been Announced -- and It's Not Meta Platforms, Netflix, or Costco!
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-28 07:51
Group 1: Stock Split Overview - The first major stock split of 2025 has been announced by O'Reilly Automotive, marking its first forward split in 20 years and fourth since going public in 1993 [17][18] - O'Reilly Automotive's board approved a 15-for-1 forward split, which is expected to take effect after trading closes on June 9, 2025 [18] - The stock split is aimed at making it easier for employees to purchase whole shares rather than fractions, enhancing participation in the employee stock purchase plan [19] Group 2: Company Performance - O'Reilly Automotive's stock has increased over 4,500% since its last stock split two decades ago, indicating strong company performance and effective management decisions [20] - The average age of vehicles on U.S. roads has risen to 12.6 years in 2024, which benefits auto parts suppliers like O'Reilly as consumers tend to keep older vehicles longer [21] - O'Reilly's hub-and-spoke distribution model, with 31 regional distribution centers and nearly 400 hub stores, ensures efficient supply and availability of over 153,000 stock keeping units (SKUs) [22] Group 3: Share Repurchase Program - O'Reilly Automotive has executed a significant share repurchase program, buying back 96.5 million shares for a total investment of $25.94 billion, resulting in a 59.4% reduction in outstanding shares [23] - The reduction in share count due to buybacks is expected to positively impact earnings per share (EPS), making the stock more attractive to investors [23] Group 4: Market Resilience - The demand for auto parts is considered relatively recession-resistant, suggesting that O'Reilly Automotive's stock may continue to rise in the long term [24]