Breaking news from the White House tonight. President Trump saying he'll reduce tariffs on some imported foods, a way to lower grocery prices as he's faced pressure over the cost of living. Garrett Hake joins us now.And Garrett, this all happened in an executive order moments ago. >> Yeah, Tom, that's right. This order exempts hundreds of products from the president's so-called reciprocal tariffs, a move aimed at lowering grocery prices.It impacts imported agricultural products, things like coffee, tea, ban ...

Commodity Prices - Agricultural commodity prices in the grain/oilseed, soft, and animal protein sectors experienced losses in September, with the exception of October lean hog futures, which gained 5.08% [1] - Cooperative weather conditions contributed to lower prices for soybean, corn, and wheat, as indicated in the September WASDE report, which remained bullish on supplies but bearish on prices [6] - Soft commodities saw declines across the board, with cocoa futures leading with a 12.46% price drop, while coffee, cocoa, and orange juice prices remained elevated due to previous price surges [7] - The end of the 2025 grilling season led to lower prices for live and feeder cattle, although beef futures remained near record highs [8] Precious Metals - Gold reached a record high of nearly $3,900 per ounce, marking its eighth consecutive record quarterly peak, despite being the worst-performing precious metal in September [2] - Silver futures saw a significant increase, reaching their highest level since 2011, approaching the $49.82 high from that year and the all-time peak of $50.36 from 1980 [3] - Palladium outperformed silver with a 14.54% gain in September, while platinum futures also surged by 15.62%, reaching their highest price since February 2014 [4] - Precious metals significantly outperformed other commodities in September, with all four trading on the CME's COMEX and NYMEX divisions posting double-digit percentage gains [5] Energy Sector - In September, WTI and Brent futures prices were slightly lower due to increased OPEC+ production and U.S. energy policy, although geopolitical tensions provided some support [9] - Oil products reflected seasonal trends, with gasoline futures showing a marginal gain and heating oil futures posting a more significant increase [10] - Natural gas prices experienced a slight decline of under 1% in September, but are expected to rise as the peak demand season approaches [16] Stock Market and Economic Indicators - The stock market saw gains, with the S&P 500 rising 3.53% and reaching record highs in September, while the U.S. dollar index posted a marginal gain despite concerns over tariffs and rising debt levels [12][13][14] - The Federal Reserve cut the short-term Fed Funds Rate by 25 basis points in September, marking the first rate cut in 2025 [12] Future Outlook - Factors to watch in October include the potential for gold to reach $4,000 and silver's approach to new record highs, while livestock futures remain elevated despite expected price weakness in meats and gasoline [15] - The commodities market is anticipated to experience continued volatility in October and beyond, influenced by geopolitical events and seasonal demand changes [19]

Core Insights - The Chinese apple juice market is experiencing steady growth, with production increasing from 180,000 tons in 2019 to a projected 504,000 tons by 2024, driven by stable demand and improved processing technology [5][2]. - The market size for apple juice is expected to rise from 8.5 billion yuan in 2019 to 12.8 billion yuan by 2024, reflecting a recovery in consumer demand and external market conditions [8]. - Major players like Andeli and Nongfu Spring are leading the market, focusing on high-quality and diversified products, while also expanding their global presence [8][9]. Industry Overview - The juice industry in China is characterized by a multi-category coexistence, with orange juice holding a 28% market share and apple juice (including concentrate) at 22%, together dominating the market [1]. - Tropical fruit juices, such as mango and pineapple, account for 12% of the market, indicating potential for growth [1]. Supply Chain Dynamics - The supply of apple juice is heavily influenced by upstream raw material availability, with apple production expected to grow from 42.4 million tons in 2019 to 50.4 million tons in 2024, maintaining a growth rate of 3% to 4.3% [2]. - Key production regions include the Bohai Bay and the Northwest Loess Plateau, with Shaanxi being a significant area for high-quality apple production [2]. Production Trends - Apple juice production in China is projected to recover from a dip in 2020 due to the pandemic, with a steady increase anticipated from 2021 to 2024 as supply and demand balance out [5]. Market Dynamics - The apple juice market is witnessing a trend towards consolidation, with leading companies like Andeli and Guotou Zhonglu expanding their market share through mergers and acquisitions [9]. - There is a growing preference for high-quality organic products in mature markets, while emerging markets show higher growth rates in demand [9].

US President Donald Trump’s 50% tariff on goods from commodities powerhouse Brazil is upending crop markets, sending orange juice prices tumbling and coffee rising https://t.co/wl2c0Iq3IA ...

A US orange juice distributor is suing over President Donald Trump’s move to impose a 50% tariff on Brazil starting next month https://t.co/WMTiVxh0vQ ...

Market Trends - Orange juice and coffee drinkers are facing a price shock [1] - A 50% tariff from Brazil is contributing to the price shock [1]

Trade Policy & Tariffs - US President Trump imposed tariffs on various countries, with a specific focus on Brazil [1] - The tariff rate set for Brazil is 50%, the highest among the letters issued this week [3] - The 50% tariff is threatened to take effect on August 1st [4] US-Brazil Trade Relations - Despite the tariffs, the US maintains a trade surplus with Brazil, exporting more goods than it imports [3] - Key Brazilian exports to the US subject to the tariff include coffee and orange juice [4] - A 50% tariff on these goods is expected to impact American consumers [3][4] Political Considerations - The tariffs on Brazil appear to be driven by political motivations, including President Trump's disagreement with Brazil's social media laws and his view on the trial of Jaier Balssons [2] - President Trump views the trial of Jaier Balssons as a "witch hunt" [2]