Core Viewpoint - Citizens Financial Group, Inc. (CFG) is expected to report an increase in second-quarter 2025 earnings and revenues compared to the same quarter last year, with various factors influencing this performance [1][18]. Financial Performance Expectations - CFG's net interest income (NII) is projected to rise by 3% in Q2 2025 from the previous quarter, supported by stable interest rates maintained by the Federal Reserve [3][11]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NII is $1.44 billion, reflecting a 3.2% increase from the prior quarter [4]. - The consensus estimate for second-quarter revenues is $2.01 billion, indicating a 2.2% rise from the year-ago figure [18]. Loan and Asset Quality Insights - Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, demand for commercial and industrial loans and consumer loans is expected to have improved, leading to a modest rise in CFG's lending activities [5]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for average interest-earning assets is $196.2 billion, showing a slight increase from the previous quarter [6]. - Non-accrual loans are estimated to rise to $1.62 billion, a 2.4% increase sequentially, indicating potential concerns regarding asset quality [15]. Non-Interest Income and Fee Growth - Mortgage banking fees are expected to increase to $63 million, a 6.6% rise from the prior quarter, driven by improved refinancing activities [8]. - Trust and investment services fees are projected to reach $84 million, reflecting a 3.7% increase from the previous quarter [9]. - Capital markets fees are estimated at $108.4 million, indicating an 8.4% sequential rise, supported by improved deal-making activities in the latter part of the quarter [12][10]. Expense Management - CFG anticipates that adjusted non-interest expenses will remain stable compared to the first quarter, despite increased costs from new banking offices and technology investments [14].

Core Viewpoint - U.S. Bancorp (USB) is expected to report year-over-year increases in revenues and earnings for Q2 2025, benefiting from lower expenses and higher non-interest income [1] Group 1: Financial Performance Expectations - The company anticipates net interest income (NII) for Q2 2025 to be between $4.1 billion and $4.2 billion, with a consensus estimate of $4.01 billion, reflecting a marginal increase from the previous quarter [2][8] - The consensus estimate for total revenues in Q2 2025 is $7.06 billion, indicating a rise of 3.3% from the year-ago figure [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for average earning assets is $611.2 million, suggesting a slight sequential increase [4] Group 2: Non-Interest Income and Trading Activity - Non-interest income is projected to rise by 3.3% due to gains in trading, mortgage, and card revenues, with total non-interest income estimated at $2.93 billion [9][8] - Trading volumes in equity derivatives and corporate bonds have increased, with the consensus estimate for commercial product revenues at $391 million, reflecting a 2.4% increase from the prior quarter [5] Group 3: Loan Activity and Market Conditions - Lending activity remained strong in Q2 2025, supported by a resilient labor market and easing inflation, with notable demand for commercial and industrial loans [3] - Mortgage banking revenues are expected to reach $179.6 million, indicating a 3.8% increase from the previous quarter, despite mortgage rates fluctuating in the mid-to-upper 6% range [6] Group 4: Expense Management and Asset Quality - The company aims to keep non-interest expenses at or below $4.2 billion in Q2 2025, despite higher costs related to compensation and employee benefits [10][9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for non-performing loans is $1.72 billion, indicating a rise of 1.8% from the prior quarter [10] Group 5: Earnings Expectations - U.S. Bancorp has a positive Earnings ESP of +0.21%, indicating a high likelihood of beating earnings estimates [11] - The consensus estimate for Q2 earnings is $1.07, reflecting a 9.2% increase from the year-ago reported number [12]

Core Viewpoint - M&T Bank Corporation (MTB) is expected to report year-over-year increases in quarterly revenues and earnings for Q2 2025, despite challenges such as a fall in loan balance and rising expenses in the previous quarter [1][10]. Group 1: Financial Performance Expectations - The consensus estimate for MTB's Q2 2025 earnings is $4.03 per share, reflecting a 6.3% increase from the previous year [13]. - The consensus estimate for revenues is $2.39 billion, indicating a 3.6% rise from the prior-year reported level [13]. - MTB's management anticipates a modest rise in average loans for Q2 2025, contributing to the growth of average interest-earning assets, which is estimated at $191.8 billion, a 1.4% increase from the prior quarter [4]. Group 2: Net Interest Income (NII) and Fee Income - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NII (on a tax-equivalent basis) is projected at $1.75 billion, representing a 3.1% increase from the previous quarter [5]. - Management expects higher average total deposits in Q2 2025, which is likely to enhance revenues from service charges on deposit accounts, with a consensus estimate of $135.9 million, a 2.2% rise from the prior quarter [6]. - Mortgage banking fees are expected to improve, with the consensus estimate pegged at $128 million, indicating an 8.5% rise from the previous quarter [8]. Group 3: Expense Management - MTB's management projects a sequential decline in total expenses for Q2 2025, primarily due to lower seasonal compensation costs, with total expenses estimated at $1.37 billion, reflecting a 3.4% decrease [11]. - Despite pressures on NII and concerns regarding expenses, the company is expected to post higher earnings and revenues, supported by mortgage and deposit fees [10]. Group 4: Earnings Surprise Potential - The company has surpassed consensus estimates in three of the last four quarters, with an average negative earnings surprise of 6.67% [2]. - The Earnings ESP for MTB is +0.12%, indicating a favorable outlook for beating estimates this time [12].