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Medifast's Q3 Loss Wider Than Expected, Sales Decline 36% Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-11-04 17:21
Core Insights - Medifast, Inc. reported third-quarter 2025 results with revenues exceeding estimates but a wider-than-expected loss per share, indicating a year-over-year decline in both metrics [1][11] - The company is transitioning its focus from weight loss to metabolic health, aiming to address underlying metabolic issues and tap into a larger market [1][11] Financial Performance - The company reported a quarterly loss of $0.21 per share, which was significantly worse than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.01, marking a reversal from a profit of $0.10 per share in the same quarter last year [2][11] - Net revenues were $89.4 million, down 36.2% year over year, primarily due to a decrease in active earning OPTAVIA coaches, although this figure surpassed the consensus estimate of $86 million [3][11] - The average revenue per active earning OPTAVIA Coach decreased to $4,585 from $4,672, attributed to challenges in client acquisition linked to the rise of GLP-1 medications for weight loss [3][4] Operational Metrics - The number of active earning OPTAVIA coaches fell by 35% to 19,500 from 30,000 in the prior year, reflecting ongoing difficulties in client acquisition [4][11] - Gross profit was $62.2 million, down 41.2% year over year, with a gross margin of 69.5%, a decline of 590 basis points due to fixed cost leverage loss and product reformulation reserves [5][11] - Selling, general and administrative expenses (SG&A) decreased by 36% year over year to $66.2 million, driven by lower OPTAVIA coach compensation and reduced marketing costs [6][11] Margin Analysis - SG&A as a percentage of revenues increased by 20 basis points year over year to 74.1%, primarily due to fixed cost leverage loss [7][11] - The loss from operations was $4.1 million, representing a loss margin of 4.6% compared to an operating income of $2.1 million and a margin of 1.5% in the prior-year period [8][11] Financial Health - As of September 30, 2025, the company had cash, cash equivalents, and investment securities totaling $173.5 million, with no debt and total shareholders' equity of $214.7 million [9][11] Future Outlook - For the fourth quarter of 2025, Medifast expects revenues between $65 million and $80 million, with a projected loss per share ranging from $0.70 to $1.25 [12][11]
Medifast(MED) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-03 22:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for Q3 2025 was $89.4 million, a decrease of 36.2% year-over-year, primarily due to a decrease in the number of active earning OPTAVIA coaches [16][21] - Gross profit decreased 41.2% year-over-year to $62.2 million, with a gross profit margin of 69.5%, down 590 basis points compared to the prior year [16][17] - Net loss for Q3 2025 was $2.3 million, or $0.21 loss per diluted share, compared to net income of $1.1 million, or $0.10 per share in the year earlier period [21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Active earning OPTAVIA coaches decreased by 35% year-over-year, ending the quarter with approximately 19,500 coaches [16] - Average revenue per active earning OPTAVIA coach was $4,585, a year-over-year decrease of 1.9% [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The weight loss and wellness industry is experiencing a shift due to the rise of GLP-1 medications, which has changed consumer conversations around obesity and health [4][6] - Over 90% of US adults are metabolically unhealthy, presenting a significant opportunity for the company to redefine wellness [6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is evolving from a weight loss focus to a broader emphasis on metabolic health, aiming to help clients not only lose weight but also improve their metabolic health [9][10] - Plans to launch significant product innovations using metabolic synchronization science and next-generation ingredients are underway, with expectations to bring new products to market next year [10][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's direction, highlighting a strong balance sheet with no debt and over $170 million in cash and investments [14][15] - The company anticipates a return to growth in 2025, with expectations for improved revenue per active earning coach in Q4 2025 [33][35] Other Important Information - The company is investing in digital platforms to enhance the coaching and client experience, providing better visibility into client progress and coach performance [12][13] - The Edge Leadership Development Program aims to improve coach productivity and stability, focusing on creating and duplicating high-performing Executive Directors [12][29] Q&A Session Summary Question: How will the company ensure consistent messaging among coaches regarding the new focus on metabolic dysfunction? - The company has conducted studies to show how its program can reverse metabolic dysfunction and is training coaches to communicate this effectively [23][24] Question: Can you elaborate on the Edge program and its incentive structure? - The Edge program focuses on creating and duplicating Executive Directors to improve productivity and revenue [29] Question: How does the company view the impact of economic softness on consumer spending for health programs? - Management noted that consumers continue to prioritize health spending, despite economic challenges, and the program remains relevant for those using GLP-1 drugs [36][37]
Will Medifast's Strategic Endeavors Deliver Growth in 2025?
