Precision components for foldable phones

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领益智造-AI 设备_可折叠手机组件推动价值升级;机器人生态系统扩张;买入Lingyi (.SZ)_ AI devices_ foldable phones components to drive dollar content upgrade; Robotics ecosystem in expansion; Buy
2025-08-19 05:42
Summary of Lingyi (002600.SZ) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Lingyi (002600.SZ) - **Industry**: Precision functional and structural components supplier, focusing on AI devices, foldable phones, robotics, and AR glasses components Key Points Financial Performance and Projections - **2Q25 Net Income Guidance**: Expected between Rmb335 million and Rmb575 million, representing a year-over-year growth of 48% to 154% driven by increased utilization of production sites for AI devices and improved profitability of overseas factories [1] - **Revenue Growth**: Anticipated revenue growth of 30% year-over-year in 2Q25, with new business revenues from AI devices projected to contribute 18% in 2025, increasing to 23% and 28% in 2026 and 2027 respectively [1][2] - **Earnings Revision**: Earnings for 2025-2027 revised up by 1% due to higher revenues from smartphone components, particularly foldable phone components [3] Revenue and Profitability Metrics - **Revenue Estimates**: - 2025E: Rmb55,527 million (up 0.3% from previous estimate) - 2026E: Rmb66,788 million (up 0.5%) - 2027E: Rmb80,325 million (up 0.4%) [4] - **Gross Profit (GP)**: Expected to increase to Rmb9,398 million in 2025E, with a gross margin of 16.9% [4] - **Net Income**: Projected net income of Rmb2,658 million in 2025E, with a net margin of 4.8% [4] Robotics Ecosystem Expansion - **Partnerships**: Collaboration with Joyton on smart cleaning and surveillance robots, enhancing manufacturing capabilities and reducing BOM costs [2] - **Market Position**: Lingyi serves leading global brands, showcasing its large-scale production capabilities and global service reach [2] Valuation and Price Target - **Target Price**: Increased to Rmb13.0, based on a target P/E multiple of 23.8x 2026E EPS, reflecting a positive correlation with peers' P/E and EPS growth [7] - **Current Trading**: Lingyi is currently trading at 21x 2026E P/E, considered attractive [7] Risks - **Market Risks**: Potential slower adoption of foldable phones and AI terminals, increased competition from suppliers, and a weak macroeconomic environment could impact demand [12] Additional Insights - **Production Sites**: Diversified production locations include India, Vietnam, Brazil, Turkey, Finland, and the US, contributing to operational flexibility and cost efficiency [1] - **Future Growth**: The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the ramp-up of AI devices, with expectations of significant revenue contributions from this segment in the coming years [1][2] This summary encapsulates the essential insights from the conference call regarding Lingyi's financial outlook, strategic initiatives, and market positioning.