Key Takeaways UBS is expected to post higher Q4 earnings despite a marginal y/y decline in quarterly revenues.Improved lending activity, steady rates and stronger fee income are likely to support UBS's Q4 performance.Higher digitalization costs and inflation-led compensation increases may have pressured UBS's expense base.UBS Group AG (UBS) is scheduled to announce fourth-quarter 2025 results on Feb. 4. The company’s quarterly revenues are expected to have declined year over year, while earnings are expecte ...

Core Insights - SouthState Corporation (SSB) reported fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share of $2.47, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.30, with a 28% increase year-over-year [1] - The company's total revenues for the quarter reached $686.9 million, a 52.5% year-over-year increase, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3% [3] - For the full year 2025, adjusted earnings per share were $9.50, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9.11, representing a 31.8% rise from the previous year [2] Revenue and Income - Net interest income (NII) for the fourth quarter was $581.1 million, up 57.2% from the prior-year quarter, with the net interest margin increasing to 3.86% from 3.48% [3][4] - Non-interest income was reported at $105.8 million, reflecting a 31.3% increase year-over-year [4] - Total revenues for 2025 were $2.68 billion, a 56.1% increase, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.65 billion [3] Expenses and Efficiency - Non-interest expenses rose 42.2% to $364.9 million, primarily due to increases in various expense components [4] - The efficiency ratio improved to 49.65% from 55.73% in the year-ago quarter, indicating enhanced profitability [4] Loans and Deposits - As of December 31, 2025, net loans stood at $48 billion, a 2% increase from the prior quarter, while total deposits rose to $55.1 billion, also up 2% [5] Asset Quality - The company recorded a provision for credit losses of $6.6 million, a 3.7% increase from the prior-year quarter [6] - The allowance for credit losses as a percentage of loans was 1.20%, down 17 basis points year-over-year [6] Capital and Profitability Ratios - As of December 31, 2025, the Tier I leverage ratio was 9.3%, down from 10% in the year-ago quarter, and the Tier 1 common equity ratio decreased to 11.4% from 12.6% [9] - The annualized return on average assets was 1.47%, up from 1.23% in the prior-year period, while return on average common equity improved to 10.90% from 9.72% [9] Future Outlook - The company's rising NII and non-interest income are expected to support top-line growth in the near term, alongside a strong loan pipeline and strategic buyouts [10]

Core Insights - Associated Banc-Corp (ASB) reported fourth-quarter 2025 earnings of 80 cents per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 69 cents and up from adjusted earnings of 57 cents in the prior-year quarter [1][10] Financial Performance - Net income available to common equity was $134 million, a significant recovery from a loss of $164 million in the year-ago quarter, surpassing the estimate of $111 million [2] - Total revenues for the quarter were $393.5 million, an increase from adjusted revenues of $346 million in the prior-year quarter, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $379.7 million [3] - Net interest income (NII) rose to $310 million, a 15% increase year over year, with a net interest margin of 3.06%, up 25 basis points [4] - Non-interest income totaled $79.4 million, improving 11% from adjusted non-interest income of $71.8 million, driven by increases in wealth management fees and capital markets revenue, exceeding the estimate of $70.1 million [5] - Non-interest expenses decreased to $219 million, down 2% year over year, reflecting the absence of prior-year losses on prepayments of FHLB advances [6] Loans and Deposits - Total loans as of December 31, 2025, were $31.2 billion, up 1% sequentially, primarily due to higher commercial and business lending [7] - Total deposits rose 2% sequentially to $35.6 billion, exceeding the estimate of $35.3 billion [7] Credit Quality - The company recorded a provision for credit losses of $7 million, down from $17 million in the prior-year quarter, significantly lower than the estimate of $18.8 million [8] - Total non-performing assets were $129.2 million, a 10% decrease year over year, with non-accrual loans falling 19% to $100.4 million [8] Capital Ratios - As of December 31, 2025, the common equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio improved to 10.49%, up from 10.33% in the corresponding period of 2024, while the Tier 1 capital ratio rose to 11.04% from 10.89% [11] Future Outlook - Management expects total period-end loan growth of 5-6% and total deposit growth in the same range for 2026 [12] - NII is projected to grow by 5.5-6.5%, while total non-interest income is expected to rise by 4-5% [12] - Total non-interest expense is anticipated to grow by 3% [12] - The annual effective tax rate is expected to be between 19-21% [13] Overall Assessment - ASB's strong quarterly performance reflects the benefits of its diversified franchise and disciplined balance sheet management, with positive indicators for sustained growth [14]

