Core Viewpoint - Citizens Financial Group, Inc. (CFG) is expected to report an increase in fourth-quarter and 2025 earnings and revenues compared to the previous year [1][10] Financial Performance Expectations - CFG's net interest income (NII) is projected to rise by 2.5-3% sequentially in Q4 2025, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.53 billion, reflecting a 2.7% increase from the prior quarter [4] - The average interest-earning assets are estimated at $199.9 billion, indicating a 1.2% rise from the previous quarter [5] - The consensus estimate for fourth-quarter earnings is $1.11 per share, representing a 30.6% increase year-over-year, while revenues are expected to reach $2.15 billion, an 8.2% rise from the previous year [15] Income Sources - Non-interest income is anticipated to be flat, with mortgage banking fees estimated at $51.5 million, a 5.1% decline from the prior quarter [7] - Trust and investment services fees are expected to increase to $96.3 million, a 3.5% rise from the previous quarter [8] - Service charge and fee revenues are projected at $114.9 million, reflecting a 2.6% increase from the prior quarter [9] - Card fees are estimated at $89.6 million, indicating a 2.9% rise from the previous quarter [11] Expense and Asset Quality Outlook - Adjusted non-interest expenses are expected to be stable or slightly up due to the opening of private banking offices and investments in technology [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for non-accrual loans is pegged at $1.57 billion, indicating a sequential rise of 3.3% [13] 2025 Outlook - Management anticipates NII to rise by 3-5% from $5.6 billion in 2024, with a net interest margin (NIM) expected to be 3% [16] - Average loans are projected to decrease by 2-3% from $139.2 billion in 2024, while average earnings assets are forecasted to fall by 1% from $198.1 billion [16] - Non-interest income is expected to increase by 8-10% from $2.6 billion reported in 2024 [16] - Adjusted non-interest expenses are projected to grow by 4% from $5.1 billion in 2024 [17]

Core Viewpoint - U.S. Bancorp (USB) is expected to report year-over-year increases in quarterly revenues and earnings for Q4 2025, with results scheduled for January 20, 2026 [1][9] Financial Performance Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for net interest income (NII) is $4.29 billion, reflecting a 1.8% increase from the previous quarter [4] - The consensus estimate for total revenues is pegged at $7.33 billion, indicating a rise of 4.9% from the year-ago figure [14] - The consensus estimate for earnings per share is $1.19, representing an 11.2% increase from the prior year [14] Factors Influencing Performance - NII growth is expected to be supported by lower interest rates, stabilizing funding costs, and resilient loan demand [3][9] - Lending activity remained strong, particularly in commercial and industrial loans, despite uncertainties in tariff policies [4] - Non-interest income is projected to decline sequentially, with total non-interest income estimated at $3.04 billion, a decrease of 1.3% [10] Market Conditions - Elevated market volatility and client activity during the fourth quarter are anticipated to have positively impacted capital markets revenue [6] - Mortgage banking revenues are expected to decline to $166.9 million, a 7.3% decrease from the prior quarter, due to subdued refinancing activity [8][7] Expense Management - Total non-interest expenses are projected to rise by approximately 1%–1.5% compared to the previous quarter, driven by higher compensation and technology investments [10][11] Asset Quality - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for non-performing loans is $1.63 billion, indicating a 1.4% increase from the prior quarter [12] - The company is likely to have set aside funds for potential bad loans in light of expected rate cuts and improving economic conditions [11] Earnings Surprise History - U.S. Bancorp has a strong earnings surprise history, with an average surprise of 4.7% over the last four quarters [2]

Core Viewpoint - Regions Financial Corporation (RF) is expected to report year-over-year growth in both earnings and revenues for the fourth quarter of 2025, with results scheduled for January 16, 2026 [1] Financial Performance - The third-quarter 2025 results were positively influenced by an increase in both non-interest income and net interest income (NII), although concerns remain regarding lower loan balances and higher non-interest expenses [1] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter earnings is 61 cents per share, reflecting a 3.4% increase from the previous year, while revenues are estimated at $1.93 billion, indicating a 6.2% rise [3] Key Factors Influencing Q4 Results - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts in the fourth quarter are expected to support NII, which is projected to rebound modestly to $1.28 billion, a 1.2% increase sequentially [4][5] - Strong demand for commercial and industrial loans, as well as consumer loans, is anticipated to contribute positively to loan performance [5] Non-Interest Income - A significant increase in global mergers and acquisitions is expected to enhance capital markets revenues, with estimates for fourth-quarter capital markets revenues ranging from $95 million to $105 million [7][8] - Mortgage rates have declined, which may lead to year-over-year increases in earnings and revenues, although mortgage banking fees are projected to decline by 1.8% sequentially [9][10] Expenses and Asset Quality - High expenses are anticipated due to rising salaries and employee benefits, despite ongoing expense management efforts [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for non-performing assets is $810.9 million, indicating a 2.9% increase from the previous quarter, reflecting potential pressures on consumer demand [12] Earnings Prediction - The model predicts an earnings beat for Regions Financial, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +0.36% and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [13][14]

