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Nvidia’s next earnings may have the AI boom riding on them
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-17 10:00
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's upcoming earnings report is seen as a critical moment for the tech market, with expectations for strong revenue growth amid concerns about sustainability and market dynamics [5][9][19] Group 1: Revenue Projections and Market Sentiment - Wells Fargo has increased its revenue projections for Nvidia, forecasting $209 billion in FY26, $301 billion in FY27, and nearly $383 billion in FY28, driven by continued demand from hyperscalers [1] - Oppenheimer raised its price target to $265, highlighting a projected quarter revenue of $55 billion, driven by the shift to GB300 Ultra and strong demand for NVL72 systems [2] - Analysts expect Nvidia to report around $54.6 billion in revenue for the upcoming quarter, with year-over-year growth in the mid-50% range, primarily from data centers [3][9] Group 2: Market Dynamics and Challenges - The tech market is experiencing a shift in sentiment, with AI stocks losing value and analysts moving from optimism to guarded confidence [9] - Data center operators are facing power supply challenges, which could impact Nvidia's revenue growth, as global power demand from data centers is expected to increase significantly [11][12] - Nvidia's business in China is currently limited due to regulatory issues, which adds volatility to its growth prospects [14][15] Group 3: Future Growth and Investment Trends - Citi projects global AI infrastructure spending to exceed $2.8 trillion by 2029, with hyperscalers investing nearly $490 billion in AI capex by the end of 2026 [6] - Gene Munster believes Wall Street's 2026 estimates for Nvidia are too conservative, suggesting that revenue from Blackwell and Rubin could exceed expectations [7] - The ongoing investment in AI infrastructure by major companies like Amazon, Microsoft, and Google is seen as a significant driver for Nvidia's growth, with the market looking for confirmation of continued spending [16][17] Group 4: Earnings Call Expectations - Nvidia's earnings call is anticipated to serve as both a financial update and a sentiment reset for the market, with investors seeking reassurance about the sustainability of the AI cycle [18] - A strong quarter is expected to provide a moment of relief for investors, while any cautious guidance could signal a potential shift in the current growth trajectory [10][18] - The company's ability to articulate customer demand and future capacity will be crucial in shaping analysts' long-term models [17]
Oppenheimer Raises NVIDIA Price Target to $265 Ahead of Earnings
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-11-13 22:47
Core Viewpoint - Oppenheimer raised its price target for NVIDIA Corp. to $265 from $225, maintaining an Outperform rating, driven by optimism ahead of the company's earnings report [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - Oppenheimer anticipates upside potential to NVIDIA's fiscal third-quarter and fourth-quarter consensus estimates of $54.7 billion and $61.5 billion in sales, and $1.25 and $1.42 in EPS, respectively [1] - CEO Jensen Huang projected cumulative revenues from Blackwell and Rubin platforms to reach $500 billion by the end of 2026 [3] Group 2: Market Demand and Trends - Hyperscalers and cloud service providers are increasing capital expenditures due to rising demand for artificial intelligence infrastructure [2] - NVIDIA's rack-scale NVL72 system is recognized as the leading AI performance-per-watt platform, although supply tightness and growing backlogs are noted [2] Group 3: Market Opportunity - Oppenheimer estimates NVIDIA's total addressable market at $4 trillion, covering cloud, sovereign, and enterprise markets, with a significant $50 billion market opportunity in China not yet included in models [4] - The firm maintains a bullish outlook, asserting that NVIDIA is "best positioned to lead the AI era" [4]