Gambling.com Group Limited (NASDAQ:GAMB) is one of the oversold stocks to buy now. On December 30, Freedom Capital analyst Egor Tolmachev initiated coverage of Gambling.com with a Buy rating and $8.50 price target. Gambling.com is recognized as a premier performance marketing and sports data provider within the online gambling sector. According to the firm, the company’s shares represent a capital-light, pure-play opportunity for investors to gain exposure to the rapid, state-by-state legalization of the U ...

On January 6, Dan Greenhaus of Solus Alternative Asset Management, Cameron Dawson of NewEdge Wealth, and Sonali Basak of iCapital appeared on CNBC’s ‘Closing Bell’ to discuss what investors should be watching. Talking about a fourth consecutive strong year, Greenhaus expressed a positive outlook and cited several macro tailwinds: strong earnings growth, the intact AI story, and a Fed that is becoming accommodative rather than restrictive. He specifically mentioned the continuation of reserve purchases as a ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported record third-quarter revenue of $39 million, representing a 21% year-over-year increase [13] - Adjusted EBITDA grew 3% year-over-year to $13 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 33% compared to 39% in the previous year [16] - Gross profits increased 17% to $35.6 million, while the gross profit margin decreased to 91.2% from 94.7% year-over-year [13][14] - Free cash flow was $9.6 million, down from $14.2 million in the previous year due to timing differences [16][17] - The company revised its full-year guidance to approximately $165 million in revenue and $58 million in adjusted EBITDA, reflecting continued headwinds from poor search dynamics [18][19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sports data services revenue quadrupled to $9.2 million, accounting for 25% of total revenue [5][13] - The marketing business revenue remained flat year-over-year, with new depositing customers (NDCs) down 13% to 101,000 [13] - Subscription revenue constituted 24% of total revenue, and recurring revenue was 49% of total third-quarter revenue [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The North American market saw a 55% year-over-year growth in the third quarter, primarily driven by sports data services [45] - The marketing business in the U.S. grew year-over-year, while it was flat globally, with a decline in Canada impacting overall performance [45] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on the growth of its sports data services business, which is expected to continue growing organically at a healthy pace in 2026 and beyond [6][12] - The marketing business is expected to grow in 2026 and beyond, with a focus on diversifying away from SEO channels [20][41] - The company aims to leverage its strong cash flow to invest in product development and diversification strategies [16][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the recovery of search rankings and the potential for revenue improvement as Google addresses quality issues in search results [26][28] - The company anticipates mid-teens revenue growth and around 10% adjusted EBITDA growth as it heads into 2026 [39] - Management acknowledged the challenges faced in the marketing business but emphasized the resilience and potential for future growth [21][22] Other Important Information - The company acquired Spotlight.Vegas for $8 million and repurchased approximately 562,000 shares for a total of $4.7 million during the quarter [17] - The company has $70.5 million of undrawn capacity in its credit facility, providing flexibility for capital structure optimization [17][63] Q&A Session Summary Question: What gives confidence to grow the business in 2026 despite current challenges? - Management noted improvements in Google search rankings towards the end of October, leading to better traffic and revenue [26][27] Question: How is the B2C side of the business performing? - Consumer data services revenue grew marginally, with RotoWire subscriber numbers up 21% year-on-year [30] Question: What is the progress on OpticOdds commercialization? - Management indicated a clear product-market fit and a long runway for growth, with opportunities beyond data and bet settlement [35] Question: How does the company view the upcoming U.K. budget? - An increase in gaming duty could negatively impact player lifetime values, but management does not expect significant growth or decline in the U.K. market next year [61] Question: How is the company thinking about leverage and capital allocation? - Management is focused on optimizing capital allocation, with no plans to leverage beyond existing credit facilities until there is more growth visibility [63]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue increased by 39% year over year to $40.6 million, with adjusted EBITDA growing by 56% to $15.9 million [7][14] - Gross profit rose by 42% year over year to CHF 38.4 million, with a gross profit margin of 94.5%, up 200 basis points from the previous year [15][16] - Adjusted net income increased by 78% to GBP 16.5 million, and adjusted diluted net income per share rose by 92% to $0.46 [18][19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The marketing business grew by 13%, delivering over 138,000 new depositing customers (NDCs), representing a 29% growth year over year [14] - The sports data services business quadrupled in revenue contributions, with subscription revenue accounting for 24% of total revenue [14][15] - Recurring revenue, including revenue share arrangements, constituted 50% of total first-quarter revenue [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - iGaming revenues increased by 24% year over year, driven by organic growth and contributions from acquisitions [10] - The company continues to grow market share in the UK and Europe, with expectations for growth in North America as well [10][11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to achieve $100 million in adjusted EBITDA, with a focus on expanding beyond marketing into sports data services [8][12] - The integration of OddsJam and Optic Odds is progressing well, with expectations for at least 20% growth in adjusted EBITDA from these acquisitions [9][12] - The company is leveraging AI to enhance technology and digital marketing capabilities, which is expected to drive organic growth [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of the online gambling industry, stating that economic slowdowns have historically not impacted growth [11] - The company reiterated its full-year guidance, expecting a midpoint revenue of $172 million, representing 35% year-over-year growth [21] - Management highlighted the potential for growth in the prediction markets, indicating a favorable regulatory environment [90][95] Other Important Information - The company has total cash of CHF 21.5 million and CHF 70.5 million of undrawn capacity on its credit facility [20] - A swap agreement was entered into to convert a portion of US dollar borrowings to euro, reducing the cost of debt capital by approximately 200 basis points [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is Gambling.com doing to keep its content relevant amid changing consumer behavior? - Management noted that they are seeing high revenue from their marketing business driven by natural search and are also benefiting from referrals from generative AI tools like ChatGPT [25][26][29] Question: Any updates on the performance of Optic Odds? - Management reported that Optic Odds is growing rapidly and has hired a senior salesperson to expand its distribution in Europe [32][34] Question: How does the company view the potential for other operators to increase performance marketing? - Management indicated that as low-cost acquisition channels become exhausted, operators will increasingly rely on affiliate marketing, which is central to their strategies [38][40] Question: Can you quantify the impact of the euro on revenue and EBITDA guidance? - Management stated that while there are slight positive effects from the euro's strength, it is not significant enough to alter revenue expectations [42][45] Question: What is the path to achieving the $100 million EBITDA goal? - Management indicated that with current guidance, they would be 68% of the way there this year, and strategic acquisitions could accelerate this timeline [48][49] Question: How is the company positioned to benefit from potential tax increases in the US? - Management acknowledged that tax increases could impact player lifetime value but noted that adjustments would be made over time [79][80] Question: What is the outlook for iGaming legislation in the US? - Management expressed optimism about developments in Ohio and the potential for a streamlined regulatory approach, which could benefit the market [60][62]