Core Insights - The near-eye display device market is expected to show a lackluster performance in the short term, with global shipments projected to reach 6.2 million units by 2025 [2] - The VR/MR market, particularly Meta Quest 3s, is anticipated to see a decline in shipments to 5.6 million units by 2025, while AR devices are expected to perform more steadily, with shipments reaching 600,000 units driven by new AI+AR products and decreasing OLEDoS prices [2] - Long-term growth is expected, with global near-eye display shipments projected to rise to 46.5 million units by 2030, supported by ongoing product development from major companies like Meta and Apple, and strong growth in the AR market [2] AR Display Technology Market Development - OLEDoS remains the mainstream technology in China due to its cost advantages, but other technologies pose a threat to its dominance [6] - LCoS technology is expected to gain traction in the market due to Meta's adoption, while the growth of single green LEDoS AR glasses will enhance the penetration of LEDoS technology [6] - The demand for AR devices is increasing, with expectations for shipments using high-spec full-color LEDoS technology to reach 20.9 million units by 2030, achieving a penetration rate of 65% [7] Optical Waveguide Technology and SiC Supply Alliance Analysis - The choice of optical waveguide technology is critical for AR engine modules, with diffraction waveguides currently being the mainstream but needing efficiency improvements [9] - NIL and PL are the two main processing methods for waveguides, with NIL suitable for small-scale development and PL better for mass production [9] - The trend towards larger SiC substrates is expected to enhance cost-effectiveness, with projections indicating that 8-inch SiC substrate shipments could exceed 20% by 2030, moving towards 12-inch substrates in the long term [9] AR Product Development Trends - The specifications of AR devices are becoming standardized to control costs, with mainstream panel sizes for LEDoS and LCoS ranging from 0.13 to 0.18 inches and pixel densities exceeding 5,500 PPI [10] - Chinese brands like Xreal, RayNeo, and INMO are focusing on different strategies, such as enhancing display technology and integrating AI capabilities, reflecting a shift from hardware competition to a more complex software-hardware ecosystem [10]