Core Insights - Columbia Banking System (COLB) reported fourth-quarter 2025 operating earnings of 82 cents per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 72 cents and up from 71 cents in the prior-year quarter [1][9] - The quarterly results included the first full-quarter contribution from the Pacific Premier deal, with higher net interest income (NII) and non-interest income, while lower provisions provided a positive impact despite higher non-interest expenses [2] Financial Performance - Total revenues for the quarter reached $717 million, a significant increase from $487 million in the prior-year quarter, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $694.1 million [3] - For the full year 2025, total revenues rose 19% year over year to $2.32 billion, exceeding the consensus estimate of $2.28 billion [3] - NII was reported at $627 million, marking a 43% year-over-year increase, with a net interest margin of 4.06%, up 42 basis points [3] Non-Interest Income and Expenses - Non-interest income totaled $90 million, an 80% increase from $50 million a year ago, driven by higher service charges, financial services revenue, and bank-owned life insurance income [4] - Non-interest expenses rose to $412 million, a 54% increase year over year, attributed to higher costs across various categories and increased merger and restructuring charges [4] Efficiency and Credit Quality - The efficiency ratio was reported at 57.30%, up from 54.61% in the prior-year quarter, while the adjusted operating efficiency ratio improved to 51.39% from 52.51% [5] - The company recorded a provision for credit losses of $23 million, down from $28 million in the prior-year quarter, with net charge-offs at 0.25% of average loans and leases, a slight decrease from 0.27% [8] Loans and Deposits - As of December 31, 2025, loans and leases were $47.8 billion, reflecting a 1% sequential decline due to commercial development run-off and accelerated loan repayments [6] - Total deposits decreased by 3% sequentially to $54.2 billion, primarily due to intentional reductions in brokered deposits and seasonal declines in customer balances [7] Capital Ratios and Share Repurchases - As of December 31, 2025, the estimated total risk-based capital ratio improved to 13.6% from 12.8% in the corresponding period of 2024, with the common equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio rising to 11.8% from 10.5% [10] - During the reported quarter, the company repurchased 3.7 million common shares at an average price of $27.07 [11] Strategic Outlook - The company's Western footprint, granular deposit base, and focus on relationship banking support NII and balanced fee income growth, while integration and amortization costs keep expenses elevated [12]

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Core Insights - Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) reported fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.69, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.37, and up from $2.26 in the prior-year quarter [1][8] - The company's financial performance was bolstered by an increase in net interest income (NII), total assets under custody (AUC), and assets under management (AUM), although rising expenses were a concern [1][10] Financial Performance - For the fourth quarter, NTRS's total revenues (GAAP basis) reached $2.12 billion, marking an 8.2% year-over-year increase and surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.41% [3][8] - The annual total revenues for 2025 were $8.09 billion, a 2% decline year-over-year, but still beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $8.03 billion [3] - NII for the quarter was $641.6 million, reflecting a 14% increase year-over-year, with a net interest margin of 1.81%, up 10 basis points from the previous year [3][4] Asset Management - As of December 31, 2025, Northern Trust's total AUC increased by 4.7% year-over-year to $14.4 trillion, while total AUM rose by 9.3% year-over-year to $1.8 trillion [5] Expenses and Income - Trust, investment, and other servicing fees totaled $1.31 billion, up 7% year-over-year, while other non-interest income saw a slight increase to $174.1 million [4] - Non-interest expenses rose by 9% year-over-year to $1.49 billion in the reported quarter [4][8] Credit Quality - The total allowance for credit losses was $198.3 million, down 4% year-over-year, while total non-accrual assets increased to $76.7 million from $56 million in the prior year [6] Capital and Profitability - As of December 31, 2025, the Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio was 12.6%, up from 12.4% in the prior-year quarter, and the total capital ratio was 16.1%, up from 15.1% [7] - The Tier 1 leverage ratio decreased to 7.8% from 8.1% in the prior year, while the return on average common equity was 15.4%, slightly up from 15.3% [7] Shareholder Returns - In the reported quarter, Northern Trust returned $521.6 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends [9]