Core Insights - Regions Financial Corporation (RF) is expected to report third-quarter 2025 results on October 17, with anticipated year-over-year growth in earnings and revenues [1][10] - The company has a strong earnings surprise history, surpassing estimates in the last four quarters with an average surprise of 6.96% [2] Earnings and Revenue Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter earnings is 60 cents per share, reflecting a 5.3% increase from the previous year [3] - Revenue estimates are set at $1.92 billion, indicating a 7.1% rise from the prior year [3] Key Factors Influencing Performance - Net interest income (NII) is expected to be stable to modestly higher, with a consensus estimate of $1.27 billion, a 1% increase sequentially [5] - Loan demand has been strong, particularly for commercial and industrial loans and consumer loans, contributing positively to NII [5] - Average interest-earning assets are estimated to increase by 1.1% sequentially to $1.41 billion [6] Non-Interest Income Insights - Capital markets revenues are projected between $85 million and $95 million, with a consensus estimate of $90.6 million, reflecting a 9.2% increase from the prior quarter [8] - Mortgage banking fees are expected to decline, with estimates for mortgage income at $44.6 million, a 7.1% decrease from the previous quarter [11] - Total non-interest income is estimated at $645.7 million, indicating a slight sequential decline [12] Expense and Asset Quality Considerations - Expenses are anticipated to be high due to increased salaries and technology investments, despite ongoing expense management efforts [13] - Non-performing assets are expected to rise to $853.9 million, a 5.7% increase from the prior quarter, reflecting concerns over potential bad loans [14] Earnings Prediction Model - The earnings prediction model indicates a likelihood of an earnings beat for Regions Financial, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +0.32% [15] - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a hold position [16]

Core Insights - Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) is expected to report third-quarter 2025 results on October 14, 2025, before market open [1] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter revenues is $21.19 billion, indicating a 4% year-over-year growth [2] - The earnings estimate for the upcoming quarter remains unchanged at $1.54, reflecting a 1.3% improvement from the prior-year quarter [3] Financial Performance - The first half of 2025 saw improved non-interest income and lower provisions, alongside a decline in expenses, although net interest income (NII) decreased [2] - NII is estimated at $12.03 billion for Q3 2025, representing a 2.9% increase year-over-year, supported by stable funding costs and lending activity [6][8] - Non-interest income is projected to grow by 4.5% year-over-year, driven by higher fees and stronger investment banking gains [8][11] Earnings Surprise History - WFC has a strong earnings surprise history, with an average beat of 9.53% over the last four quarters [4][5] - The company has consistently outperformed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in recent quarters, with reported earnings exceeding estimates by notable margins [5] Loan and Asset Quality - The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut is expected to stabilize funding and deposit costs, aiding NII growth [6] - The demand for loans, particularly in commercial and industrial sectors, remains solid, contributing to improved lending activity [6] - Total non-accrual loans are estimated at $8 billion, indicating a 2% year-over-year decline, while non-performing assets are projected at $8.2 billion, down 2.6% from the previous year [14] Investment Banking and Fees - Investment banking income is estimated at $745.8 million, reflecting a 12.3% year-over-year increase, supported by a rebound in global mergers and acquisitions [10][11] - Mortgage banking revenues are expected to decline by 13.4% year-over-year to $242.5 million due to fluctuating mortgage rates [9] Expense Management - WFC's expenses are anticipated to decline modestly in Q3 2025 due to effective expense management strategies, including branch closures and workforce reductions [12]