ZACKS· 2025-09-19 14:51
Core Insights - Medifast, Inc. (MED) is strategically focusing on health, nutrition, and lifestyle coaching, expanding its portfolio of nutritionally-balanced meals and supplements tailored to diverse consumer needs [1][10] - The company is enhancing its OPTAVIA coaching network to improve customer acquisition, retention, and re-engagement, streamlining coach development and introducing intuitive incentives [2][10] - Medifast is adopting an integrated approach by launching new product lines (ACTIVE and ASCEND) and enhancing its digital platforms to modernize coach economics and product pricing [3][10] - The company aims to revitalize its coach and customer base through enhanced tools and data-driven support, positioning itself as a holistic partner in lifestyle transformation [4] Financial Performance - Medifast's shares have declined by 17.3% year to date, compared to a 7.2% dip in the industry [7] - The forward price-to-sales ratio for MED is 0.36X, significantly lower than the industry average of 1.03X [8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MED's 2025 earnings per share (EPS) indicates a year-over-year decline of 126.6%, while the 2026 estimate shows growth of 17.4% [9][11] - Current estimates for EPS in 2025 and 2026 have decreased over the past 30 days [9]
Medifast (MED) Up 6.5% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?
ZACKS· 2025-09-03 16:31
Core Insights - Medifast's Q2 2025 results showed both net sales and earnings beating estimates, despite year-over-year declines in both metrics [2][3] - The company reported a significant drop in the number of active earning OPTAVIA coaches, impacting revenues [4][5] Financial Performance - Quarterly earnings were reported at 22 cents per share, with adjusted earnings at four cents per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of break-even earnings [3] - Net revenues totaled $105.6 million, a decline of 37.4% year-over-year, but exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $95 million [4] - Gross profit was $76.6 million, down 37.9% year-over-year, with a gross margin of 72.6%, a decrease of 60 basis points [6] - Selling, general and administrative expenses (SG&A) fell 40.8% year-over-year to $77.7 million, primarily due to reduced OPTAVIA coach compensation [7] - The loss from operations improved to $1.1 million, representing 1% of revenues compared to 4.7% in the previous year [8] Financial Health - As of June 30, 2025, Medifast had cash, cash equivalents, and investment securities totaling $162.7 million, with no debt and total shareholders' equity of $216 million [9] Future Outlook - The company anticipates third-quarter 2025 revenues between $70 million and $90 million, with expected losses ranging from 60 cents to break-even [10] - There has been a downward trend in estimates, with a consensus estimate shift of -116.67% [11][12] Industry Context - Medifast operates within the Zacks Food - Miscellaneous industry, where competitor Lamb Weston reported a revenue increase of 4% year-over-year [15] - Lamb Weston is also experiencing a downward trend in earnings estimates, with a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [16]
HIMS' Personalized Wellness Platform Expands Preventive Care Access
ZACKS· 2025-09-02 18:16
Core Insights - Hims & Hers Health, Inc. (HIMS) is a consumer-first health and wellness platform that connects patients with licensed healthcare professionals, focusing on personalized and accessible care [1][2] - The company reported over 2.4 million subscribers in Q2 2025, with 1.5 million receiving personalized treatment, showcasing its commitment to holistic health solutions [2][7] - HIMS is expanding into new health domains such as hormonal health and longevity through acquisitions, aiming to promote preventive and personalized wellness [3][7] Company Performance - Hims & Hers shares have increased by 75.1% year to date, significantly outperforming the industry growth of 21.6% [6] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for HIMS' 2025 earnings per share indicates a 122.2% improvement from 2024 [8] Financial Metrics - HIMS' forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is 3.6X, lower than the industry's average of 5.7X but higher than its three-year median of 2.4X [10] - The consensus estimates for HIMS' earnings per share for the current quarter, next quarter, current year, and next year are 0.09, 0.12, 0.60, and 0.80 respectively, with significant year-over-year growth expected [11]
Hims & Hers Redefines Virtual Care With Integrated Tech Platforms
ZACKS· 2025-08-07 15:56
