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CRDO Stock on an Upswing Post Robust Q2: Hold or Make an Exit?
ZACKS· 2025-12-04 15:21
Core Insights - Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) reported a strong second quarter for fiscal 2026, leading to a 10.6% stock price increase post-earnings, reaching a new 52-week high of $213.80 [1][2] Financial Performance - CRDO's revenues surged 20% sequentially and 272% year-over-year to $268 million, significantly exceeding management's guidance of $230 million to $240 million [6][8] - Non-GAAP gross profit reached $181.4 million, up from $45.8 million year-over-year, with a gross margin expansion of 410 basis points to 67.7% [7] - Non-GAAP operating income was $124.1 million compared to $8.3 million in the prior-year period, while operating expenses increased 52.4% year-over-year to $57.3 million [7] - Cash flow from operating activities was $61.7 million, with free cash flow totaling $38.5 million, and cash and cash equivalents increased to $813.6 million from $479.6 million [9] Market Position and Growth Drivers - The company has expanded its hyperscaler base, with five hyperscalers contributing to revenue, enhancing its long-term total addressable market to over $10 billion [2][8][12] - Credo's leadership in the Active Electrical Cables (AEC) segment is a key growth catalyst, with AECs becoming the standard for inter-rack connectivity [11] - The introduction of three new multi-billion-dollar product pillars—Zero-Flap optics, Active LED cables, and OmniConnect gearboxes—broadens market opportunities [18][20] Future Outlook - CRDO anticipates revenues between $335 million and $345 million for the fiscal third quarter, implying a 27% sequential growth at the midpoint and over 170% year-over-year growth for fiscal 2026 [16] - The company expects significant growth in its IC portfolio, particularly in optical DSP deployments, with long-term upside tied to 200-gig per lane architectures [14][15] Competitive Landscape - CRDO's current valuation, with a forward Price/Sales ratio of 28.97, is higher than the Electronic-Semiconductors sector average of 7.92, indicating that much of the anticipated growth is already priced in [24][26] - The competitive environment includes established players like Broadcom and Marvell Technology, which may impact CRDO's growth trajectory [23]
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (NASDAQ:CRDO) Sees Significant Growth and Innovation
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-12-02 20:06
Core Insights - Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (NASDAQ:CRDO) specializes in high-speed connectivity solutions, including active electrical cables and high-speed SerDes ICs [1][5] - The company has a price target of $230 set by Rob Chang from KGI Securities, indicating an 8.04% potential upside from its current trading price [1][5] Financial Performance - CRDO experienced a 272% year-over-year revenue increase in its fiscal second quarter, primarily driven by the rising demand for AI infrastructure [2][5] - The stock price is currently at $206.88, reflecting a 20.89% increase with a $35.75 change [2] Market Expansion - The growth is supported by the expansion of hyperscalers' AI capacity, leading to triple-digit revenue gains and improved profitability [3] - Credo has introduced three new growth pillars targeting multibillion-dollar markets, expanding its market opportunity to over $10 billion [3][5] Stock Performance - CRDO's stock has shown significant volatility, with prices fluctuating between $186.94 and $213.69, the latter being its highest in the past year [4] - The company has a market capitalization of approximately $35.78 billion, with a trading volume of 6,185,871 shares on the NASDAQ exchange [4]
Can CRDO Tap a $10B+ Market With Record Q2 & New Growth Pillars?