Core Viewpoint - Truist Financial's fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings of $1.12 per share exceeded expectations, but shares fell nearly 2% in pre-market trading despite the positive results [1]. Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share for 2025 were $3.82, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.92, but increased by 13.7% year over year [4]. - Total revenues for the fourth quarter were $5.25 billion, a 3.7% year-over-year increase, but fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.27 billion [5]. - Full-year revenues reached $20.32 billion, up 53% year over year, but also missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $20.38 billion [5]. - Net interest income (NII) for the quarter was $3.75 billion, a 3% increase year over year, with a net interest margin (NIM) of 3.07%, unchanged from the prior year [5]. Income and Expenses - Non-interest income was $1.55 billion, reflecting a 5.2% year-over-year increase, driven by various fee income sources [6]. - Non-interest expenses rose to $3.17 billion, up 4.4% year over year, primarily due to higher personnel and other expenses [6]. - The adjusted efficiency ratio improved to 54.9%, down from 57.7% in the prior-year quarter, indicating enhanced profitability [7]. Credit Quality - Provision for credit losses was $512 million, an 8.7% increase from the prior year, while total non-performing assets (NPAs) rose to $1.63 billion, up 10.6% year over year [8]. - Net charge-offs were 0.57% of average loans and leases, a decrease of 2 basis points from the prior year [8]. - The allowance for loan and lease losses was 1.53% of total loans, down 6 basis points year over year [9]. Capital Ratios and Share Repurchases - Return on average common equity was 8.5%, slightly up from 8.4% in the fourth quarter of 2024 [10]. - The Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio was 11.9%, down from 12.9% in the prior year, while the common equity Tier 1 ratio was 10.8%, down from 11.5% [10]. - Truist Financial repurchased shares worth $750 million during the reported quarter [11]. Outlook - The company expects decent loan demand and ongoing business restructuring initiatives to support its top line, although elevated expenses pose a significant challenge [12].

Core Viewpoint - OceanFirst Financial (OCFC) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.39 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 2.6%, with revenues projected at $102.7 million, a 7.5% increase compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating stability in analysts' projections [2]. - Revisions to earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor behavior, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price performance [3]. Key Financial Metrics - Analysts forecast the 'Efficiency Ratio' to reach 68.9%, up from 67.9% a year ago [4]. - The consensus for 'Total Non-Interest Income' is estimated at $8.85 million, down from $12.23 million year-over-year [5]. - 'Net Interest Income' is expected to be $94.35 million, compared to $83.33 million in the same quarter last year [5]. Stock Performance - OceanFirst shares have decreased by 9.2% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's decline of 0.4%, and the company holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating expected underperformance relative to the market [5].

Core Viewpoint - Analysts forecast that Business First (BFST) will report quarterly earnings of $0.72 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 9.1% and revenues of $81.5 million, which is a 5% increase compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the last 30 days, there has been no revision in the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter, indicating that analysts have not changed their initial forecasts during this period [2]. - Revisions to earnings estimates are crucial for predicting potential investor actions regarding the stock, as empirical research shows a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price performance [3]. Key Metrics Projections - Analysts estimate a 'Net Interest Margin' of 3.7%, up from 3.6% reported in the same quarter last year [5]. - The expected 'Efficiency Ratio' is projected at 60.7%, a decrease from the 63.9% reported in the same quarter last year [5]. - 'Total Other Income' is expected to reach $11.48 million, slightly lower than the $11.86 million reported a year ago [5]. - 'Net Interest Income' is anticipated to be $69.13 million, compared to $65.73 million reported in the same quarter last year [6]. Stock Performance - Shares of Business First have experienced a change of -0.8% in the past month, compared to a -0.4% move of the Zacks S&P 500 composite, with a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) indicating expected performance in line with the overall market [6].

Core Insights - Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB) reported fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.08, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.01, and up from 90 cents in the prior-year quarter [1][2][8] - The company's net income available to common shareholders (GAAP basis) was $699 million, reflecting a 20% year-over-year increase [2] - Total quarterly revenues (FTE) reached $2.34 billion, an 8% increase year over year, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.32 billion [3] Financial Performance - For 2025, total revenues (FTE) were $9.04 billion, a 6% increase year over year, also exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9.01 billion [3] - Net interest income (NII) for the fourth quarter was $1.53 billion, up 6% year over year, driven by proactive deposit and wholesale funding management [4] - Non-interest income rose 11% year over year to $811 million, primarily due to increases in wealth and asset management, commercial payment, and consumer banking revenues [5] Expenses and Efficiency - Non-interest expenses increased 7% year over year to $1.31 billion, attributed to rising costs across all components [5] - The efficiency ratio improved to 55.8%, down from 56.4% in the year-ago quarter, indicating enhanced profitability [5] Loan and Deposit Trends - As of December 31, 2025, portfolio loans and leases slightly declined to $122.6 billion, while total deposits increased by 3% to $171.8 billion [6] - The provision for credit losses was reported at $119 million, down 34% from the previous year [7] Credit Quality - The total non-performing portfolio loans and leases decreased to $797 million, a 6.6% decline year over year [9] - Net charge-offs in the fourth quarter fell to $125 million, or 0.40% of average loans and leases, down from 0.46% in the prior-year quarter [9] Capital Position - The Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio was 11.82%, slightly down from 11.86% in the prior-year quarter, while the CET1 capital ratio increased to 10.77% from 10.57% [10] Strategic Outlook - The company anticipates closing its merger with Comerica on February 1, 2026, which is expected to enhance scale, profitability, and geographic reach [11]