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PG vs. CHD: Which Consumer Goods Stock Offers the Best Long-Term Value?
ZACKS· 2025-06-25 15:46
Core Insights - The consumer-packaged goods industry features prominent players like Procter & Gamble (PG) and Church & Dwight (CHD), each with unique strategies and brand portfolios [1][2][3] Procter & Gamble (PG) - PG is a leading global company with a diverse product range, maintaining strong market share and customer loyalty despite economic challenges [4][5] - The company employs an integrated growth strategy focusing on product superiority, operational efficiency, and innovation, supported by effective digital marketing [5][7] - PG's supply chain is designed for efficiency and resilience, allowing quick responses to market demands and geopolitical disruptions [6][7] - Financially, PG shows strong free cash flow and consistent capital returns to shareholders, with projected sales growth of 2.6% and earnings growth of 3.6% in fiscal 2026 [13][23] - PG's stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 22.85, which is lower than CHD's 26.55, indicating a more attractive valuation [18][21] Church & Dwight (CHD) - CHD has demonstrated resilience, gaining volume share in 80% of its business despite macroeconomic pressures, with nine of its 14 major brands outperforming category growth [9][10] - The company focuses on disciplined portfolio management and innovation, recently divesting non-core businesses to concentrate on growth drivers [10][12] - CHD's marketing strategy is aggressive, with a significant portion of net sales allocated to marketing, and it is enhancing its digital presence as online sales grow [11][12] - Financially, CHD's EPS is projected to grow by 1.2% in 2025, while sales are expected to decline by 0.4% [16] - CHD's stock has underperformed compared to PG, with an 8.1% decline over the past year [17][22] Comparative Analysis - PG is positioned as a stronger investment due to its scale, diversified portfolio, and operational excellence, while CHD, despite its agility and niche performance, operates on a smaller scale and faces valuation challenges [22][23]
Church & Dwight Q1 Earnings Beat Estimates, Lower Organic Sales Hurt
ZACKS· 2025-05-01 17:55
Core Viewpoint - Church & Dwight Co., Inc. (CHD) reported mixed first-quarter 2025 results, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) beating estimates but net sales missing expectations, reflecting a challenging operating environment [1][2]. Financial Performance - Adjusted EPS for the quarter was 91 cents, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 89 cents and the company's guidance of 90 cents, although it represented a 5.2% decline year over year [1]. - Net sales totaled $1,467.1 million, down 2.4% year over year, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1,511 million and the company's guidance for a nearly 1% increase [3]. - Organic sales decreased by 1.2%, driven by a 1.4% drop in volumes, partially offset by a 0.2% increase in pricing and mix [4]. Segment Analysis - **Consumer Domestic**: Net sales fell 3% to $1,129.8 million, with organic sales down 3% due to a 3.1% volume drop [6]. - **Consumer International**: Net sales increased by 2.7% to $261.9 million, with organic sales climbing 5.8%, driven by a 5.9% volume growth [7]. - **Specialty Products**: Sales declined 9.3% to $75.4 million, although organic sales grew by 3.2% [8]. Cost and Margin Insights - Gross margin contracted by 70 basis points to 45%, with adjusted gross margin at 45.1%, down 60 basis points year over year due to higher manufacturing costs [5]. - Marketing expenses decreased by $15.4 million year over year to $136.6 million, while adjusted selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses increased by 40 basis points to 15.2% of net sales [5]. Future Outlook - For 2025, CHD projects organic sales growth of around 0-2%, down from a previous estimate of 3-4%, reflecting ongoing macroeconomic challenges [15]. - Adjusted EPS growth is now expected to be 0-2%, a reduction from the earlier guidance of 7-8% [17]. - The company anticipates a decline in organic sales of 2% for the second quarter, with adjusted EPS projected at 85 cents, a 9% decrease from the prior year [18].