Core Viewpoint - Citizens Financial Group, Inc. (CFG) is expected to report an increase in second-quarter 2025 earnings and revenues compared to the same quarter last year, with various factors influencing this performance [1][18]. Financial Performance Expectations - CFG's net interest income (NII) is projected to rise by 3% in Q2 2025 from the previous quarter, supported by stable interest rates maintained by the Federal Reserve [3][11]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NII is $1.44 billion, reflecting a 3.2% increase from the prior quarter [4]. - The consensus estimate for second-quarter revenues is $2.01 billion, indicating a 2.2% rise from the year-ago figure [18]. Loan and Asset Quality Insights - Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, demand for commercial and industrial loans and consumer loans is expected to have improved, leading to a modest rise in CFG's lending activities [5]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for average interest-earning assets is $196.2 billion, showing a slight increase from the previous quarter [6]. - Non-accrual loans are estimated to rise to $1.62 billion, a 2.4% increase sequentially, indicating potential concerns regarding asset quality [15]. Non-Interest Income and Fee Growth - Mortgage banking fees are expected to increase to $63 million, a 6.6% rise from the prior quarter, driven by improved refinancing activities [8]. - Trust and investment services fees are projected to reach $84 million, reflecting a 3.7% increase from the previous quarter [9]. - Capital markets fees are estimated at $108.4 million, indicating an 8.4% sequential rise, supported by improved deal-making activities in the latter part of the quarter [12][10]. Expense Management - CFG anticipates that adjusted non-interest expenses will remain stable compared to the first quarter, despite increased costs from new banking offices and technology investments [14].

Core Viewpoint - U.S. Bancorp (USB) is expected to report year-over-year increases in revenues and earnings for Q2 2025, benefiting from lower expenses and higher non-interest income [1] Group 1: Financial Performance Expectations - The company anticipates net interest income (NII) for Q2 2025 to be between $4.1 billion and $4.2 billion, with a consensus estimate of $4.01 billion, reflecting a marginal increase from the previous quarter [2][8] - The consensus estimate for total revenues in Q2 2025 is $7.06 billion, indicating a rise of 3.3% from the year-ago figure [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for average earning assets is $611.2 million, suggesting a slight sequential increase [4] Group 2: Non-Interest Income and Trading Activity - Non-interest income is projected to rise by 3.3% due to gains in trading, mortgage, and card revenues, with total non-interest income estimated at $2.93 billion [9][8] - Trading volumes in equity derivatives and corporate bonds have increased, with the consensus estimate for commercial product revenues at $391 million, reflecting a 2.4% increase from the prior quarter [5] Group 3: Loan Activity and Market Conditions - Lending activity remained strong in Q2 2025, supported by a resilient labor market and easing inflation, with notable demand for commercial and industrial loans [3] - Mortgage banking revenues are expected to reach $179.6 million, indicating a 3.8% increase from the previous quarter, despite mortgage rates fluctuating in the mid-to-upper 6% range [6] Group 4: Expense Management and Asset Quality - The company aims to keep non-interest expenses at or below $4.2 billion in Q2 2025, despite higher costs related to compensation and employee benefits [10][9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for non-performing loans is $1.72 billion, indicating a rise of 1.8% from the prior quarter [10] Group 5: Earnings Expectations - U.S. Bancorp has a positive Earnings ESP of +0.21%, indicating a high likelihood of beating earnings estimates [11] - The consensus estimate for Q2 earnings is $1.07, reflecting a 9.2% increase from the year-ago reported number [12]

Core Viewpoint - M&T Bank Corporation (MTB) is expected to report year-over-year increases in quarterly revenues and earnings for Q2 2025, despite challenges such as a fall in loan balance and rising expenses in the previous quarter [1][10]. Group 1: Financial Performance Expectations - The consensus estimate for MTB's Q2 2025 earnings is $4.03 per share, reflecting a 6.3% increase from the previous year [13]. - The consensus estimate for revenues is $2.39 billion, indicating a 3.6% rise from the prior-year reported level [13]. - MTB's management anticipates a modest rise in average loans for Q2 2025, contributing to the growth of average interest-earning assets, which is estimated at $191.8 billion, a 1.4% increase from the prior quarter [4]. Group 2: Net Interest Income (NII) and Fee Income - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NII (on a tax-equivalent basis) is projected at $1.75 billion, representing a 3.1% increase from the previous quarter [5]. - Management expects higher average total deposits in Q2 2025, which is likely to enhance revenues from service charges on deposit accounts, with a consensus estimate of $135.9 million, a 2.2% rise from the prior quarter [6]. - Mortgage banking fees are expected to improve, with the consensus estimate pegged at $128 million, indicating an 8.5% rise from the previous quarter [8]. Group 3: Expense Management - MTB's management projects a sequential decline in total expenses for Q2 2025, primarily due to lower seasonal compensation costs, with total expenses estimated at $1.37 billion, reflecting a 3.4% decrease [11]. - Despite pressures on NII and concerns regarding expenses, the company is expected to post higher earnings and revenues, supported by mortgage and deposit fees [10]. Group 4: Earnings Surprise Potential - The company has surpassed consensus estimates in three of the last four quarters, with an average negative earnings surprise of 6.67% [2]. - The Earnings ESP for MTB is +0.12%, indicating a favorable outlook for beating estimates this time [12].