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国证国际港股晨报-20250610
Guosen International· 2025-06-10 05:27
Group 1: Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market rebounded after a previous adjustment, with the Hang Seng Index opening high and closing at 24,181 points, up 388 points or 1.63% [2] - The Hang Seng Tech Index outperformed the broader market, rising by 2.78% [2] - Trading volume increased, with the main board's turnover reaching HKD 245.8 billion, a 4.3% increase from the previous day [2] - The Northbound trading recorded a net inflow for the ninth consecutive day, totaling HKD 717 million, although this was a significant decrease of 89.4% from the previous day [2] Group 2: Trade Negotiations - The atmosphere of the first day of US-China trade negotiations was reported to be positive, with expectations for favorable outcomes that could boost market sentiment [7] - The US appears to be softening its stance, as high tariffs are becoming increasingly difficult for them to sustain [7] Group 3: Company Analysis - Jinli Permanent Magnet (6680.HK) - Jinli Permanent Magnet is expected to see significant growth in annual performance, with production capacity continuously increasing [9] - The company aims to reach a production capacity of 40,000 tons by 2025 and 60,000 tons by 2027, with a current utilization rate exceeding 90% [9] - In Q1, the company reported a production of 8,770 tons of magnetic raw materials and 6,600 tons of finished products, with sales increasing over 40% year-on-year [9] - The gross margin improved to 15.7% in Q1, up from 10% in the same period last year, indicating a recovery trend [9] - The company is focusing on high-end product optimization, with over 50% of revenue coming from new energy vehicles [10] - Export sales accounted for 17% of total revenue in Q1, with 7% of exports going to the US, and the company is actively applying for export licenses [10] Group 4: Financial Projections - Revenue projections for Jinli Permanent Magnet from 2022 to 2024 are estimated at HKD 71.66 billion, HKD 66.87 billion, and HKD 67.63 billion, respectively, with net profits of HKD 7.02 billion, HKD 5.63 billion, and HKD 2.91 billion [11] - The adjusted net profit estimates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are HKD 6.66 billion, HKD 8.98 billion, and HKD 11.25 billion, respectively, with corresponding adjusted P/E ratios of 26.51, 19.40, and 15.45 [11]