Bitcoin (BTC) could be heading into a prolonged downturn, according to Cantor Fitzgerald, but that is likely to be a prelude to the crypto industry entering a more stable, institutionally driven phase. Markets are probably in the early phase of a crypto winter, echoing bitcoin’s historical four-year cycle, according to a year-end report by analyst Brett Knoblauch. Bitcoin is roughly 85 days past its peak, and Knoblauch suggests prices could remain under pressure for months, possibly even testing Strategy’ ...

2025 has been a wild ride for everyone who expected and major altcoins to hit new highs. We’re 3 days away from the New Year, volatility is still insane, the Fear and Greed index has been extreme for dozens of days, and most significant cryptocurrencies are trading well below their ATHs. However, prominent crypto moguls are slightly optimistic about 2026. We gathered the most significant predictions in one post, and yes, we want to come back here next December and find out if this time they were true. B ...

Crypto markets are entering a phase where activity concentration matters more than narrative momentum, according to a new outlook from Coinbase Institutional that frames 2026 as a test of whether crypto’s core markets can scale under more disciplined conditions. The report, written by global head of research David Duong and research associate Colin Basco, argues that familiar crypto cycle models — built around retail speculation, token launches and protocol-specific catalysts — are becoming less reliable ...

Core Viewpoint - Hyperliquid Strategies, a digital asset platform, went public through a reverse merger with Sonnet the Biootherrapeutics, reaching a high of $465 before declining to $352, representing a 17% drop [1][2]. Company Overview - Hyperliquid Strategies focuses on accumulating the Hype token, the native coin for its decentralized exchange, which allows trading of perpetual futures [2][8]. - The company was founded three years ago, operates with 11 employees, and has never raised outside capital [8][9]. - Hyperliquid's current run rate is over $1 billion in free cash flow, highlighting its financial strength despite its small team [9][13]. Market Position - The Hype token is currently valued at approximately $3455, making it the 12th largest cryptocurrency, and potentially within the top 10 when excluding stablecoins [8][9]. - The platform is positioned as a layer 1 blockchain, facilitating significant trading volumes, including traditional equities like Nvidia and Tesla [4][14]. Future Outlook - The integration of traditional finance and digital currencies is gaining traction, with notable figures in finance discussing the tokenization of assets worth trillions [6]. - Hyperliquid aims to be at the forefront of this evolution, with a blockchain capable of processing 200,000 transactions per second [7]. - The company plans to use 99% of its cash flow to buy back Hype tokens, creating a proxy for equity in the company [10][11]. Trading Performance - The initial trading day saw a 15% decline in the stock price, which is not uncommon for new listings, and the focus remains on long-term performance [15].

Another listing!Coinbase Markets 🛡️ (@CoinbaseMarkets):Perpetual futures trading for Dash $DASH will go live on 4 DEC 2025.The opening of our DASH-PERP market will begin on or after 9:30 am UTC, if liquidity conditions are met, in regions where trading is supported.Perpetual futures are available to retail traders in select https://t.co/buzIjPc2pK ...

Core Viewpoint - JPMorgan analysts predict Bitcoin could reach approximately $170,000 within six to twelve months as the deleveraging phase in perpetual futures appears complete and Bitcoin's volatility ratio compared to gold improves [1][3][6] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The crypto market experienced a nearly 20% correction from recent peaks following record liquidations in perpetual futures on October 10, marking the largest in crypto history, with additional smaller liquidations occurring on November 3 due to a $128 million exploit [2][3] - Analysts concluded that the deleveraging phase in perpetual futures has largely ended, with the ratio of open interest in Bitcoin perpetual futures to market capitalization returning to historical norms [3][4] - Perpetual futures are identified as the most critical instruments to monitor in the current market environment, indicating that recent stabilization suggests the deleveraging process is likely behind [4][5] Group 2: Investment Appeal - Rising gold volatility has made Bitcoin more attractive to investors on a risk-adjusted basis, with the Bitcoin-to-gold volatility ratio falling below 2.0, indicating Bitcoin consumes about 1.8 times more risk capital than gold [6] - Analysts estimate that Bitcoin's current market capitalization of approximately $2.1 trillion would need to increase by nearly 67% to align with the total private-sector investment in gold, which is around $6.2 trillion [6][7] - This analysis suggests a significant upside potential for Bitcoin over the next 6-12 months, as it currently trades about $68,000 below JPMorgan's volatility-adjusted fair value relative to gold [7]

