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Should You Buy Micron Technology Stock Before Dec. 17?
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-12 23:00
Core Viewpoint - Micron Technology has experienced a significant stock price increase of 200% in 2025, driven by strong revenue and earnings growth, leading to speculation about the sustainability of this rally ahead of its upcoming quarterly report on December 17 [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Micron's non-GAAP operating profit margin increased nearly fourfold to 29% in the previous fiscal year, resulting in earnings soaring by 537% to $8.29 per share [8]. - Analysts predict that Micron's earnings will double in the current fiscal year, with further double-digit growth expected in the following fiscal year [8]. - The company's market capitalization stands at $291 billion, with a gross margin of 40.17% and a dividend yield of 0.18% [7]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - Demand for memory chips is currently outpacing supply, primarily due to the growth in artificial intelligence (AI), with contract prices for DRAM and NAND flash memory increasing by 80% to 100% this month [4]. - Counterpoint Research forecasts that prices for server memory chips will double next year, despite efforts by manufacturers like Micron to increase supply of high-bandwidth memory (HBM) [5]. Group 3: Market Share and Growth Potential - Micron's share of the DRAM market rose by 3.7 percentage points year-over-year to 25.7% in Q3 2025, indicating potential for further market share growth in 2026 [10]. - The data center segment accounted for 56% of Micron's revenue in the previous fiscal year, with a gross margin of 52%, which is higher than the overall non-GAAP gross margin of 41% [11]. Group 4: Valuation and Investment Outlook - Micron's stock is currently trading at 32 times earnings, slightly below the Nasdaq-100 index's average P/E ratio of 34, with a forward earnings multiple of 15 [13]. - If Micron achieves earnings of $17.27 per share in the current fiscal year and trades at 25 times earnings, the stock price could potentially reach $432, representing a 71% increase from current levels [14].