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Best Stock to Buy Right Now: Target vs. Altria
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-02 09:30
Core Viewpoint - Altria's high dividend yield of 7.3% may not be as attractive as Target's 4.5% yield due to Altria's significant business struggles, particularly in its core tobacco segment [2][14]. Altria Overview - Altria's primary business is smokable tobacco products, which account for nearly 90% of its revenue, with cigarettes making up 97% of its volume [4]. - Cigarette volumes fell 8.2% year over year in Q3 2025, with Marlboro, which represents 85% of Altria's cigarette volume, experiencing an 11.7% decline [5]. - Altria has faced long-term declines in cigarette sales as smoking becomes less popular and alternatives like vaping gain traction [5]. - The company has struggled to adapt to industry changes, with previous investments in vapes and marijuana resulting in significant losses [7]. - Altria's current dividend yield of 7.21% comes with a high payout ratio of nearly 80%, raising concerns about sustainability [7][15]. Target Overview - Target's current market approach is misaligned with consumer trends, focusing on a premium shopping experience while consumers are tightening budgets [9]. - Same-store sales for Target fell 2.7% in Q3 2025, with overall sales down by 1.5%, reflecting a shift in consumer preferences towards lower-priced options [10]. - Despite these challenges, Target's situation is not seen as an existential threat, as fluctuations in consumer behavior are common in the retail sector [12]. - Target's management is actively working to realign its strategy, including appointing a new CEO and adopting a team-based approach [13]. - Target's dividend yield of 4.5% is supported by a lower payout ratio of approximately 55%, providing more flexibility in adverse conditions [15].
ITC shares plumet after higher tobacco tax levy
BusinessLine· 2026-01-02 03:23
Core Viewpoint - ITC Ltd. shares experienced a significant decline due to a government-imposed higher levy on tobacco products, raising concerns about its impact on the company's revenue and market position [1][4]. Group 1: Tax Impact - The new excise duty on cigarettes will range from ₹2,050 to ₹8,500 per 1,000 sticks, effective from February 1, leading to a tax hike of over 30% if the National Calamity Contingent Duty remains in place [1][2]. - Analysts predict that ITC may need to increase prices by at least 15% to offset the impact of the new levies [5]. Group 2: Market Reaction - ITC's shares dropped 10%, marking the largest decline since 2020, while Godfrey Phillips India Ltd. saw a 17% decrease in share price [2]. - Trading volumes for both companies surged to more than 20 times their three-month average, indicating heightened market activity and investor concern [3]. Group 3: Revenue and Sales Concerns - ITC derives over 40% of its revenue from cigarette sales, making it particularly vulnerable to the new tax burden [4]. - Historical data suggests that steep tax increases have previously led to volume drops of up to 9% for ITC, raising concerns about future sales performance [6]. Group 4: Government Policy and Health Implications - The Indian government aims to keep tobacco products expensive to discourage usage and mitigate public health impacts, with projections indicating that the economic burden of tobacco-related diseases could exceed ₹2.4 trillion ($26.7 billion) annually [6][8]. - Recent government actions include a new health and national security tax on tobacco production machinery and a ban on advertisements for tobacco products during the Indian Premier League [7].
Bank of America Trims Altria (MO) Target While Keeping Buy Rating
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-23 22:48
Group 1 - Altria Group, Inc. is recognized as one of the Best Stocks for a Dividend Achievers List, highlighting its strong dividend performance [1] - Bank of America analyst Lisa Lewandowski has reduced the price target for Altria from $66 to $64 while maintaining a Buy rating, indicating a cautious outlook on consumption growth in the consumer staples sector [2] - Despite declining cigarette shipments, Altria has managed to stabilize revenue and earnings through price increases, as tobacco users tend to remain loyal to their preferred brands [2] Group 2 - The dividend is a central aspect of Altria's investment case, with a target payout ratio of about 80% of adjusted earnings per share, which provides flexibility in a slow-growth environment [3] - Altria's portfolio includes well-known tobacco brands such as Marlboro, Black & Mild, Copenhagen, Skoal, and Virginia Slims, reinforcing its market presence [4]
Altria vs. Philip Morris: Who Leads Tobacco's Next Chapter?