Group 1: Bitcoin Market Overview - Bitcoin is down over 3% at the start of November, with long-term holders selling over 400,000 bitcoin in October, representing about 2% of circulating supply [1] - The market structure for bitcoin is more mature compared to previous cycles, with demand from DATs and ETFs absorbing available supply [1] - Despite the resilience shown by bitcoin, the market remains fragile, with potential for further downside without positive macro catalysts [1] Group 2: Ethereum Market Dynamics - Ethereum has experienced a more significant decline, trading down nearly 8% on the day, attributed to thin liquidity and fewer buyers [2] - Perpetual futures funding rates for Ethereum have been near flat or negative since October 10th, indicating a bearish market sentiment [2] - Significant open interest in puts below $3,700 on Deribit suggests traders are preparing for further market drawdown, with increasing positions below the $3,000 level for November 28th expiries [2]

New Listings - Kraken Pro 新增 CRO、IOTX 和 ORCA 三种 perpetual futures 交易对 [1] Trading Features - 平台提供杠杆做多和做空机制 [1] - 交易者可以捕捉全天候 24/7 的市场波动 [1] Platform Highlights - Kraken Pro 是欧洲值得信赖的期货交易所，提供深度流动性 [1] Geographic Restrictions - 存在地理限制 [1]

Core Insights - Perpetual futures are currently the most popular trading strategy in the crypto market, attracting a significant number of traders due to their high-risk, high-reward nature [1] - The accessibility of perpetual futures has increased, allowing anyone with a crypto wallet or Telegram account to participate, which presents both opportunities and risks for the crypto market [1] Group 1: Trading Dynamics - Perpetual futures are derivative contracts with no expiration date, enabling users to leverage their positions on assets like Bitcoin, with potential leverage ranging from 10 to 1,001 times [2] - The recent surge in popularity is attributed to a more relaxed regulatory environment and the emergence of decentralized trading platforms like Hyperliquid, which democratize access to these trading products [2][3] Group 2: Market Impact - Major crypto wallets such as MetaMask and Phantom have integrated perpetual futures trading into their platforms, significantly broadening access to these products for millions of users [3] - Perpetual futures trading has already contributed to 16% of Phantom's annualized revenue of $195 million and 6% of MetaMask's $81 million, despite their recent rollout [4] Group 3: Future Projections - Telegram's mini-app Blum is also entering the perpetual futures market, predicting that these trades will account for 80% of its total volume by early 2026 [4] - The trading volume for perpetual futures has reached over $1.27 trillion in the past 30 days, indicating a robust market presence and growth potential for decentralized exchanges specializing in these products [5]

Core Insights - Cryptocurrency prices are recovering after a significant flash crash on October 10, which resulted in a loss of billions in a single day [2] - The total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies dropped approximately 14%, from $4.32 trillion on October 8 to $3.79 trillion by October 12 [2] - The recent crash saw over $19 billion in liquidations, marking it as the largest liquidation event in crypto history [3] Leverage in Cryptocurrency - Leverage, which involves using borrowed funds to enhance investment positions, is prevalent in the cryptocurrency market and can lead to amplified rewards and losses [5] - Nearly 70% of Bitcoin trading in 2023 has been conducted through perpetual futures, a type of derivative that does not expire and is designed to track the spot price of assets [6] - The introduction of perpetual futures in the U.S. has allowed for significant leverage, with platforms offering up to 10-fold leverage, while others globally provide up to 500-fold leverage [7] Impact of Leverage on Market Volatility - The use of leverage increases the likelihood of liquidation, as investors must maintain a certain margin and pay interest on borrowed amounts [8] - The flash crash was attributed to the combination of high leverage and thin liquidity in the market, with perpetual futures accounting for a substantial portion of trading volumes [9]