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Is ARM Stock Still a Smart Bet After Its Record Q2 Results?
ZACKSยท 2025-11-13 20:01
Core Insights - Investors are cautious despite Arm Holdings plc's record-breaking Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings, with the stock declining about 7% post-results due to concerns over valuation and spending [1][7][15] Financial Performance - Arm Holdings reported Q2 revenues of $1.14 billion, a 34% year-over-year increase, surpassing estimates by 6.5%, marking the third consecutive billion-dollar quarter [2][7] - Royalty revenues reached a record $620 million, up 21% year-over-year, driven by increased adoption of Arm's architecture, particularly in data centers [3] - Licensing revenues climbed 56% to $515 million, reflecting the growing adoption of Arm's designs for next-generation AI chips [4] - Non-GAAP operating income was $467 million, a 43% increase year-over-year, with an operating margin of 41.1%, up from 38.6% [12] Strategic Positioning - Arm's compute platforms are integral to major tech companies, with significant performance and energy efficiency gains demonstrated by platforms like Google's Axion [9] - The company has formed a strategic partnership with Meta Platforms to enhance AI efficiency across various computing environments [8] - The launch of Lumex CSS, Arm's advanced mobile compute platform, is expected to enhance mobile AI capabilities [11] Future Outlook - For Q3 fiscal 2026, Arm expects revenues between $1.175 billion and $1.275 billion, indicating approximately 25% year-over-year growth [14] - Licensing is projected to rise by 25% to 30%, while royalties are expected to increase just over 20% [14] Valuation Concerns - Arm's forward price-to-sales ratio stands at 28.52, significantly higher than the industry average of 7.78, indicating a high-expectation phase [16] - The company's heavy reinvestment cycle and stretched valuation may limit short-term returns, leading to a cautious investment stance [17]