ZACKS· 2025-12-23 16:35
Core Insights - Altria Group, Inc. and Philip Morris International Inc. are major players in the global tobacco industry, each with unique geographic exposure and strategic focuses [1][2] - Altria has a market capitalization of approximately $98.5 billion, primarily focused on the U.S. market, while Philip Morris has a larger market cap of about $248.6 billion, reflecting its international presence and innovation in reduced-risk products [1][2] Altria's Position - Altria maintains a strong position in the U.S. tobacco market, with a 64.4% adjusted operating companies income margin in Q3 2025, indicating strong pricing power despite declining cigarette volumes [3][6] - The company is investing in smoke-free products, with on! nicotine pouch shipments reaching 133.6 million cans year-to-date, and continues to innovate with products like on! PLUS and Horizon's Ploom [4][8] - Altria increased its quarterly dividend by 3.9% to $1.06 per share in August 2025, marking its 60th dividend increase in 56 years, and expanded its share-repurchase authorization to $2 billion through 2026 [5] - Domestic cigarette shipment volumes declined by 8.2% in Q3, and Marlboro's market share decreased by 1.2 percentage points to 40.4%, highlighting ongoing challenges [6] Philip Morris' Growth - Philip Morris is increasingly focused on smoke-free products, which accounted for 41% of total net revenues and 42% of gross profit in Q3 2025, with shipments growing by 16.6% year-over-year [7][9] - Key smoke-free brands like IQOS, ZYN, and VEEV are driving revenue growth, with IQOS leading in heated tobacco globally [9] - Operational discipline and cost controls have supported margin expansion and earnings growth, while the combustible segment remains under pressure with a 3.2% decline in cigarette shipment volumes [10][11] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Altria's EPS indicates a year-over-year increase of approximately 6.3% for 2025 and 2.3% for 2026, remaining unchanged at $5.44 and $5.56 respectively [12] - For Philip Morris, the consensus estimate implies year-over-year growth of 14.2% for 2025 and 11.3% for 2026, with estimates slightly down to $7.50 and $8.35 [14] Stock Performance and Valuation - Over the past year, Altria's shares have increased by 17.4%, while Philip Morris has seen a stronger gain of 33.9% [15] - Altria's forward P/E ratio is 10.54, below its one-year median of 10.80, while Philip Morris' forward P/E ratio stands at 19.17, also below its median of 20.59 [16] Investment Appeal - Philip Morris offers stronger global growth and leadership in reduced-risk products, while Altria provides a compelling value proposition with higher income visibility and resilient margins [17] - Altria is viewed as a better option for income-focused investors seeking stability and consistent returns amid the industry's transition to smoke-free products [17]
Companies Most Likely to Raise Dividends in 2026
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-23 14:15
alengo / E+ via Getty Images One question about how likely a company is to raise its dividend next year is whether it has already raised it for decades. If one is willing to posit that, several companies are likely candidates. 24/7 Wall St. Key Points These four companies have increased their dividends annually for decades. And they will mostly likely boost their payouts again in the coming year. If you’re thinking about retiring or know someone who is, there are three quick questions causing many ...
Ferrari Renews and Expands Partnership With Philip Morris (PM)
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-16 19:31
Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE:PM) is included among the 15 Best Blue-Chip Stocks with Growing Dividends. Ferrari Renews and Expands Partnership With Philip Morris (PM) On December 3, Ferrari N.V. said that its wholly owned Italian subsidiary, Ferrari S.p.A., has renewed and expanded its long-running partnership with Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE:PM). The new agreement, which was signed on December 3 and will take effect on January 1, 2026, highlighted that Philip Morris International I ...
1 Stock I'd Buy Before Altria (MO) In 2026
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-15 20:07
Core Viewpoint - Coca-Cola is positioned to be a more compelling long-term investment compared to Altria, the leading tobacco company, due to its diversified product portfolio and growth potential in a changing market landscape [5]. Group 1: Altria Overview - Altria is a leading tobacco company in America, known for its flagship Marlboro brand, which holds nearly half of the retail cigarette market [2]. - The company is expanding its portfolio with smoke-free products like e-cigarettes and nicotine pouches as adult smoking rates decline [2]. - Altria has consistently increased its dividend since spinning off its international business in 2008, currently offering a forward yield of 7.2% and trading at ten times forward earnings [3]. Group 2: Coca-Cola Overview - Coca-Cola has developed a diverse range of products beyond its traditional sugary sodas, including bottled water, fruit juices, teas, and alcoholic beverages, which has helped mitigate the decline in soda consumption [8]. - The company reported organic sales growth of 16% in 2022, 12% in 2023, and is projected to maintain 12% growth in 2024, contrasting with Altria's declining sales [9]. - Coca-Cola operates a capital-light business model, producing only concentrates and syrups, which allows for high gross margins and more cash for marketing and dividends [10]. Group 3: Financial Performance and Outlook - Analysts expect Coca-Cola's adjusted EPS to grow at a CAGR of 6% from 2024 to 2027, while Altria's adjusted EPS is expected to grow at a CAGR of 4% [12]. - Coca-Cola has a forward dividend yield of 2.9% and has raised its payout for 63 consecutive years, making it a "Dividend King" [13]. - Over the past decade, Coca-Cola has delivered a total return of 126%, while Altria's total return was 99%, indicating Coca-Cola's stronger long-term performance [14]. Group 4: Market Trends and Future Prospects - The S&P 500 is near its all-time high, and the Federal Reserve is expected to cut benchmark rates in 2026, which may lead investors to favor dividend stocks like Coca-Cola over growth stocks [16]. - Coca-Cola is anticipated to benefit from this trend, positioning it as a better investment option compared to Altria for 2026 and beyond [16].
