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AAL Incurs Narrower-Than-Expected Q3 Loss, Expects Profitability in Q4
ZACKSยท 2025-10-23 16:16
Core Insights - American Airlines reported a narrower loss of 17 cents per share in Q3 2025, compared to the expected loss of 27 cents, and a profit of 30 cents in the same quarter last year [1][11] - Operating revenues reached $13.69 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $13.63 billion and slightly exceeding the previous year's figure of $13.65 billion, driven by strong premium services [1][11] Revenue Breakdown - Passenger revenues, which constitute 91.1% of total revenues, decreased by 0.4% year-over-year to $12.5 billion, although this was above the estimate of $12.32 billion [2] - Cargo revenues increased by 5% to $212 million, falling short of the estimate of $214.4 million [2] - Other revenues rose by 9.4% to $1 billion, aligning with expectations [2] Key Metrics - Total revenue per available seat mile decreased to 17.69 cents from 18.04 cents year-over-year [3] - Passenger revenue per available seat mile fell by 2.7% to 16.1 cents, but exceeded the expectation of 15.93 cents [3] - Consolidated yield decreased by 2% to 18.73 cents, surpassing the estimate of 18.53 cents [3] Traffic and Capacity - Consolidated traffic, measured in revenue passenger miles, increased by 1.6% year-over-year [4] - Capacity, measured in average seat miles, expanded by 2.3% [4] - Consolidated load factor decreased by 0.6 points to 86%, which was in line with expectations [4] Operating Costs - Total operating costs slightly decreased by 0.1% year-over-year to $13.54 billion, with salaries, wages, and benefits rising by 8.9% to $4.46 billion due to a labor deal with pilots [5] - Aircraft fuel and tax expenses decreased by 3.7% to $2.77 billion, with the average fuel price per gallon dropping to $2.37 from $2.50 a year ago [5] Future Outlook - Management anticipates a 3-5% increase in capacity for Q4 2025 compared to Q4 2024 [7] - Total revenues are expected to rise in the 3-5% range year-over-year [7] - Adjusted earnings per share for Q4 are projected to be between 45-75 cents, significantly higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 30 cents [8] - For the full year 2025, adjusted earnings per share are expected to range from 65 to 95 cents, compared to the consensus estimate of 35 cents [9]