Core Viewpoint - Berkshire Hathaway's investment strategy remains stable under new CEO Greg Abel, with a focus on long-term holdings, despite significant reductions in its Apple stake [1][2]. Group 1: Berkshire Hathaway's Investment Strategy - Warren Buffett's legacy includes a portfolio that may not see immediate changes, with some stocks potentially held indefinitely [1]. - Buffett has sold a substantial amount of equities, including a nearly three-quarters reduction in Berkshire's stake in Apple [2][5]. - The sale of Apple shares, combined with the rise of other holdings, could lead to a new top equity position for Berkshire for the first time since 2017 [3]. Group 2: Apple Investment Insights - Buffett's investment in Apple, exceeding $30 billion from 2016 to 2018, is considered one of his best, with the stake valued at approximately $174 billion by the end of 2023 [4]. - Despite the significant value of the Apple stake, Buffett has trimmed it due to concerns that the stock price has surpassed its intrinsic value [5]. - Apple shares currently trade at a P/E ratio of 33, with expected earnings growth slowing to about 11% per year, leading to perceptions of overvaluation [8]. Group 3: American Express as a Key Holding - American Express, despite its strong performance, remains a stable investment for Berkshire, with a current stake valued at about $54 billion, maintaining a consistent percentage of Berkshire's overall market cap [14]. - The forward P/E ratio for American Express is around 20, which is not considered excessive, and the company is successfully targeting high-end consumers [16]. - Strong product offerings and spending growth are expected to drive significant revenue and earnings growth for American Express, justifying its valuation and solidifying its position in Berkshire's portfolio [18].

Core Insights - American Express has reached an all-time high following a strong earnings report and an increased forecast [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - American Express's stock is up 20% year-to-date, outperforming the S&P 500's 15% increase, indicating strong market performance [2] - The company reported an 11% increase in revenue net of interest expense and a 19% rise in diluted earnings per share, while also reducing its share count by 2% compared to Q3 2024 [6] - The full-year 2025 forecast has been raised, projecting revenue growth of 9% to 10% and earnings per share between $15.20 and $15.50, reflecting an approximate 15% earnings growth compared to adjusted EPS of $13.35 in 2024 [6] Group 2: Market Position and Strategy - American Express operates a different business model compared to Visa and Mastercard, issuing its own credit cards and offering charge cards and personal loans, which presents more growth potential despite higher risks [5] - The company has consistently outperformed the S&P 500 since 2021, showcasing its strong investment thesis [7] Group 3: Consumer Engagement - Card member spending increased by 8% on a foreign exchange-adjusted basis, attributed to strong retail engagement and a rebound in travel [7] - The company launched refreshed Platinum cards for U.S. consumers and businesses, which include higher fees but offer more perks, benefiting both American Express and its card members [8]

Core Viewpoint - American Express has reported strong third-quarter results, leading to a reassessment of its market valuation, with potential for its stock to catch up to peers like Visa and Mastercard [2][3][14] Financial Performance - Third-quarter revenue increased by 11% year over year to $18.4 billion, while earnings per share rose by 19% to $4.14 [4] - Card member spending growth accelerated to 9%, up from 7% in the previous quarter [4] - Management raised its full-year guidance, expecting revenue growth of 9% to 10% and earnings per share between $15.20 and $15.50 [4] Revenue Drivers - Cardmember fee income grew by 18% year over year, driven by the adoption of premium cards that offer travel and lifestyle perks [5] - Net interest income also increased by 12% [5] Credit Metrics - The provision for credit losses decreased year over year, indicating a lower reserve build [6] - The net write-off rate remained stable at 1.9%, suggesting disciplined underwriting practices [6] Competitive Advantage - American Express differentiates itself by offering premium products and has recently refreshed its U.S. consumer and business Platinum cards, resulting in doubled account acquisitions post-refresh [7] - Premium cardmembers spend an average of three times more than those on other networks, highlighting the company's strong customer base [8] Valuation Comparison - Despite recent stock gains, American Express still trades at a lower price-to-earnings multiple compared to Visa and Mastercard, which are valued higher due to their capital-light models [9] - American Express's integrated model allows it to capture more profit per dollar spent and maintain better control over customer experience [10] Future Outlook - If American Express can demonstrate improved customer experience and engagement while maintaining strong credit metrics, it may narrow the valuation gap with its peers [11] - The stock's current price-to-earnings multiple of about 23 is attractive compared to Visa and Mastercard's multiples of 34 and 38 [13] - Continued momentum could lead to a reassessment of American Express's valuation, reflecting its competitive advantages [14]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenues reached a record $17.9 billion, up 9% year over year [5] - Earnings per share (EPS) was $4.8, up 17% excluding last year's gain from the sale of Certify [5][14] - Total card member spending increased by 7%, consistent with previous patterns [6][15] - The company reaffirmed its full-year revenue growth and EPS guidance provided in January [6][29] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Billed business trends showed a 7% increase in spend, with goods and services spending growing at a similar pace [15][16] - Travel and entertainment (T&E) growth was slightly down, driven by softer airline and lodging spend, while restaurant spending was strong, up 8% FX adjusted [16] - The U.S. Consumer business saw millennial spend up 10% and Gen Z spend growing around 40% [17] - New card acquisitions totaled 3.1 million in Q2, with 1.5 million in the U.S. Consumer business [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International business continued to grow in double digits, up 12% FX adjusted [17] - The company reported strong credit performance, with delinquency rates flat to Q1 and write-off rates declining [20] - The Fed's CCAR results indicated the lowest projected credit card loss and highest profitability rates among all banks subject to the stress test [7][21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on refreshing its U.S. Consumer and Business Platinum cards this fall to maintain leadership in the premium card space [7][12] - The strategy includes enriching value propositions with more benefits and offerings, attracting premier partners to enhance customer value [10][12] - The competitive landscape has shifted towards partner-rated value, access, experiences, and superior customer service [8][9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of the business model despite macroeconomic uncertainties [15][29] - The company anticipates continued strong performance in the premium card segment, supported by a growing addressable market [12][29] - Management acknowledged the competitive environment but emphasized the importance of delivering value to maintain pricing power [49][50] Other Important Information - The company returned $2 billion of capital to shareholders, including $600 million in dividends and $1.4 billion in share repurchases [28] - The CET1 ratio was reported at 10.6%, within the target range of 10% to 11% [28] Q&A Session Summary Question: How does the company plan for spending trends in the intermediate term? - Management expects spending trends to remain consistent, with some softness in airline and lodging but resilience in goods and services [32][34] Question: How does the company view competition in the premium card space? - Management believes that competition has been beneficial for customers and that as long as value is delivered, pricing power will be maintained [48][50] Question: What is the outlook for international acceptance growth? - Management is optimistic about international growth, reporting double-digit growth and ongoing improvements in merchant acceptance [60][62] Question: How does the company address concerns about lounge access and overcrowding? - Management is expanding lounge space and introducing innovative solutions to manage demand effectively [77][78] Question: How does the company view the dynamics of net card fee growth? - Management expects some moderation in card fee growth rates in the second half of the year, with potential acceleration in 2026 [106] Question: How is the acquisition strategy evolving in the premium card space? - Management noted that increased competition has expanded demand for premium products, allowing for more marketing investment at attractive returns [101][102]