If You Had Invested $1,000 in Altria Group Stock 1 Year Ago, Here's How Much You Would Have Today
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-13 17:45
Core Viewpoint - Altria Group has shown a total return of 13.5% over the past year, primarily driven by high dividend payments, but it still underperformed compared to the S&P 500's total return of 15.6% [2][3]. Performance Analysis - Altria's stock price increased by 6.9% over the past year, which is significantly lower than the S&P 500's increase of 13.8% [2]. - A $1,000 investment in Altria would have grown to $1,135, while the same investment in the S&P 500 would have reached $1,156 [3]. Dividend Insights - Altria has a strong focus on dividends, with the board recently increasing the payout by 3.9% to $1.06 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 7.2%, which is substantially higher than the S&P 500's yield of 1.1% [4][6]. Business Challenges - Altria's revenue from smokeable products, particularly cigarettes, has been declining, with a 1.3% drop in the third quarter to $4.6 billion. The company is facing challenges with falling cigarette volume and a decrease in market share, especially for its Marlboro brand [5]. Investment Considerations - Despite the attractive dividend yield, the long-term business prospects for Altria appear bleak, leading to a recommendation to avoid investing in the shares [5].
Is This Ultra-High-Yield Dividend Stock a No-Brainer Heading Into 2026?
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-11 15:00
Core Business and Dividend - Altria Group is recognized for its strong dividend history, boasting 56 consecutive years of dividend increases and a current yield of 7% as of December 8 [2][6] - The company has maintained a stable revenue stream despite declining smoking rates among American adults, which have dropped from approximately 42% in 1965 to just over 11% in 2022 [5][6] - Altria's pricing power has allowed it to offset declining volume, as consumers often continue purchasing preferred brands despite price increases [6][7] Financial Stability and Payout Ratios - Altria aims for a payout ratio of around 80% of its adjusted earnings per share (EPS), with recent payout ratios ranging from 70.8% to 82.9% [10] - The adjusted EPS provides a clearer picture of the company's operational earnings, indicating that the dividend is not in immediate jeopardy [9][10] - The stock is currently trading at about 10.7 times projected earnings for the next 12 months, suggesting it is undervalued compared to historical standards [11] Investment Perspective - While Altria may not offer high revenue growth, it is considered a solid option for investors seeking above-average dividend income [12] - The company is viewed as a bargain for those willing to invest despite concerns regarding the traditional cigarette business [11] - Altria's long-standing presence in the market and consistent dividend payments make it an attractive choice for income-focused investors [2][12]
Is Altria's 7.3% Yield Safe? This 1 Thing Matters Most in 2026
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-11 09:15
Core Insights - Altria Group has performed well in 2025, with a stock increase of approximately 10% since January, or 16% including dividends [1] - The company is recognized as a Dividend King, boasting a dividend yield of 7.3% at its recent share price, which is a significant attraction for investors [2][8] - The sustainability of Altria's dividend is a concern for shareholders as the company faces slow growth in sales due to a shrinking customer base [2][5] Financial Performance - Altria's core cigarette business is declining, leading to limited top-line growth, which has resulted in a discounted stock price and higher dividend yield [6] - The company has a solid financial foundation, regularly increasing cigarette prices to counteract declining sales volumes, and is expected to grow earnings by 3% annually over the next three to five years [7] - The dividend payout ratio is 82% of 2025 earnings estimates, and Altria holds a multibillion-dollar stake in Anheuser-Busch InBev, providing liquidity options if necessary [8] Industry Trends - The tobacco industry is gradually shifting from traditional cigarettes to smoke-free products, such as electronic vapes and heat-not-burn devices [10] - Competitors like Philip Morris International and British American Tobacco have successfully integrated next-generation products into their portfolios, with these products accounting for 41% and 18.2% of their net sales, respectively [11] - Altria still heavily relies on cigarettes and cigars, which made up over 88% of its net revenue in the third quarter, indicating a potential risk of losing market share if it does not adapt to industry changes [12]