ZACKS· 2025-12-02 14:16
Core Insights - Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) achieved a record fiscal second quarter with a 272% year-over-year revenue growth, driven by high demand for AI infrastructure and strong adoption of its active electrical cables (AECs), high-speed SerDes ICs, and new optical and gearbox products [1][8] Growth Pillars - Credo has identified three new growth pillars, each representing multibillion-dollar opportunities: - **Zero Flap (ZF) Optics**: A laser-based connectivity solution that provides AEC-level reliability, currently in live data-center trials, with initial revenue expected in fiscal 2027 [2] - **Active LED Cables (ALCs)**: Developed in partnership with micro-LED specialist Hyperlume, these solutions are expected to generate revenue in fiscal 2028 and are projected to be more than twice the size of the AEC market [3] - **OmniConnect Gearboxes**: Designed to optimize memory-to-compute connectivity, with significant advancements for AI workloads expected to create a multibillion-dollar market by the end of the decade [4] Market Opportunity - Credo's total market opportunity has expanded to over $10 billion, more than tripling its market reach in just 18 months, with five main high-growth pillars: AECs, IC solutions, ZF optics, ALCs, and OmniConnect gearboxes [5][8] Competitive Landscape - Competitors like Astera Labs and Marvell Technology are also experiencing significant growth, with Astera Labs reporting a 103.9% year-over-year revenue increase and Marvell scaling its connectivity portfolio to meet AI workload demands [6][7] Financial Performance - CRDO shares have increased by 169.6% over the past six months, outperforming the Electronics-Semiconductors industry, which grew by 47.8% [9] - The forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio for CRDO is 26.23, significantly higher than the sector's multiple of 8.13 [10]
Credo Technology (CRDO) - 2026 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-12-01 23:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported record revenue of $268 million for Q2 2026, representing a 20% sequential growth and a 272% increase year over year [5][17]. - Non-GAAP gross margin was 67.7%, with non-GAAP net income reaching approximately $128 million, marking the strongest quarterly results in the company's history [5][19]. - Non-GAAP operating income was $124.1 million, reflecting a significant increase due to over 20% sequential top-line growth [19]. - Cash flow from operations was $61.7 million, with ending cash and equivalents of $813.6 million, an increase of $333.9 million from Q1 [20]. Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Active Electrical Cables (AEC) product line continued to be the fastest-growing segment, with revenue driven by increasing customer diversity, including four hyperscalers contributing over 10% of total revenue [6][17]. - The Integrated Circuit (IC) business, including retimers and optical DSPs, also showed strong performance, with significant growth expected in fiscal 2026 [9]. Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted that the AECs have become the de facto standard for inter-rack connectivity, displacing traditional optical connections [6][7]. - The total addressable market (TAM) for AECs and IC solutions is projected to exceed $10 billion, more than tripling from 18 months ago [15][16]. Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding its product offerings with three new growth pillars: Zero-flap Optics, Active LED Cables (ALCs), and OmniConnect gearboxes, each representing multi-billion dollar market opportunities [11][12][13]. - The strategy emphasizes delivering high-reliability and power-efficient solutions tailored to the needs of AI training and inference clusters [5][6]. Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in continued revenue growth through fiscal 2026 and beyond, driven by the ramp-up of new product categories and existing AEC and IC businesses [16]. - The company anticipates significant year-over-year growth from its top customers and expects to strengthen revenue diversification [21][22]. Other Important Information - The company is well-capitalized to invest in growth opportunities, with a substantial cash buffer and plans for continued innovation in connectivity solutions [20]. - The management highlighted the importance of reliability and power efficiency in their product offerings, which are critical for the evolving demands of AI infrastructure [30][31]. Q&A Session Summary Question: Expansion of the AEC market and ALC market potential - Management indicated that the ALC market could be double the AEC TAM, driven by both quantity and average selling price (ASP) increases [24]. Question: Customer revenue contributions - The largest customer contributed 42% of revenue, followed by others at 24%, 16%, and 11%, with expectations for continued growth and diversification [26][27]. Question: Focus on system-level products - The company is committed to expanding its portfolio at the system level, with a focus on delivering non-commodity solutions that exceed industry standards [28][29]. Question: AEC supply constraints - Management does not foresee concerns regarding AEC production capacity, citing a strong partnership with manufacturing providers [41][42]. Question: Transition to higher-speed connections - The company confirmed that it is in production with 25, 50, and 100 gig per lane solutions, with expectations for future transitions to 200 gig per lane [45][46]. Question: Licensing of AEC IP - The decision to license AEC IP reflects the company's established competitive position and the need to protect its innovations in a growing market [60].