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Marvell Stock Or Broadcom -- A Look At Valuation
Forbes· 2025-12-10 11:15
Core Insights - The investment landscape surrounding the AI boom is heavily focused on hardware providers, particularly Broadcom and Marvell Technology, which are key players in AI infrastructure development [2] - Broadcom has a significant market capitalization of $1.8 trillion compared to Marvell's $80 billion, highlighting a stark difference in scale and market presence [2] - Broadcom's stock has appreciated by 600% since the debut of ChatGPT, while Marvell's stock has increased by 105% during the same period [2] Market Positioning - Hyperscalers are shifting investments towards custom silicon, moving away from general-purpose GPUs to manage costs and reduce reliance on Nvidia [3] - Broadcom operates with a larger customer scale and deeper penetration in the hyperscaler market compared to Marvell, leading to revenue and margin disparities [4] - Broadcom's revenue for FY exceeds $63 billion, while Marvell's revenue is approximately $8 billion, with forward earnings multiples of 41x for Broadcom and 24x for Marvell [9] Financial Performance - Broadcom's chip division generated $9.2 billion last quarter, reflecting a 26% year-over-year growth with 67% EBITDA margins, while Marvell reported around $2 billion in total revenue with 37% year-over-year growth and only 15% operating margins [10][14] - Broadcom's extensive software division, particularly after acquiring VMware, contributes to its high margins and valuation premium, with adjusted EBITDA margins at 67% [13] Competitive Dynamics - Broadcom has established itself as a market leader in custom AI chips (ASICs) and high-speed networking, with significant competitive barriers due to its large clientele [6][8] - Marvell's reliance on Amazon Web Services for custom silicon exposes it to revenue concentration risks, making it vulnerable to fluctuations in a single customer's capital expenditures [11][17] Strategic Initiatives - Marvell aims to close the valuation gap with Broadcom by focusing on growth, technical differentiation, and improving financial metrics [15] - The company is investing in Co-Packaged Optics (CPO) and photonic technologies to enhance its interconnection capabilities, which are critical for AI infrastructure [16] - Marvell's acquisition of Celestial AI is a strategic move to secure expertise in photonics, which could redefine its position in AI infrastructure [19] Future Outlook - To achieve a re-rating, Marvell needs to secure additional Tier-1 hyperscaler partnerships to mitigate revenue volatility and enhance market confidence [19] - The company must also focus on improving high-margin data center revenues and managing costs effectively to reduce the profitability gap with Broadcom [20]
'Those orders are in the books,' says Marvell CEO on lost business speculation
Youtube· 2025-12-10 00:58
Group 1 - The company announced its earnings last Tuesday, and the stock performed well after hours and the following day, indicating positive market reception to the messaging and optimism about the business's multi-year outlook [1] - There was a claim made in an article that the company lost a significant piece of business, which the company refuted by stating that it has the bookings and backlog to support future deliveries [2][3] - The company emphasized its strong relationships with major US hyperscalers, including a warrant situation with AWS, and mentioned an update to the warrant agreement that includes new technology areas such as silicon photonics [4]