Key Takeaways ASML's Installed Base Management business stayed strong through Q3 2025.ASML completed system upgrades, benefiting from lower costs, tariffs, and improved gross margins.ASML expects EUR 2.1B in IBM revenues in Q4 2025.ASML Holding’s (ASML) upgrade and service business has been a strong contributor to its Installed Base Management (IBM) segment in the first half of 2025 and remained strong throughout the third quarter of 2025. The upgrade business also benefits from lower cost, lower tariff imp ...

Core Insights - ASML Holding aims for approximately 30% year-over-year growth in extreme ultraviolet (EUV) revenues by 2025, driven by increased Low Numerical Aperture (NA) EUV capacity and initial shipments of High NA systems [1][9] - Advanced customers like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Samsung, and Intel are expected to add around 30% more EUV capacity compared to 2024, further supporting ASML's revenue growth target [1][9] Revenue and Product Performance - The NXE:3800E systems, now operating at a full specification of 220 wafers per hour, will enable customers to expand capacity while maintaining higher average selling prices, leading to improved margins [2] - In DRAM manufacturing, these systems replace complex multi-patterning deep ultraviolet (DUV) steps with single EUV exposures, resulting in reduced costs, shorter cycle times, and improved yields [2] Demand Drivers - Demand is being fueled by artificial intelligence (AI) applications, prompting investments in both logic and memory chips [3] - Logic customers are increasing leading-edge node capacity, while DRAM customers are adding more EUV layers to their latest and future nodes [3] Competitive Landscape - Competitors like Applied Materials and KLA Corporation are key players in advanced chipmaking tools, providing equipment that complements or competes with EUV systems [5] - Both companies are benefiting from the growing complexity of semiconductors and are investing in next-generation technologies, although they do not manufacture EUV systems [6] Financial Estimates - ASML expects total revenue growth of around 15% for 2025, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues at $37.83 billion, indicating a year-over-year increase of 23.8% [4] - The forward price-to-sales ratio for ASML is 7.54X, higher than the industry average of 7.06X [11] - Earnings estimates for fiscal 2025 imply a year-over-year growth of 30.1%, with recent upward revisions in estimates for both fiscal 2025 and 2026 [14]