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Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI) - 2026 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-12-09 14:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net sales increased by 19% to $614 million, driven by new store openings and comparable store sales growth [18] - Comparable store sales increased by 3.3%, supported by a mid-single-digit increase in transactions, partially offset by a decrease in average ticket price [18] - Adjusted net income rose by 29% to $46 million, with adjusted earnings per share increasing to $0.75 [19] - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 22% to $73 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 11.9% [19] - Total cash and investments increased by 42% to $432 million, with no meaningful long-term debt [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company opened 32 new stores in Q3, totaling 645 stores, representing an 18% year-over-year growth [17] - Membership in the Ollie's Army loyalty program increased by 12% to 16.6 million members, driven by new customer acquisition [17] - The top five performing categories were food, seasonal, hardware, stationery, and lawn and garden [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted strength in higher-income consumers, particularly those with household incomes above $100,000, while lower-income consumers showed some softness [31] - The company is benefiting from a challenging retail environment, allowing it to secure attractive second-generation real estate sites [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The long-term target is to reach 1,300 stores, with a commitment to a minimum of 10% annual unit growth [7] - The company is focusing on customer acquisition and loyalty through the Ollie's Army program, which has seen a 30% year-over-year increase in new memberships [9] - The marketing strategy is shifting towards a digital-first approach, reallocating resources from print to digital media [14][56] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's positioning, citing strong deal flow, expanding customer base, and widening price gaps [26] - The company raised its full-year sales and earnings outlook based on better-than-expected Q3 results and a strong start to Q4 [6][22] - Management acknowledged the challenges in the retail environment but emphasized the opportunities for growth and market share capture [15] Other Important Information - The company plans to expand its Texas distribution center by 150,000 sq ft and increase service capacity by approximately 50 stores [15] - Capital expenditures totaled $31 million for the quarter, primarily for new store openings and the build-out of acquired stores [21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you frame out the state of your consumer in light of your basket commentary? - Management noted strength in higher-income consumers and some softness in lower-income consumers, potentially due to external factors like government shutdowns [31] Question: Could you elaborate on the components of the third-quarter comp? - Management reported a positive 3.3% comp, with mid-single-digit positive transaction trends, while basket size declined due to lower average unit retail [37] Question: Can you talk about customer acquisition trends? - Management highlighted strong customer acquisition, particularly among younger demographics, and noted that retention rates are also strong [46] Question: What are your thoughts on the 2026 comp build? - Management indicated that they expect to maintain a traditional 1%-2% comp guidance while acknowledging potential tailwinds from market conditions [96] Question: How are new stores performing, especially those in bankruptcy locations? - New store performance has been strong, with many stores outperforming expectations, particularly those near closed Big Lots locations [68]