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As Altria's Yield Balloons to 7.5%, Is Its Dividend Sustainable?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-07 08:55
Core Viewpoint - Altria Group's forward dividend yield has reached 7.5% following a stock pullback, raising questions about the sustainability of its dividend amidst challenging trends in its business [1] Financial Performance - In Q3, Altria's revenue net of excise taxes decreased by 1.7% year over year to $5.25 billion, while adjusted EPS rose by 3.6% to $1.45, falling short of analyst expectations for revenue of $5.32 billion [3] - Revenue net of excise taxes for the smokeable segment fell by 1.3% to $4.6 billion, with adjusted operating income increasing slightly by 0.7% to $2.96 billion [6] Shipment Trends - Overall shipment volumes for Altria dropped by 8.2%, with Marlboro brand shipments declining by 11.7% and other premium brands down by 9.7%. In contrast, discount brand shipments surged by 74.5% [4] - For the oral tobacco product segment, revenue net of excise taxes fell by 4.3% to $665 million, with shipment volumes decreasing by 9.6% to 178.2 million units [7] Market Dynamics - Economic pressures, including inflation, are causing adult smokers to shift from premium to discount brands, although Altria has gained market share in the discount segment [5] - Altria's Njoy e-vapor business is embroiled in a patent dispute with Juul, while facing competition from illicit flavored disposable e-vapor products, which constitute an estimated 60% of the market [6] Dividend and Valuation - Despite the challenges in its core cigarette business, Altria's dividend remains well covered, and its balance sheet is in good condition, making the stock appear more reasonably valued than earlier in the year [8]