Core Insights - Hims & Hers Health, Inc. (HIMS) is focusing on integrating technology platforms to enhance personalized healthcare delivery, highlighted by its acquisition of ZAVA, a European digital health provider, which facilitates cross-border platform integration [1][7] - The company is investing in personalization technologies, including upgrades to pharmacy infrastructure and lab testing integrations, to improve clinical accuracy in treatments [2][7] - Hims & Hers is transitioning from addressing single health concerns to enabling proactive health management through a fully integrated, tech-powered ecosystem [3] Company Expansion and Strategy - The acquisition of ZAVA allows Hims & Hers to offer 24/7 virtual care and centralized pharmacy fulfillment, expanding its geographic reach and service capabilities [1][7] - The planned expansion into Canada coincides with the market debut of semaglutide, showcasing the company's strategy of leveraging tech integration for timely market entries [2][7] Financial Performance - Hims & Hers shares have increased by 111.4% year to date, significantly outperforming the industry growth of 17.3% [6] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for HIMS' 2025 earnings per share indicates a projected improvement of 151.9% from 2024 [8] Valuation Metrics - Hims & Hers has a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 4.3X, which is lower than the industry average of 5.5X but higher than its three-year median of 2.3X [10]
Medifast (MED) Q2 Revenue Falls 37%
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-04 21:59
Core Viewpoint - Medifast reported Q2 2025 results that exceeded Wall Street estimates, but the company continues to face significant year-over-year revenue declines and challenges in its coach network [1][5][11] Financial Performance - Q2 2025 GAAP revenue was $105.6 million, surpassing the estimate of $101.8 million but down 37.4% from $168.6 million in Q2 2024 [2][5] - Diluted GAAP earnings per share were $0.22, a significant improvement from a loss of $0.75 in Q2 2024 [2][7] - Gross profit for Q2 2025 was $76.6 million, down 37.9% year-over-year, with a gross margin of 72.6%, slightly lower than 73.2% in Q2 2024 [2][6] - Net income for Q2 2025 was $2.5 million, reversing a loss of $8.2 million in the same quarter last year, although this included a one-time gain of $2.0 million from the sale of stock in LifeMD [2][8] Business Model and Strategy - Medifast's core business focuses on weight management products and nutrition plans through its OPTAVIA brand, leveraging a network of independent coaches [3] - The company is integrating medically-supported solutions, such as GLP-1 weight-loss medications, in collaboration with telehealth provider LifeMD [4] - The decline in the number of active earning coaches, which fell 32.7% to 22,800, is a primary driver of revenue contraction [5][6] Operational Insights - Average revenue per active earning coach decreased by 6.9% year-over-year to $4,630, attributed to challenges in attracting new clients [6] - Selling, general, and administrative expenses fell 40.8% to $77.7 million, improving SG&A as a share of revenue to 73.6% from 77.9% in Q2 2024 [6] - The company remains debt-free with $162.7 million in cash and equivalents and $30.2 million in inventory as of June 30, 2025 [8] Future Outlook - For Q3 2025, management expects GAAP revenue between $70 million and $90 million, indicating a potential return to net losses [11] - The company did not provide a full-year outlook but emphasized the need to stabilize and potentially reverse the decline in its coach network [12]
Medifast Trades Near 52-Week Low: What's the Best Move Now?
ZACKS· 2025-04-15 16:10
Core Viewpoint - Medifast, Inc. has experienced a significant decline in stock price, dropping 28.2% over the past six months, underperforming both the industry and broader market indices [1][3][15] Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, Medifast reported revenues of $119 million, a 37.7% year-over-year decline, despite being at the upper end of guidance [4] - The company ended Q4 with a coach base down more than 34% from the previous year, and average revenue per coach declined by over 5% [5] - Projected revenues for Q1 2025 are expected to be between $100 million and $120 million, indicating ongoing challenges [7] Cost and Profitability Challenges - Rising SG&A expenses have significantly pressured profitability, with increased marketing efforts and reduced efficiency leading to higher expenses as a percentage of revenues [6] - The company's operating income has deteriorated sharply, reflecting the escalating costs amid declining revenues [6] Market Dynamics and Strategic Initiatives - The adoption of GLP-1 medications is reshaping consumer preferences in the weight loss market, impacting customer acquisition for Medifast [5] - Medifast is launching OPTAVIA ASCEND in early 2025 to cater to the nutritional needs of GLP-1 users, aiming to enhance customer acquisition and experience [11][12] - The company is pursuing a long-term growth strategy focused on innovation, market expansion, and operational excellence, with initiatives to improve the coach and client experience [13] Cost Optimization Efforts - The "Fuel for the Future" program has delivered $21 million in cost savings in 2024, with expectations of an additional $15 million to $20 million in 2025 [14] Consensus Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 has seen a downward revision, with a projected loss of 1 cent for the current fiscal year and earnings of 2 cents for the next fiscal year [10]